Who has the best chance of winning, and how to calculate the winning rate?

The Type 21 submarine developed by Germany at the end of World War II, commonly known as electric boats, is the originator of modern submarines, and this submarine is no longer capable of being dealt with by anti-submarine facilities at the level of World War II, not to mention "Kilo".

...Not a notch. Missiles and 460mm guns are good. 460mm guns can't hit the ship, can something in 193x compare with 198x. Kirov 1000% win rate. Unless there is no one on the Kirov.

The Granite anti-ship cruise missiles on board the Kirov-class ships, one hit, were enough to sink the Yamato-class.

The battleships of World War II were not at all comparable with the nuclear-powered cruisers of the 80s of the 20th century.

One is modern and the other is from World War II.

It goes without saying that the former eliminated the latter directly from a distance.

If it's 1v1, it's clear that Kirov has a better chance of winning.

Battleships, long since they were eliminated.

Win rate = number of wins Total number of matches x 100%.

The total number of matches includes the sum of wins, draws, and losses, and for some games without draws, Punzao Haru is the sum of wins and losses, multiplied by 100% to represent the calculated result as a percentage.

The win rate is a clear indication of the probability of winning, making it easy to compare with other teams. For example, if a soccer team participates in a tournament with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, then the win rate = 4 (4+3+3)x100%=40%.

The summary pro can be viewed by opening the link.

Open the link to view it.

The higher the probability, the better the odds of winning? If the probability of 50 is 3 times in a row, the probability of the next one will be small, but the probability will reach more than 90, and the occurrence of a small probability should not be considered whether it collapses.

Should consider the pro.

How to consider, for example, 85 The probability of winning the lottery is stupid, and if you win 8 times in a row, there will be a probability of not winning. But with a probability of more than 90, you can hold your limbs to rise and continue to be in the middle of the 10 times, how to consider it.

If the probability is correct, it will come out.

The failure of a small probability event is unstoppable, and the distribution is uneven. 15 has a more manageable failure. The failure of 5 is a small probability event, which cannot be balanced and unevenly distributed, and there is no way to control the beam formwork.

Yes dear. 5 The probability of failure seems uncontrollable. The probability of a failure of 10 or more is sometimes controllable. But you still have to choose the one with the better chance of winning, the higher the probability, the higher the chances of winning, and the more uncontrollable the risk, but you still have to choose to do it, right?

Yes dear. I think that man is not God, some can be changed, change can change, accept what cannot be changed. The probability of 90 to 95 or more is to use a few trembling grades, and eventually it will continue to be 95 probability, and accept a small probability of 5.

I should keep holding on to the fast continuation with a high probability of continuation, and accept the small probability of failure, right?

That's right, since it's called probability, there's impossibility.

I used to think that the probability of 90 to 95 lasts, and then the amount is adjusted down, but now I think that the distribution of small probability of failure is uneven, and it should be continued, because the higher the probability of failure, the higher the odds of winning, and the small probability of failure is good to accept it calmly. Yes.

Win rate = number of wins Total number of matches x 100%.

The total number of games includes the sum of wins, draws, and losses, and for some games without a draw, it is the sum of wins and losses. Multiplying by 100% is a percentage of the calculation.

The winning rate can clearly show the probability of winning, which is easy to compare with other teams. Slow foci.

For example, if a soccer team participates in a tournament with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, then the win rate = 4 (4+3+3)x100%=40%.

There is a high probability that the army will win. The sum of the two tosses is between 5 and 12, and there is a high probability of being greater than 5.

Brazil leads with a 22% probability, followed by Spain with 11%, defending champions France with 9%, Argentina and Portugal both with 8%.

First, look at the noun explanation, 1. Success rate: The rate at which the target benefit is achieved in the target period, for example:

The average success rate of 30% profit in 5 days is 60%, that is, after the indicator signal is issued, there is a 60% chance that investors will get more than 30% in 5 days.

Some of the other criteria in the success rate are, "50% of the yield percentage, 2 times the target yield percentage, and 3 times the target yield percentage."

What is "50% of the yield"? For example: "Where:

The signal with a success rate of 50% has 80%", that is, in the above signal model, the remaining 40% is a failure signal, although the return rate does not reach the set target of 30% within 5 days, but some of these 40% have reached half of the target of 30%, that is, the signal with a yield of 15%-29%, such a signal is still 80%. This indicator is mainly used to assess the worst profitability of the trading signal system.

2x Target Yield Percentage" and "3x Target Yield Percentage". That is, among the 60% of successful signals, the ratio of the return to more than 60% within 5 days and the return to the return of more than 90%. These two indicators measure the optimal profitability of the trading signal model.

In this way, the actual profit in the above example is 60% + (1-60%) 80% = 92%, that is, the 92% probability is that the profit is above 15% in 5 days.

Assuming that "where the 2x rate of return level is 25%" and "where the 3x rate of return level is 10%", then the total actual average rate of return of the above model in the target period is: 30%*2*60%*25%+30%*3*60%*10%+30%*50%*40%*80%=.

To summarize the above example, investors who trade with the above model have a 92% chance of getting an average risk-free return over 5 days.

2。Win rate. The win rate is the ratio of the number of successes to the number of failures.

However, this indicator does not effectively reflect the true level of profitability. For example, let's assume that the win rate is that on average, out of 3 trades, 2 times are profitable and 1 time is losing. However, if the profit is 3% each time, the total profit of 2 times is 2*3%=6%, and the loss of 10% is 10%, then the actual rate of return is 6%-10%=-4%, that is to say, although the winning rate is at a high level, the investor actually loses 4%.

Final Brigade Fight Conclusion:

We can see from this that the success rate can more truly measure the profitability of the trading system, and the winning rate can only be used as an auxiliary reference index, if the success rate and the winning rate are relatively high, it means that the trading model has a relatively sustainable and stable profitability.