How do you view the continued downturn in the coal industry?

Nowadays, social progress is getting faster and faster, and science and technology are becoming more and more developed, in fact, coal is basically useless, except for industrial needs, ordinary people can't use it. Naturally, the demand will drop a lot, which is normal. <>

Coal is at a disadvantage in today's environmentally friendly society, but it is unlikely that the coal industry will be completely abandoned, and the transition from non-renewable to renewable energy will take a long time. <>

Due to the requirements of national policies, environmental protection is becoming more and more important, so that the coal industry continues to be sluggish in winter, the coal industry will create a lot of pollution, and resources are limited, on the other hand, the development momentum of new energy is very good.

This is closely related to today's economic development, because the economy is now more developed, science and technology have also been developed rapidly, so more people will choose to use air conditioning or heating to spend the winter, resulting in the coal industry in the cold winter continues to be sluggish.

This is an inevitable development trend, because there are many reasons for this, with the development of modern science and technology, people do not need to use coal for heating in winter, and using coal for heating may also cause life danger.

Because now everyone will turn on air conditioning for heating, as well as natural gas for heating, the coal industry has been difficult to gain a foothold in today's society, and the development of science and technology has brought more convenient ways to live.

Because there is a lot of high-tech heating nowadays, why use coal to resist the cold of winter if you can choose some simple ways to heat your home, and now you have to pay attention to protecting the environment.

First of all, appearance is one thing, but it is not very important, the most important thing is publicity, Li Youbin has no publicity, first of all, no one knows that he has a new drama, so there is no expectation, in this case, it will be difficult to appear in classic works.

At present, there is overcapacity in the major energy industries, and it is normal for coal to be sluggish as a basic energy source.

For this problem, I think it may be because now, there are too many heating facilities to replace the coal industry, heating facilities are gradually becoming healthier and more environmentally friendly, and everyone's requirements for this aspect are getting higher and higher.

I feel the greatness of imported coal.

There are many areas of development of the coal industry, China is also a developing country, for some important coal chemical industry to take are to guide and environmental treatment facilities of the full set of use, through the integration of resources, reasonable planning, the development of the coal industry will be bigger, stronger, more quality. Coal is also an irreplaceable and important substance in some fields. Therefore, the future development of the coal industry cannot be canceled.

In the future development of the coal industry, it should focus on technology-driven, focusing on the efficient and clean utilization of coal and "coal gasification and liquefaction technology", so as to make greater contributions to the national economic development.

With China's emphasis on environmental protection, all kinds of industrial coal are declining year by year. Including the shutdown of small thermal power plants, the disabling of small boilers, etc. But coal is not useless, after all, the majority of China's energy is still thermal power.

It is the cheapest and main energy source in our country**. Strategic. The follow-up development of coal is mainly in the direction of clean utilization.

For example, coal-to-liquid, etc. In short, the use of coal will decline, but it will not be replaced.

For a long time, coal has existed as a pillar energy industry in China, and even in the case of coal capacity reduction and industrial structure adjustment, coal still accounts for half of the energy. However, the coal industry is a highly polluting and high-energy consumption industry, which has serious damage to the environment, and the investment in treatment in the later stage is high and difficult to treat.

It's a matter of a cycle, and coal is a type of commodity. The last time there was a coal price hike was around 2010, and there were a lot of coal bosses at that time, and it was because of the coal price hike that there were a lot of coal bosses. Coal is one of the bulk commodities.

The coal industry should strengthen scientific and technological innovation, speed up mining mechanization, intelligence, informatization, and other scientific and technological strong mining routes, and improve the wages and benefits of coal mine employees, so as to make coal mines develop and grow for a long time.

In the future, coal will not be able to rely on the sale of raw coal for power generation and coking, and it will be necessary to survive by coal chemical extraction, coal-to-gas, oil-refining water, coal-coal slurry and chemical products.

Only from the perspective of saving resources and making full use of resources can there be long-term benefits.

The clean use of coal has been one of the hottest areas in recent years, and the clean use of coal in the coal-rich provinces in the west is the highlight of local investment. A large clean coal utilization project requires tens of billions of investment, which has greatly promoted the development of the local economy. At the same time, this is also a new road to clean utilization of coal, in the past, most of the coal utilization was thermal power consumption, but now it is different, large-scale coal chemical bases in a strong guarantee of coal consumption, to maintain coal ** also played a positive role.

The coal industry is an important industry for China's economic development, with more and more serious environmental pollution, more and more attention is paid to environmental protection, due to the impact of large pollution in the coal industry, dust pollution, land pollution, air pollution and many other problems, the state has implemented a lot of restrictive measures on the coal industry, and the coal limit in each local industry is also a means of environmental protection.

From the perspective of the development of coal enterprises themselves, enterprises can not escape the dilemma of prosperity and decline due to coal, especially the continuous expansion of capacity and efficiency, digging tomorrow's coal today, and the future development road is destined to see no prospects. The author believes that the current coal enterprises should cultivate emerging industries as soon as possible, connect with the modern market demand, and plan the transformation of enterprises as soon as possible.

I am working in the coal mine, personally experienced the great changes brought about by the glory of the coal mine for ten years, and also experienced the helplessness of the struggle in the predicament of the enterprise, to be honest, the prospects of coal enterprises are not optimistic, from the market demand, due to the continuous pressure of the national environmental protection policy, energy conservation and emission reduction, clean energy is destined to shrink the coal market year by year.

With the continuous deterioration of global warming and the country's requirements for environmental protection, the overall use of coal will eventually be greatly reduced. However, at present, coal accounts for a relatively large proportion in China, and coal is still relatively cheap. During this period, the state was in a state of control over coal, mainly to control the total amount, and then gradually reduce it, which may last for more than ten years.

The coal industry is in a period of great change, and it changes every year, and the biggest changes will be made in the future. When the downward pressure on the coal industry is very strong, it is necessary to consider a new operating model and play an important role as a coal entrepreneur.

In 2017, the country's new coal identified resource reserves reached 100 million tons, a new high in recent years. According to the data released by the Ministry of Natural Resources, in 2018, China's new identified coal reserves declined compared with the same period in 2017, and the new identified reserves for the whole year were 100 million tons.

According to the statistics of the Ministry of Natural Resources, since 2013, China's coal reserves have continued to increase. According to the China Mineral Nature Report (2019) released by the Ministry of Natural Resources, China's coal identified resource reserves in 2018 were 100 million tons, a year-on-year increase.

From the perspective of consumption, the development of the coal industry.

In terms of consumption, in 2019, the total global coal consumption was lower than the previous year, which was the fourth decline in six years, and the proportion of coal in global primary energy fell to the lowest level in 16 years. The top 10 coal consuming countries are: China, India, the United States, Japan, South Africa, Russia, South Korea, Indonesia, Germany and Vietnam.

Except for China, India, the United States and Japan, the ranking of the four major coal consumers remained unchanged, and the rankings from 5th to 10th have changed. Among them, Vietnam surpassed Poland to become the 10th largest coal consumer. Among the world's top 10 coal consumers, Asia occupies 6 seats.

In 2019, China's coal consumption accounted for the world's total, an increase of one percentage point from the previous year.

China's coal mine intelligent policy guidance is clear

From the perspective of national policy planning, on February 25, 2020, the National Health Administration and other 8 parts jointly issued the "Guiding Opinions on Accelerating the Intelligent Development of Coal Mines", which put forward relevant opinions and safeguard measures for the problems of lagging basic theory research and development, imperfect technical standards and specifications, insufficient platform support, insufficient technical equipment support, and lack of high-end talents in some coal mines in China. The core tasks are as follows:

In addition, China's major provinces have also put forward the goal of intelligent development of the coal industry. The Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region has clearly proposed that by 2025, 117 underground mines will realize all fixed-post robot operations, and 38 open-pit mines will achieve intelligent and continuous transportation. Other provinces, cities and regions such as Shanxi, Shaanxi, Xinjiang, Guizhou, etc., have put forward goals or plans for the intelligent development of the coal industry

The theoretical basis of coal mine intelligence has been gradually strengthened

Since China's policy is clear and vigorously develops the intelligence of coal mines, the theme of "intelligence" has become the main research direction of major coal industry research institutes and universities. In 2018, the number of articles published on the theme of coal mine intelligence was 373, accounting for the total number of integration of industrialization and industrialization; In 2020, the number of articles published on the topic of coal mine intelligence will grow rapidly to 1,080, accounting for more than 1 3 of the total number of integration of industrialization and industrialization. In the past two years, the number of publications on the theme of coal mine intelligence has doubled, and the proportion has increased by one percentage point.

In addition, in 2020, among the top 20 keywords published in the field of integration of industrialization and industrialization in the industry, 5 keywords related to coal mine intelligence will be published, namely: intelligent (chemical) mining, smart mining, intelligent construction, intelligent mining, and intelligent coal mines. Among them, intelligent (chemical) mining ranked first with 1,669.

The top 10 keywords are: intelligent mining, monitoring system, big data, numerical simulation, smart mine, sensor, PLC, mine pressure monitoring, intelligent construction, and intelligent mine.

Large enterprises are actively deploying

At present, China's large coal enterprises have achieved certain results in the intelligent deployment of coal mines. In the first half of 2021, China Shenhua (601088) has completed a total of 25 intelligent coal mining faces, 4 intelligent tunneling faces, and 6 intelligent coal preparation plants, playing a good demonstration role.

On the whole, the state actively promotes the intelligent development of coal mines, from policy guidance and planning, to enterprise demonstration projects, and the top-down intelligent path is clear, guiding the right direction for the transformation and upgrading of the coal industry.

The above data refers to the Prospective Industry Research InstituteAnalysis Report on the Development Prospects and Investment Strategic Planning of China's Coal Industry

Entering 2013, the coal industry has experienced du

After more than a year of adjustment, what will happen?

A big rise is followed by a big fall, and a big fall is followed by a big rise.

This has a lot to do with China's economic structure for more than 30 years. For more than 30 years, China has never gotten rid of its dominant economic structure. State-owned capital likes to invest most in industries with high input and low output.

This, combined with China's 30 years of continuous industrialization accompanied by a continuous urbanization process, has resulted in a high demand for the infrastructure sector. In particular, in the decade leading up to 2008, China's urbanization was accelerating, and this acceleration was accompanied by a massive increase in commodity prices around the world. At that time, the craziness of the coal and cement industries, and the crazy enclosure and land sales in various places, you must have also seen it.

However, as China enters the middle stage of industrialization, the demand for this infrastructure will inevitably decline. However, the original coal production capacity was built under extremely optimistic forecasts, and overcapacity will definitely appear. However, the unfortunate thing is that the financial crisis of '08 led to a decline in the domestic economy, ** in order to prevent the emergence of a political crisis, it was forced to use an extreme investment of 4 trillion to pull the economy.

The 4 trillion yuan is all concentrated in the fixed asset investment industry, which further irrationally expands the already excess coal production capacity.

However, after all, China has entered the middle stage of industrialization, and large-scale fixed asset investment under the condition that the demand for infrastructure is basically saturated, which can only bring high inflation, increase the gap between the rich and the poor, intensify all kinds of social contradictions, and eventually even lead to social unrest. This is also the reason why the same railway construction was not as effective as after the Asian financial crisis in 08 years in 08.

Therefore, after the financial crisis, the wise ones must reduce investment in fixed assets, find ways to change the economic structure through institutional reform, find new economic growth points, and gradually digest the negative impact of 4 trillion yuan. You can already feel this from some of the practices of this year. The contradiction between shrinking fixed asset investment and expanding coal capacity is what you see as a depression in the coal industry.

Those sycophants praise this session all day long about how wise they are. What a wise man, if you don't do that, you're just a dead end. Ha ha.

In the future, China's economy can continue to miracle depends on the depth of institutional reform.

The question is quite complicated, so I can only talk about it briefly for your reference.