There s a statistic about the probability of worrying about happening

What is your problem? To add.

The law of things happening: what you don't want to happen won't come, and what you want to happen won't come.

If we consider whether our worries are worth it according to the law of probability, and really stop worrying for a long time, 90% of our worries can be eliminated.

Jim Grant is the owner of Grant Wholesale in Franklin, New York. I have to buy 10-15 truckloads of oranges and other fruits from Florida at a time. He told us about his experience.

I used to think about a lot of boring questions, like, what if the train crashes? What if my fruit rolls all over the floor? What if my car happens to be passing over a bridge and the bridge suddenly collapses?

Of course, these fruits are insured, but I am still afraid that if the fruits are not delivered on time, I may lose the market. I was even worried that I would get a stomach ulcer due to excessive worry, so I went to the doctor for a check-up. The doctor told me that there was nothing wrong with me, just that I was too nervous.

That's when I understood, and I started asking myself some questions. I said to myself, "Attention, Jim Grant, how many truckloads of fruit have you delivered over the years?" The answer is:

There were probably more than 25,000 cars: "Then I asked myself, "How many car accidents have you had in so many trips?" The answer is:

Well--maybe five times. And I said to myself, "There are 25,000 cars in total, and there have only been 5 accidents, and you know what that means?" The probability of a car accident is 1 in 5,000.

In other words, based on the average probability, based on your past experience, the probability of your car accident is 5000:1, so what else do you have to worry about? ”

Then I said to myself, "Well, maybe the bridge will collapse," and I asked myself, "How many times in the past have you lost money because of a bridge collapse?"

The answer was, "Not once," and I said to myself, "Isn't it foolish for you to suffer from a stomach ulcer for the sake of a bridge that has never collapsed at all, and for the probability of a 1 in 5,000 car crash?"

When I look at it this way, I feel like I was stupid. So I decided at that moment to let the probability of occurrence worry for me in the future - and since then, I haven't bothered about my "stomach ulcer" again.

The U.S. Navy also uses probabilistic statistics to encourage the morale of its soldiers. The Navy Headquarters issued some very accurate statistics, stating that 60 of the 100 tankers that were torpedoed did not sink into the sea, and of the 40 that did, only 5 sank in less than 5 minutes, that is, there was enough time for you to jump off the ship - that is, the probability of dying on board was very small. Does this help morale?

Knowing these probability numbers swept away my worries. One Navy soldier said, "The people on board feel better because we know we have an opportunity."

So, before anxiety destroys you, get rid of the habit of worrying. Let's look at the previous records and calculate an average probability, and then ask ourselves, what is the probability of what I am worried about now, what is the probability of it happening?