When will China s real estate return to normal in 2014

This problem is too broad, regional differences are too big, for example, in a first-tier city like Beijing, the houses within the North East Fifth Ring Road and the Southwest Fourth Ring Road (of course, they are all second-hand houses, there are no new projects, and they are not approved), housing prices have begun to be small, but the houses within the North East Fifth Ring Road and the Southwest Fourth Ring Road have not returned to before the adjustment. There are too many people, causing road congestion, and urban rail transit makes office workers miserable, so everyone would rather buy second-hand houses in the city, and the total price of buying a small one is relatively low, but the quality of life can be guaranteed. Now the new projects have been developed to the junction of Hebei, Tianjin, and Beijing, and driving to work is like a business trip, and it is exhausting to death.

From the perspective of buying a house, you should still buy second-hand houses in the city, especially from 2001 to 2007, the quality of the houses at this stage is relatively good, sound insulation, lighting, and pattern. The houses after the madness of 07 years were all sold by black-hearted developers, and the quality was too bad.

If you talk about China's economic operation situation, the economic transformation is underway, although real estate is no longer the leading economy, but after all, he has many upstream and downstream industries, but also the pillar of the economy, from the recent interest rate cuts and policy guidance, the next ten to twenty years, real estate should be running smoothly, a slight climb (caused by rigid demand, especially in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, densely populated), and maintaining single-digit growth every year is still benign, which is also in line with policy expectations. (It is clear that the general manager of real estate has won again, and the economic transformation has not been completed so quickly, and the economy of large, medium and small cities cannot quickly reach equilibrium in the short term, so it is even more difficult to cut off the pillars in the face of the painful period of transformation.) ）

The problem is that the word "normal" itself carries a strong supervisory assumption in it. What do you think is normal? Why do you think Chinese real estate is abnormal? I think it's normal under the current national conditions.

At present, China's real estate is clearly under control. The volume is on a downward trend.

Next year's world economic situation will be even worse, will be in order to maintain growth and ease monetary policy, if such a relaxation policy is not directed into the industrial field, may make housing prices further, but in Beijing such a big city will be relatively much better, and for the third and fourth tier cities housing prices will have a lot of impact, local ** will appear in the situation you said, housing prices will appear in the case of depression this year**. On the whole, China's housing prices have affected the trend of China's economy, but the housing price bubble has reached a situation where the Chinese economy will collapse if it is not adjusted.

Housing prices in first-tier cities will have a significant change at the beginning of next year, especially after the two sessions, the adjustment of the policy will be the main factor, the suburbs or low-end housing prices may have obvious room for downward adjustment, closer to the city center of the downward space will be relatively there, next year's policy is the key, in the case of the same policy, early next year will be stable, after May, 78 months and then stable, after September and then down, after November finally reached a stable process, haha, unprofessional, only reference.

It is said that a lot of money has been printed recently, and inflation is certain. If you are investing, don't buy a house, because the house will definitely not **. Preferably investment immigration.

If you live in it yourself, find a chance to buy it next year, but if you don't buy it, where can you live? Anyway, the house won't be ** anywhere, at most 20% 30%, next year will be a low.

In the first half of the year, the property market as a whole was relatively optimistic.

2. First- and second-tier cities: sales are expected to be flat, while the average sales price will be **10%3,Differentiation between different cities and regions will intensify.

4. In 2016, there will still be frequent kings.

5.The share of demand for improved housing continues to increase.

6. Housing prices in first-tier cities continued to rise after a brief period of stabilization.

7. Brand real estate companies expanded their share in second-tier cities, and some local real estate companies withdrew.

This is indeed an issue worthy of everyone's attention, and it is fair to say that 2012 was not a peaceful year.

After Libya, the United States has only planted a plausible mess in the Middle East, but in fact the United States has begun to retract its strategic tentacles, and has now openly pointed the finger directly at China and begun a new game around the South China Sea.

Political contest and economic mutual restraint will seriously affect the future of the new pattern of the world economy, in a less clear era, China's real estate market still needs to go through a long waiting period, during which in the future of the peaceful environment of the uncertainty, people's real purchasing power will not emerge in large quantities, so in a short period of time China's real estate market will not have a big improvement, now can only be seen through various channels in the higher price reduction ** class activities, Not the real estate market as it is.

Smooth transition to China's first new leadership collective smoothly produced, some of China's confidence index is likely to be effectively improved, by then if the world peace is properly guaranteed, China's real estate is long will appear a**, and this time the ** will not last too long, everyone will flee part of the funds after profits, so the real estate market will fall slightly at the end of the year.