Is it true that China s recent economic data has been stable and improving?

Recently, the economic data for September have been released one after another, which is frequently associated with "record highs". In September, China's manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) reached its highest point since May 2012; The non-manufacturing business activity index was the highest since June 2014; The industrial producers' ex-factory ** index (PPI) increased by one percentage point from the previous month, and this increase hit a new high in half a year; The total value of imports and exports increased year-on-year, hitting a three-month high, exports increased by 9%, and imports grew faster than the growth rate in August.

Regarding the strong performance of foreign trade in September, Reuters recently said that China's import and export growth accelerated in September, indicating that the world's second-largest economy is still expanding at a healthy pace. The report quoted Julian Evans-Pritchard, a Chinese economic analyst at Capital International Macroeconomic Consulting, as saying that the data released on October 13 showed that not only strong external demand continued to support China's manufacturing activities, but also domestic demand was recovering rapidly.

Lian Ping, chief economist of Bank of Communications, believes that the PPI rally exceeded market expectations, indicating that demand in the industrial sector has remained good and has not weakened. Driven by PPI**, the production enthusiasm of enterprises has been improved. Combined with the comprehensive judgment of the rise in manufacturing PMI, the sharp increase in imports of major industrial primary products, and the improvement of corporate profits, the current economic operation is expected to remain stable.

The main reason for the steady and improving economic operation is the acceleration of the transformation of the development mode, the remarkable results of expanding domestic demand, and the addition of new impetus to the development engine.

According to reports, the person in charge of the state said that China's economy has continued to operate steadily and well since the beginning of the year.

The development of high-quality rights has made a good start, and the development trend of economic stability and improvement has not changed.

According to the report, up to now, the main economic indicators of China's economic development have been stable and improving, the foundation for steady progress has been continuously consolidated, the stability of development has been enhanced, the terminal demand for important bulk commodities has been relatively stable, and the overall level has continued to remain in a moderate and controllable range. Household consumption** (CPI) and industrial producers** (PPI) in the first five months** and ** respectively.

From the micro-**, the market is expected to continue to improve, the pattern of good and excellent is expected to be further consolidated, and the sustainability of development is more enhanced, from January to April, the total profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 15%; The profit margin of the company's main business income increased by one percentage point year-on-year.

Analysts said that at present, the good fundamentals of China's economy have not changed, and the economy has the characteristics of strong resilience and large room for maneuver, with great potential and solid foundation for maintaining stable growth, and forging ahead in dynamic and balanced development is still the main theme of China's economic development.

In 2018, China's economy did not feel that more came to be better, a large number of farmers and workers were unemployed, large enterprises closed down, more and more enterprises that could not afford to pay social security came, more and more enterprises did not increase wages, and cities with more people and fewer enterprises had a worse environment.

Large enterprises have begun to monopolize and crack down on or ban small enterprises, and the protection of monopoly enterprises is excessive, which is a problem for maintaining stability in the future.

Enterprises exercise the rights of the enterprise, **exercise the right, when the right of the enterprise penetrates into the right to control the army and the police, I have to put a question mark? There will be no problems in the future? Anyway, I'm worried that this worry-free environment will be replaced.

When companies use money to control PR and write news that is beneficial to themselves, and the public gradually shifts the blame to **, are you sure there will be no problems?

When the enterprise develops to a certain scale, is it ** to listen to the enterprise or the enterprise to listen **?

According to reports, the first economic work conference held at the end of 2017 set the tone for this year's economic goals, and the tone set in the RMB exchange rate is to maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level.

According to the report, experts believe that the two-way fluctuation of the RMB exchange rate within a reasonable range is a high probability event, which is also conducive to the sustainable development of China's economy. The more the RMB exchange rate fluctuates in both directions, the more positive it will be for the stability of the real economy. The premise is that the volatility is within a reasonable range.

With more and more market-making entities of different types and different levels through the relaxation of foreign exchange licenses, after entering the foreign exchange market, the internal mechanism of two-way fluctuations will be more reasonable. The phenomenon of big ups and downs has been curbed. As a result, China's national economy will be more stable in the posture of sustained improvement.

Two-way convergence fluctuates or becomes a trend.

I hope that the trend of China's economic stability and improvement can be maintained!

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) "refreshed" China's economic growth rate in 2017 four times in January, April, June and October this year. In just one year, a country's economic growth rate has been revised upwards four times in a row, which is rare in the history of the IMF's economic outlook report in recent years. At the same time, the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank and Citibank have all raised their forecasts for China's economy by one percentage point this year.

Many international institutions have praised China's economy, indicating that China's economy is indeed better than the outside world expected, and it continues to be better than all expectations.

China's better-than-expected economy is reflected in the impressive statistics. Since the beginning of this year, the main indicators of China's economy have exceeded expectations, which has become the focus of attention from all walks of life. According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first half of this year, China's GDP growth was better than market expectations; The growth of national fixed asset investment is better than expected; The growth of total retail sales of consumer goods was better than expected; The growth of the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size was better than expected.

In the face of a series of positive data, domestic and foreign authoritative institutions in the evaluation of China's economic performance, the main tone is positive, and use "macroeconomic stability", "maintain strong growth", "strong external demand" and other statements to describe, as an explanation for the increase in China's economy. The steady improvement of China's economy and the broad recovery of the world economy have resonated with each other, producing spillover effects and boosting the optimistic judgment of all walks of life.

In 2017, China's economic operation has always remained within a reasonable range, the stability of growth has been continuously improved, and a number of indicators have set the best results in recent years.

Steady growth. In the fourth quarter of 2017, China's GDP increased year-on-year, and the economy operated in the range for 10 consecutive quarters. The year-on-year GDP growth in 2017 not only accelerated growth for the first time since 2011, but also changed the one-way slowdown in economic growth for many years.

Employment is stable. In 2017, more than 13 million new jobs were created in China's urban areas. At the end of December 2017, the surveyed urban unemployment rate was only .

Prices are stable. Last year's CPI was year-on-year**, and the increase was one percentage point lower than that of the previous year, which was better than expected; The PPI ended a five-year decline since 2012 compared to the previous year.

The balance of payments is stable. In 2017, China's total import and export volume increased year-on-year, not only reversing the situation of two consecutive years of decline, but also hitting a new high in six years; The RMB exchange rate is basically stable; The country's foreign exchange reserves were nearly $3.14 trillion at the end of the year. As the world's second largest economy, China's total economic output has exceeded one trillion yuan, and it continues to be the ballast stone of the world economy.

According to reports, at the two sessions held a few days ago, some deputies said that China's economy is stable and improving, which is better than expected, not only because the growth rate has picked up, but also because the economic structure has been continuously optimized, the efficiency of enterprises has continued to improve, and the development content is more sufficient, which is worthy of the name.

According to the report, China's economic development is more resilient and stable. From 2013 to 2017, China's GDP grew at an average annual rate, higher than the world's average growth level in the same period. While the economy has maintained medium-high growth, people's livelihood indicators such as employment, prices, and income have performed well, and the economy has always operated within a reasonable range.

In 2017, China's economy stabilized and improved, with GDP increasing over the previous year, and the growth rate accelerating by one percentage point over the previous year; 13.51 million new jobs were created in urban areas, an increase of 370,000 over the previous year, exceeding the annual target; The surveyed unemployment rate in 31 large cities and towns has been below 5% for 10 consecutive months, the lowest level since 2012.

In addition, the bright spot of China's economy is that it has actively adapted to the new normal of economic development, actively guided and promoted the optimization and upgrading of the economic structure, and enabled economic growth to be driven by both industry and the service industry, and from mainly relying on investment to consumption and investment.

I hope that China's economy can continue to develop rapidly!

A number of economic data were released on May 2. The data shows that the characteristics of the peak season of economic activities in April are obvious, the market is active, the sales of enterprises are smooth, the confidence of enterprises in the later stage is sufficient, and the economic operation is showing a trend of stabilization and rebound. Experts said that China's high-quality development has a solid foundation and relevant conditions, and the trend of steady macroeconomic growth is expected to take a step forward and develop in depth.

The latest Caixin China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for April rose by one percentage point from March, continuing the slight growth trend over the past 11 months. Judging from the sub-data, the output index, employment index, procurement inventory index, and finished goods inventory index all increased in different ranges.

He Hui, deputy director of the China Logistics Information Center, believes that in April, the prosperity index of the logistics industry continued to rise, showing that logistics activities continued to flourish, and logistics operations showed a steady and rising development trend. Specifically, the growth of supply and demand has accelerated, and the development is relatively balanced; The capital turnover has been accelerated, and the capital environment has been improved; Employment and employment have rebounded significantly, and efficiency has continued to improve. **：

Economic Information Daily.