What is the current situation of the sustainable development of China s foreign trade? 5

The reasons for the continuous improvement of China's ** conditions are as follows: First, China's policy of opening up to the outside world has been deepened, and filial piety has attracted a large number of foreign investment and international **. Secondly, China actively participates in globalization, and the scale of import and export continues to expand.

Thirdly, the competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry has been continuously improved, reducing costs and improving efficiency. In addition, a series of preferential policies and measures have been introduced to create a good environment. Finally, China adheres to an open and inclusive attitude in the international community and strengthens cooperation with other countries in the world, which has also become an important reason for the continuous improvement of China's best conditions.

Although China's foreign trade is stable and supportive, it is still necessary to see that the friction has intensified, and the development of China's foreign trade is still facing many uncertain and unstable factors, especially in the context of "anti-globalization" and geopolitical risks, although there are new development opportunities in China's foreign trade, but also faces many difficulties and challenges, and it takes hard work to complete the annual goals and tasks.

It is necessary to continue to promote the liberalization and facilitation of investment and investment, maintain the multilateral system, take the initiative to expand imports while stabilizing exports, increase efforts to cultivate new formats and new models, and make every effort to prepare for the first China International Import Expo, promote the balanced development of imports and exports, and promote China's foreign trade from "big in and out" to "excellent in and out".

It is necessary to continue to promote the "five optimizations" of the international market layout, the domestic regional layout, the main body of foreign trade operations, the commodity structure and the best way, accelerate the transformation and upgrading of foreign trade bases, the first platform and the "three constructions" of the international marketing network, and accelerate the structural reform of the supply side of foreign trade, especially in reducing the cost of foreign trade enterprises, broadening financing channels, increasing innovation support, improving the level of facilitation and other key and difficult issues to build a long-term mechanism.

It is necessary to comply with the requirements of the economic shift to high-quality development, pay more attention to the quality and efficiency of foreign trade development, and continue to move towards the middle and high-end of the industrial division of labor through innovation-driven and core technology applications, and use the improvement of the market environment and the reduction of transaction costs to attract more high-quality elements of foreign trade to various open platforms such as free trade zones and free trade ports, so as to enhance the comprehensive competitiveness of China's foreign trade.

The continuous growth of our country's foreign trade will also play a role in promoting other countries, because other countries and China can get more financial support in the process, in fact, this society is because of the economic development, if China's economy continues to grow, then other countries' will inevitably continue to grow, and it will also play a role in promoting the economic development of the whole world.

First, China must further open up its economyAlthough China's foreign trade transactions can still achieve positive growth, it must take into account other risk factors in the future in order to formulate a better policy for foreign trade. Foreign trade is very important for our country, in the last two or three decades of development, it is precisely because of the prosperity of foreign trade that the people of our country can live a better life. <>

Second, it is an opportunity for other countries in the process of China's great development, we must seize the opportunity, not like the United States to hit our country, only every country is involved in the first can obtain common interests, other countries should choose to cooperate with China, in order to obtain more long-term foreign trade development. <>

Third, only the cooperation of all countries in the world can obtain a wide range of benefits, and every country alone can not obtain long-term benefits, and only through joint cooperation can we achieve common development, which has become a common sense in economics, and every country must consider the current status quo. <>

Every country has already been hit by the pandemic this year, so in this situation, only cooperation between many countries can get rid of the economic impact of the epidemic. Our country's economy has achieved positive growth, which is also very good news for other countries, because there are many countries cooperating with China in the construction of the Belt and Road Initiative, China's interests have been guaranteed, and other countries can also obtain huge benefits.

In 2019, China's external development is very complex in the face of domestic and international situations. Foreign countries need to face the general trend that the world economy has both short cycles and long cycles and ultra-long cycles. What is difficult to grasp is the comprehensive impact of unconventional and non-economic factors such as the world pattern, structure and order, which dominate the reconstruction of the three major systems of world politics, security and economy, and the changes in a century are impacting China's foreign trade. The United States is brewing a new global strategy conducive to its own development, launching multiple rounds of "attacks" on China's foreign trade, and to a certain extent, it has been forced to deviate from the conventional track.

Domestically, we are in a critical period of reform and opening up, and important domestic and foreign affairs, political and economic issues are intertwined, so China's foreign trade in 2019 has experienced unprecedented challenges. Analyzing the current general trend of China's foreign operation, it is no longer possible to draw simple conclusions based on conventional theories. China hopes to stabilize foreign trade, but the international form is "the tree wants to be quiet and the wind does not stop"!

Look at me one by one.

Jin Baisong: Analysis of China's external situation in 2019 and China's economic outlook in 2020.

1. Key points of the external situation in 2019.

In 2019, China's foreign trade was in a low growth and negative growth trend under the influence of multiple factors.

China's foreign countries, customs statistics in the first 11 months of exports in RMB trillions, growth, estimated annual export growth; Imports in the first 11 trillion months, flat, estimated annual growth; **Is the surplus expected to increase by more than 30%?

In dollar terms, exports fell in the first 11 months, and exports are estimated to grow for the whole year; Imports fell in November, and it is estimated that the whole year will decline; Expected to increase the surplus by 40%?

2. Analysis from exchange rate changes. In 2019, the average annual exchange rate of China's RMB against the US dollar is estimated to be 1:, which is about 1:, which is about 1:, compared with the average exchange rate of 1:.

It is estimated that the annual average of the US dollar index in 2019 is about the same as the average of 18 years.

The CFETS RMB exchange rate index against a basket of currencies rose to 105 from 100 in 2014 to 105 in 2015, and then depreciated step by step, depreciating to 91 in September 2019.

Liang Ming, director of the Foreign Affairs Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce Research Institute, pointed out that in the first half of the year, China's foreign trade had some more prominent characteristics, especially the continuous optimization trend of foreign trade structure.

On the whole, the scale of China's foreign trade has hit a record high. In the first half of this year, China's total import and export volume, export value, and import value all hit a record high, regardless of whether it is denominated in RMB or US dollars. In US dollar terms, the total import and export volume of China's foreign trade in the first half of the year was 100 million US dollars more than the historical high value in 2014; In renminbi terms, it is 100 million yuan more than last year's all-time high.

Ju Jiandong, director of the Center for International Finance and Economics at Tsinghua University, said that the acceleration of the foreign trade surplus in the first half of the year was related to the acceleration of domestic import growth, the simplification of import processes, and the reduction of import tariffs. On the other hand, it is reflected in the adjustment of the structure of the export market.

Su Qingyi, deputy director of the International Research Office of the Institute of World Economics and Politics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, believes that the quality of China's foreign trade has generally increased in the first half of the year. From the perspective of countries, the import and export growth rate with ASEAN is relatively fast; From the point of view of the first way, the general growth is faster; From the perspective of domestic regions, it is the central and western regions that support this round of growth; From the perspective of the nature of enterprises, it is private enterprises that support growth.

The rapid rise of technology and new services, the development of traditional international products has almost stagnated, and the transaction volume of primary products has declined. There is an imbalance between developed and developing countries, and the US-China imbalance is a prominent example; The imbalance between developed countries and the increasingly serious imbalance between the United States, Japan and Europe are becoming more and more serious; Then there is the new imbalance between oil-exporting and importing countries.