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How about you find the person I'm looking for.
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Most of the typhoons occur over the ocean with high sea temperature at 5 20 degrees Celsius north and south latitudes, mainly in eight sea areas, namely the western and eastern North Pacific in the northern hemisphere, the western North Atlantic, the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea, and the western South Pacific and the western and eastern southern Indian Ocean in the southern hemisphere.
It is generally believed that the suitable environmental conditions and flow fields for the formation of typhoons are:
a. Vast high-temperature ocean surface (there are generally no typhoons on the ocean surface where the sea surface is lower than Celsius).
b. Appropriate geostrophic parameters (most typhoons occur at latitude 5 to 20 degrees, which is related to geostrophic deflection forces).
c. The direct shear of the lead in the airflow should be small (in order to accumulate latent heat).
d. Appropriate flow field (energy release environment).
Impact: a. When the North Pacific high pressure ridge is strong and stable in an east-west direction, or when the North Pacific subtropical high continues to extend westward, the typhoon moves westward from the ocean east of the Philippines and makes landfall in the area of Hainan Island or Vietnam through the South China Sea.
b. When the high pressure ridge in the North Pacific Ocean is trending northwest-southeast, the typhoon moves northwest from the ocean east of the Philippines, passes through the Ryukyu Islands, and makes landfall in Jiangsu and Zhejiang in China or across the Taiwan Strait in Zhejiang and Fujian. This path has a large impact on China, especially in East China.
c. When the subtropical high of the North Pacific recedes eastward, the typhoon moves northwest from the sea east of the Philippines and then turns to the northeast, with a parabolic path. It has a great impact on China's eastern coastal areas and Japan.
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I am asking Li Qing, the master of the Q&A, and I am glad to answer for you: dear, the path of the typhoon is according to the following method**: 1
Extrapolation. It is assumed that the tropical cyclone will move in the same direction and speed as in the previous period; 2.Similarity method.
In the historical data, we find out the similarities with the tropical hunger bench cyclones at that time in terms of the time, location, and previous movement path, and use them as a case model as the basis for forecasting. 3.There are also theoretical analysis methods and calculation methods, meteorology is called weather map method, numerical forecasting method, statistical method, etc.
It should be noted that atmospheric circulation is changing rapidly, and the path of typhoons has always been a difficult point for the atmospheric science community. Advanced satellite remote sensing technology has greatly helped in the observation and forecasting of typhoons, and no tropical cyclone in the world will escape their eyes. Since 1988, China's first meteorological satellite "Fengyun-1" was launched, providing more reference data for China's typhoon forecast.
Since the 80s, the meteorological department has basically been able to make correct typhoon forecasts for typhoons that have landed in China.
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I am asking a question and answer the main teacher Zhao to answer for you, **There are several ways to follow the path of typhoons:1Extrapolation.
Based on historical data, it is assumed that tropical cyclones will move in a similar direction and speed in the future as before. 2.Similarity method.
In the past typhoon records, find records similar to the time, place, and movement path of the current typhoon, and use them as the basis for the keystool**. 3.Theoretical Manuscript Segment Travel Analysis and Computational Method.
Numerical simulation and statistical analysis are carried out using meteorological knowledge and computer technology to determine the path of typhoons. These include methods such as weather mapping, numerical forecasting, and statistics.
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Ah, hurry up and end the exam, it's just that time is tight.
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