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The status quo and development trend of the foreign trade industry:
1. The development status of goods in the foreign industry: the growth of goods is strong, and the growth rate has accelerated significantly; The structure of import and export commodities has been further optimized; Exports of processing and general growth are basically synchronized, and the growth rate of imports is different; new growth in key partners; Unbalanced regional development.
2. The grim situation faced by China in the process of foreign trade industry: the lack of independent innovation ability of foreign trade enterprises; Labor-intensive export commodities account for a large proportion of exports; the global economic downturn, the negative impact of the economic crisis; Exports** are highly dependent on developed countries.
3. The development direction of foreign trade salesman. In the case of the prevailing development of the foreign trade industry, the first person is needed, and the person who does foreign trade business needs to have good communication skills, peace of mind and perseverance, and have professional skills.
4. The development direction of senior foreign trade documentary. After finding the customer, from the proofing of the new product, the document review, the contract review, the goods documentary, but also the later contact with the freight forwarder, do the export documents and import documents, regular reminders and later service work.
5. The development direction of advanced documents. This position is required to at least understand the operation of FOB and CIF, the operation of air transportation, sea transportation, telerelease and other modes of transportation, the operation of T T and L C, the handling of C O, Form-A, and inspection, and also be able to do general processing and incoming processing.
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Major listed companies in the foreign ** industry:At present, the main listed companies in the domestic and foreign ** industry are Eternal Asia (alloy investment (Antong (Ginza), Oriental Venture (Wusan, Zhongda (etc.).
Foreign scale, import and export growth, and main market size.
The scale of foreign import and export is increasing year by year
From the perspective of total domestic imports and exports, China's total import and export volume from 2015 to 2020 as a whole showed a trend of first declining and then rising, and the total import and export volume rebounded from 2017 to 2020, and the total domestic import and export value reached one trillion yuan by 2020, a year-on-year increase. Among them, exports of one trillion yuan, an increase of 4%; imports of one trillion yuan, down; ** Surplus trillion yuan, increase.
In the first three quarters of 2021, the total import and export value of China's goods was one trillion yuan, an increase over the same period in 2020. Among them, exports of trillion yuan, growth; Imports trillion yuan, growth.
Imports and exports with major partners have maintained growth
In the first three quarters of 2021, China's top five import and export partners were ASEAN, the European Union, the United States, Japan and South Korea, of which China's total import and export to ASEAN was one trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase. ASEAN continues to maintain the status of China's largest partner, accounting for China's total foreign trade value.
E-commerce platforms have become the main way to expand the foreign trade market
According to the results of the "Survey on the Survival Status of Foreign Trade Enterprises" conducted by the magazine "Import and Export Manager" in October 2021 on 548 foreign trade export enterprises, including manufacturers and merchants, the proportion of enterprises choosing e-commerce platforms has increased in the past three consecutive years, from 2019 to 2021, and in 2021 compared with 2020, it will increase by one percentage point. The outbreak of the new crown epidemic in 2020 has led to the obstruction of normal global exchanges, and the new format and new model of foreign trade represented by cross-border e-commerce have broken the inconvenience of offline transactions, and to a certain extent, made up for the sales losses caused by the decline in exports of foreign trade enterprises, and cross-border e-commerce has greatly improved the risk resistance of the foreign trade market, and it is also the starting point of the digital transformation of foreign trade enterprises.
In the survey on the choice of foreign trade services required by enterprises, in 2021, the proportion of logistics choices jumped to the first place, a significant increase of one percentage point, reflecting that the obstruction of logistics and freight is the most prominent problem under the influence of the epidemic, and enterprises urgently need high-quality logistics services. In addition, the proportion of e-commerce has risen to the second place, the proportion of enterprises has been selected, and the rest of the survey items are ranked as exhibition, buyer credit investigation, certification, information consulting, finance, insurance, law and others.
The above data refer to the Prospective Industry Research InstituteAnalysis report on market prospect and investment strategic planning of China's foreign industry
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**Enterprises include distribution industry, pharmacy industry, water, electricity and gas circulation industry, catering service industry, logistics industry.
The industry includes eight major components, including the pure industry, the distribution industry in the enterprise, the circulation industry, the circulation industry with information as the medium, the pharmacy industry, the water, electricity and gas circulation industry, the catering service industry, and the logistics industry.
Pure ** industry
Pure industry is directly engaged in the purchase and sale of goods in the industry, divided into wholesale and retail, they directly reflect the social function, is the main body of the organization of commodity circulation, is the basis of the social structure.
Wholesale is specialized in the purchase of goods from production units and resale to retail sales or production units. It is at the starting point or intermediate stage of commodities, responsible for transferring commodities from the field of production to the field of circulation, from the place of origin to the place of sale, and is the link between the organization of commodity circulation between urban and rural areas, between regions, and between production departments and retail.
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1 In April, China's foreign trade development continued to grow, with the total import and export value reaching one trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase, and the scale hit a record high in the same period in history. Among them, in January and April, exports to traditional markets such as the European Union, the United States, Japan and Hong Kong increased respectively, pulling up the overall export growth rate by one percentage point.
18,497 foreign-invested enterprises were newly established in the country, a year-on-year increase and an increase over the same period in 2019; The actual use of foreign capital was 481 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase and an increase over the same period in 2019. From the perspective of industries, the actual use of foreign capital in the service industry was 381.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase.
Overall, the volume of corporate orders still maintained a high growth trend, but the analysis of each month's growth data can be found that the growth margin of orders is slowing down, especially in March and May, which has various factors, but the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate in the past two months is a very important factor.
According to the World Economic Outlook report released by the International Monetary Organization, the global economy is expected to grow by 6% in 2021, an increase of one percentage point from the January value. It is expected that China's foreign trade economy will grow in 2021, an increase of one percentage point from the ** value in January. Economies in advanced economies are expected to grow in 2021, while emerging market and developing economies are expected to grow.
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Reply. First, the import and export value increased quarter by quarter, and the year-on-year growth rate slowed down. In 2017, China's import and export value increased quarter by quarter, respectively trillion yuan, trillion yuan, trillion yuan and trillion yuan, respectively. Second, the import and export of the top three ** partners have grown simultaneously, and the import and export growth trend of some countries along the "Belt and Road" is good.
In 2017, China's imports and exports to the European Union, the United States and ASEAN increased respectively, accounting for the total value of China's imports and exports. In the same period, China's imports and exports to Russia, Poland and Kazakhstan increased respectively, which were higher than the overall growth. Third, the import and export of private enterprises has increased, and the proportion has increased.
In 2017, the import and export of China's private enterprises increased by one trillion yuan, accounting for China's total import and export value, an increase of one percentage point over 2016. Among them, exports of one trillion yuan, growth, accounting for the total export value, continue to maintain the first position in the share of exports, the proportion increased by one percentage point; Imports were trillionone yuan, an increase of 22%.
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Enterprises specializing in foreign trade import and export mainly sell domestic products to foreign countries and regions through various channels.
Most of these companies do not have their own factories, but they have factories that cooperate closely, and their business is network sales, exhibitions, etc.
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RCEP has injected new impetus into the development of foreign trade
On November 15, 2020, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) was officially signed during the East Asia Cooperation Leaders' Meeting. This is a free trade area dominated by Asian economies, on the basis of the 10 ASEAN countries, plus China, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand five countries, the population, economic aggregate and regional ** of RCEP member countries account for about 30% of the world's **, is the world's largest free trade area, the economic integration of the Asian region is of great significance.
On the one hand, through investment facilitation measures and economic and technical cooperation, the RCEP simplifies and integrates multiple rules, reduces transaction costs, and improves the development environment in the Asian region.
On the other hand, on the basis of the original different tariff reduction arrangements or rules, the overall negotiation and arrangement can obtain a single catalogue or rules for the collective action of all members, which will help to greatly promote the process of regional integration in Asia.
In 2020, the total value of China's imports and exports to the other 14 RCEP member countries was one trillion yuan, an increase, accounting for the total value of China's imports and exports in the same period. Among them, exports of one trillion yuan, an increase of 5%; Imports trillion yuan, growth.
From the perspective of export commodities, the export of mechanical and electrical products is one trillion yuan, an increase, accounting for the total export value to RCEP member countries in the same period. Among them, integrated circuits were 100 million yuan, an increase of 15%; Automatic data processing equipment and its parts and components billions of yuan, growth. In the same period, the export of labor-intensive products was 944.8 billion yuan, an increase.
From the perspective of imported goods, the import of integrated circuits is one trillion yuan, an increase; automatic data processing equipment and its parts and components were 100 million yuan, an increase of 8%; iron ore billion yuan, growth; Primary shape of plastic billions, declined.
China has been an active participant and promoter of RCEP for many years. In the new round of restructuring of the global system, RCEP is an important cornerstone for China to build a global high-quality free network, and the conclusion of RCEP will also win the strategic initiative for China and even Asia in the fierce competition of global rule-making.
Analysis of the development trend of the external industry
In the context of the overall recovery of the global economy and the rapid development of the epidemic, the advantages of China's first chain priority recovery will continue to be reflected. On the other hand, the tilt of global demand towards China is expected to continue for a period of time, and on the whole, it is expected that the growth rate of China's import and export will further rebound in 2021.
The above data and analysis ** refer to the "Analysis report on market prospect and investment strategic planning of China's foreign industry
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The current trend in the development of China's foreign trade industry is:
Specifically, in terms of the foreign trade market, China's foreign trade enterprises have achieved positive results in deeply cultivating traditional markets and exploring emerging markets. From January to April, exports to traditional markets such as the European Union, the United States, Japan, and Hong Kong increased respectively, increasing the overall export growth rate by one percentage point; Exports to emerging markets such as ASEAN, Latin America, and Africa increased by 29% and 29% respectively, driving up the overall export growth rate by one percentage point.
In terms of foreign trade entities, private enterprises continue to play the role of the main force. From January to April, 61,655 new foreign operators were recorded. The export of private enterprises was one trillion yuan, an increase of 45%, pulling up the overall export growth rate by one percentage point, accounting for an increase of one percentage point over the same period last year.
In terms of foreign trade products, the "stay-at-home economy" products continued to drive export growth, and the exports of some labor-intensive products recovered growth. From January to April, the export of "home economy" products such as computers, mobile phones, household appliances, lamps and toys increased by 59% respectively, pulling up the overall export growth rate by one percentage point. The progress of vaccination in advanced economies is relatively fast, people's demand for travel has increased, and exports of clothing, shoes, and bags have recovered growth, with growth rates of 41% and 41% respectively.
In terms of foreign trade formats, new formats and new models are booming, and the endogenous driving force has been further enhanced. Cross-border e-commerce maintained rapid growth, with an import and export value of 419.5 billion yuan from January to March, an increase. Bonded maintenance of processing has been steadily promoted, which plays an important role in driving high-quality employment and guiding industrial agglomeration.
In April, the 129th Canton Fair was successfully held online, with 10,000 enterprises participating in the exhibition and buyers from 227 countries and regions registering to visit the exhibition, bringing new business opportunities to global exhibitors under the epidemic.
In terms of import growth, the person in charge analyzed that the import growth rate was pulled up by the demand factor and the first factor: on the one hand, the domestic economy was stable and good to drive the growth of imports, and the manufacturing PMI remained in the expansion range, driving the import demand for energy resources, raw materials and spare parts. On the other hand, since the beginning of this year, some bulk commodities have been rapid, and the average import prices of soybeans, iron ore and copper ore have increased respectively, and the total number of factors has increased the overall import growth rate by one percentage point.
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