What difficulties will China s macroeconomy face during the Twelfth Five Year Plan period?

The adjustment of industrial structure is facing difficulties; The contradiction between resource development and sustainable use is more prominent; Structural unemployment will increase; The consumer ** index will increase, and the trend of inflation is not encouraging.

Economic growth is overheated, inflationary pressure is high, foreign exchange reserves are growing sharply, there is excess liquidity, China's consumption rate is obviously low, and in recent years there has been a trend of accelerated decline, and China's savings rate is high.

China should take advantage of the favorable conditions of the high savings rate to continue to expand investment.

The premature onset of the balance of payments surplus is not in conformity.

The currency appreciates rapidly externally and depreciates internally.

Uneven hyperinflation and relative monetary tightening.

Local ** debt problem.

Security issues in the financial system.

Employment problems after the gradual loss of labor advantages.

First, it is necessary to thoroughly implement the Scientific Outlook on Development. The 12th Five-Year Plan outlines China's economic growth rate of 7% per year during the 12th Five-Year Plan period. What does this mean?

Is it that China's economy will be bored in the "12th Five-Year Plan"? No. If we do it in the past, 10% is possible, so why emphasize this 7%?

My understanding is that this reflects the firm determination of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period to focus our work on improving economic efficiency and improving the quality of economic growth, and to apply more of the fruits of development and development to people's livelihood. "7%" indicates that during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, we must no longer sacrifice the environment and excessive consumption of resources in exchange for high-speed growth, and can no longer blindly pave the way, and we must prevent the phenomenon of increasing the development goals of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" at the local level, and implement the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan". Not pursuing high speed does not mean that you can be easier and lazy, and this is by no means the case.

On the contrary, to persist in scientific development, to improve the quality and efficiency of labor productivity and economic growth, and to build a "two-type society," we need to make greater painstaking efforts and do more in-depth and arduous work in order to achieve this. [Second, the key to transforming the mode of economic development depends on scientific and technological progress, and it is necessary to enhance the ability of scientific and technological innovation. I think it is important to straighten out the income distribution relationship.

In the past 10 years, I have studied and analyzed the multiple relationship between GDP, fiscal revenue, foreign trade exports, fixed capital formation, final consumption, corporate profits, and the income growth of urban and rural residents. It can be seen from this that the income of urban and rural residents with the lowest growth factor is the income of urban and rural residents, followed by final consumption, which reflects the structure of our economy and the structure of income distribution, and also shows that in the distribution of social wealth, relatively much of it flows to enterprises in the form of profits and to finance in the form of taxes. Residents' incomes have not increased much, and because the social security system is not yet perfect, residents have worries about consumption, so they have deposited a lot of money in banks, and the growth rate of savings is also very high.

Enterprises and enterprises have made use of profits and tax revenues, as well as residents' savings deposits, to increase investment and develop production and increase exports, which has become an important feature of China's economy to maintain strong growth for a long time, or an important driving force. This form and mode of development can also be said to be a basic feature of our mode of development. The "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" outline puts forward "two improvements", namely:

efforts should be made to increase the proportion of workers' remuneration in the primary distribution; Increase the proportion of residents' income in the distribution of national income. "Two synchronizations", namely: strive to achieve the synchronization of residents' income growth and economic development; The growth of labor remuneration has been synchronized with the increase in labor productivity.

These "two improvements" and "two synchronizations" are very important, and I understand that they are one of the major measures to transform the mode of economic development during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period.

Population increase leads to great employment pressure, China's national economy also needs to start from all aspects, strengthen taxation, including whether the tax threshold should continue to be raised, although the problem of food and clothing is satisfied, but the rich are still rich, and the poor are still poor, whether the common prosperity of the whole people has been achieved? Wait a minute. These problems have not been fundamentally solved!

, gross domestic product, fiscal revenue, foreign trade exports, fixed capital formation, final consumption, corporate profits.

1) Development is the advance and rise of things, the birth of new things, and the death of old things. China's economic development must change its economic development mode and promote sustainable development. The future of the development of things is bright, and the road is tortuous.

We must have firm confidence in China's economic development. At the same time, we must dare to face difficulties in development. Quantitative change is the premise and foundation of qualitative change, and China's economic development should pay attention to structural adjustment, coordinated regional development, and promote the transformation of economic development mode.

Qualitative change is the inevitable result of quantitative change, and we must seize the opportunity to promote qualitative change. China's economic development should be based on domestic and foreign development opportunities, and promote the improvement of China's economy.

2) The two sides of the contradiction are both opposing and unified. Innovation and protection are two opposing and unified aspects of the development of the arts and crafts industry. Protection is the premise of innovation, innovation can promote the development of traditional arts and crafts, innovation is the greatest protection of traditional arts and crafts.

Dialectical negation is the link of the connection and development of things, the essence of dialectical negation is "abandonment", so can not leave the traditional arts and crafts itself empty talk about innovation, the protection of traditional arts and crafts is the foundation of innovation. Therefore, the view that "the development of innovation in the arts and crafts industry is more important than protection" is wrong.

3) to pay attention to Jiangsu, the country and even the world changes and develop the reality, dare to break through the traditional arts and crafts industry and the reality does not conform to the rules and regulations, abandon the backward, not adapt to the development of the times things. Pay attention to the study of new situations, dare to find new ideas, establish new ideas, open up new realms, and constantly integrate traditional arts and crafts into the trend of the development of the times.