As for the economy and real estate problems, I know that I enter

First, the impact of the real estate bubble: 1. Real estate has not expanded in other industries due to the fact that it only rises but does not fall, and they have invested in real estate investment. Other industries have been squeezed hard.

Except for the rapid expansion of real estate-related industries, all other industries have fallen into a malaise. When the bubble is serious (as it is now), the buyers who just need to buy a house cannot afford it, and only investors are selling and selling, and finally it is a bubble crash when no one wants the original house. Of course, the withdrawal of investors is also coming in waves.

There are also those who come later and want to do it. But there is always a handful that will die miserably. Now that you just need to buy a house, you can't afford to buy a house, and there are so many millionaires in society?

Even a down payment of three or five hundred thousand yuan is something that most farmers do not have. Just need is weak, there is only room for speculating tenants, if speculating tenants withdraw, who wants a house? All those who think that the house does not fall have two opinions:

1) Peasants want to go to the cities, 2) Land resources are limited. However, considering that Japan's per capita land area is only one-third of that of eastern China, it still collapsed. When peasants go to the cities, it is still quite difficult to get a loan to buy a house based on the high income of the peasants now.

Moreover, many farmers are the main family members who work, and the parents of children have to support them at home. As a result, real estate is bound to collapse. Even though my family has four houses, I still think so.

Two: many enterprises can't persevere, and the real estate squeeze industry development has something to do with it, but the biggest relationship is the tightening of bank credit, resulting in the inability of small and medium-sized enterprises to finance. The income of the higher income class in the past twenty or thirty years is tied to real estate, so it is unable to expand consumption, which directly leads to sluggish consumption, which is also a blow to production enterprises.

Export-oriented companies are mainly due to the collapse of weaker demand in Europe and the United States. Business closures mean many people lose their jobs, and no income means higher crime and home outages.

Three: China's economic collapse route is: 1, a large number of enterprises closed; 2. Real estate collapse; 3. The banking sector lost its ability to pay, and the financial system shrank and collapsed across the board. 4. The exchange rate fell sharply. 5. Social crisis.

If the bank does not lose its ability to pay, it will over-issue currency, and the renminbi will fly all over the sky. The Chinese model is not quite the same as the Japanese model. When Japan's real estate collapsed, Toyota, Sony, Honda and other companies were already world-class.

And in our country there is only real estate. Therefore, if real estate collapses, it will be a thousand times worse than in Japan.

Judging from the current M2 value in China, it will not let the real estate collapse. But the wave of business closures has begun. It's still too late to exchange dollars, and it's hard to get to the second step.

For the sake of me typing so many words, give it to me.

It depends on whether the local government is willing to lower the reserve price of land transfer. There is only one way to reduce housing prices, which is to liberalize the first-class land market, so that rural collective economic organizations have complete power over collective land and can compete with state-owned land on the market.

Developers can definitely hold on to the end, and if they want to die, other industries will die first. Because real estate retains its value at the highest rate.

Consequences: Refer to Fisher's equation mv=pt. The total amount of money is determined by the velocity of circulation and the amount of base money.

The renminbi cannot be freely convertible, foreign currencies cannot enter or exit, and the exchange rate is actually determined by the People's Bank of China. There is no such thing as a nominal devaluation. The actual depreciation of the domestic market will also be controlled by the central bank to a certain extent, and the deposit and interest rate will be sufficient.

I am in the real estate business, and I can be sure that the current real estate bubble has been pulling and supporting the national economy. The state will not let the real estate market collapse, because if the real estate market collapses now, then it will be a devastating blow to the country's economy. It will also have a serious impact on the international economy.

Once the economy collapses, then panic and unrest will follow.

In fact, there will be some hidden dangers in any industry that is developing too fast, and the real estate industry is no exception, and China's real estate industry is facing many problems.

The first is that land prices are too high, and housing prices continue to be **. In July 2010, housing sales in 70 large and medium-sized cities across the country were **year-on-year**. In July, new residential sales were year-on-year.

Among them, affordable housing sales **year-on-year**; Commercial residential sales, including ordinary residential sales, high-end residential sales.

From this, it can be found that the selling price of houses and the selling price of newly built commercial houses are gradually**. High housing prices will affect the country's economic growth and continue to grow steadily, and at the same time, homebuyers will be overburdened with mortgages.

The second is the imbalance in the structure of supply and demand in the real estate market. The structural contradiction between real estate supply and demand is prominent, and the strange phenomenon of "shortage and surplus" coexists in the property market, and the supply of housing suitable for general middle and low consumers is in short supply, while the supply of high-end housing for high-end consumers is oversupplied. The vacancy rate of high-end commercial housing remains high, but the demand for low-end commercial housing has huge potential but is not effective, and the market order is in a state of chaos.

The second is the information asymmetry in the process of real estate transactions. The phenomenon of information asymmetry in the process of real estate transactions often occurs, which is mainly manifested in the fact that real estate developers and sellers have a large amount of substantive information about housing products, and they only publish a certain amount of information to consumers, and consumers are in a position of information disadvantage in this regard.

Hello, now the question is.

First, it is a great test for the cash flow and capital chain of real estate enterprises.

Second, sales strategy and positioning are also crucial for the hematopoietic function of the enterprise and the impact of the return of fundsThird, how to correctly understand the real estate policy and mortgage policy to find the best strategic defense and offense. This round of regulation will be until the middle of next year or the end of next year, so it is necessary to quickly sell the real estate in hand, store grain for the winter, and the rest is king. The Tao is this Tao, and the principle is still that principle, depending on each person's practice.