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It depends on the international climate, because this is mainly caused by the global financial crisis caused by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, which has dragged down the world's major economies, including China, at this stage, the world's major affected countries have joined forces to rescue the market, in order to better avoid the financial crisis to bring greater damage to the real economy, China's first effective fiscal policy and monetary policy functions, such as interest rate cuts, reduction of the reserve requirement ratio, and subsidy policies or tax rebate policies for some industries These are relatively effective in stabilizing the development of the real economy, and at present, it seems that the overall situation in China is not bad.
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The United States is such a country whose financial power far exceeds its production capacity, its GDP accounts for 35% of the world's GDP, and the market value of the US capital market accounts for 54% of the global capital market. The U.S. dollar accounts for 72% of global foreign exchange reserves and 58% of global ** settlements. It is clear that no country has yet been able to shake its hegemony.
The financial crisis that is breaking out now is no different in nature from the collapse of '29, it is nothing more than the uncontrolled amplification of credit that can be said to be maliciously amplified, the financial crisis leads to a credit crisis, and further the collapse of confidence, and the market will go to a very irrational level. This is not a localized crisis, and its impact is deeper and longer than any other. Today's world is different from the past, and it is difficult to directly contribute to the rapid collapse of an empire by means of war, and I believe that the United States will still come out of the crisis this time.
Because this is a country that is particularly good at making a fortune in crisis, it was the outbreak of World War I and World War II that quickly led to the strength of the United States. One of the secrets to making a fortune is this: the virtual capital bubble on Wall Street burst, real assets remain in the United States, and this time it will be the same, and the United States will be the final winner.
It is important to know that the fundamental nature of capital is profit-seeking, and this is a fundamental starting point that other countries should not forget when considering the measures taken in this crisis. So far, we can see from a detail that in the case of such a bad crisis, the ban on short sales was lifted, which led to a further plunge on October 9, and when the 29 year of the big stock market crash to rescue the crisis, or when Coolidge was in power, the first thing to start was to conduct a large-scale investigation on the collection of ** short selling transactions, and in this case, short selling is also allowed, which is extremely harmful, which can only show that some interest groups are still trying their best to maintain the original order, and they are still slapping their swollen faces and filling fat. It seems to me that this is no different from the nature of the executive of AIG going on vacation after going bankrupt, and then the SEC was formed. It can be seen that the forces that maintain the old order are still strong, and the United States is still trying to rebuild a new order as the boss, but it may not be until the end of 2014 that it will come out of this crisis.
Among them, it was a real bear market that took three years from December 2011 to November 2014. The current collapse has only just begun. In 29 years, there was also a 50% history after the rapid **, so don't think that the crisis is over with optimism that the crisis has ended for the first time since the US ** crash lasted**.
This is a general correction to the multi-year bull market in the United States. Therefore, the strategy is not to be busy with **, but to find the right opportunity to go short is the big idea.
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October 23rd.
The U.S. "International**" article pointed out in an article on October 23 that a group of economic experts commented on the topic of "when the financial crisis will end", but did not arouse the attention of the general public. In fact, everyone is concerned about "how long will the financial crisis last?" ”
Will the crisis end soon? Is it for three years? Or five years? Let people be more or less mentally prepared, use a normal mentality to deal with the reality of the crisis, adjust their lives and tide over the difficulties together.
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The current financial crisis was caused by the United States.
Residential market. bubble facilitated. In some ways, this financial crisis is related to:
Second world war.
There are similarities in other crises that erupt every 4 to 10 years after the end.
However, between financial crises, there are essential differences. The current crisis marks the end of an era of credit expansion that was built on as global.
Reserve currency. on the basis of the US dollar. Other.
Cyclical crises.
is part of a larger boom-bust process. The current financial crisis is the culmination of a super-boom cycle that has lasted for more than 60 years.
Boom-bust cycles often revolve around credit conditions, and there is always a bias or misunderstanding involved. This is usually a failure to recognize the willingness to lend and.
There is a reflexive, cyclical relationship between the value of the collateral. If credit is readily available, it creates demand, and this demand drives up the value of real estate; This, in turn, increases the amount of credit available. When people buy property and expect to be able to buy from.
Mortgage. Refinance, and a bubble is created. The boom in the U.S. housing market in recent years is a testament to this.
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It's going to be at least a year, because the current financial crisis is already very serious, the recovery process is very hard and very slow, and you really have to live a good life, it's impossible to live without 2 3, wait slowly.
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It is estimated that it will be slowed down until it is controlled by next year, but it will be ** in the future.
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According to expert analysis, the spread trend has gradually declined this year, and it is estimated that it will be slowed down or even controlled by next year.
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According to relevant reports, if the financial crisis is divided into seven stages, it should be in the third stage by now. Hehe.
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A financial crisis, also known as a financial turmoil, refers to a sharp, short-lived, and super-cyclical deterioration of all or most of the financial indicators of a country or several countries and regions.
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A financial crisis refers to a situation in which all or most of financial indicators such as interest rates, exchange rates, assets**, corporate solvency, and financial institution failure indices deteriorate, making it impossible to continue normal investment and financing activities.
Although there are many people who are doing all kinds of things about the end and improvement of the crisis, from a prudent point of view, it is absolutely impossible to predict that the crisis will end like this. It is no longer a financial event, because it is transmitted in a spiral: we can see that the sharp rise in US housing prices has caused the mortgage industry to suffer huge losses, and the Wall Street financial giants involved in the subprime derivatives business have been pulled down, and other financial institutions around the world that have financial transactions with them have not been spared. >>>More
It is estimated that it will take 2-3 years to pass, but it will not return to the way it used to be. The United States is such a country whose financial power far exceeds its production capacity, its GDP accounts for 35% of the world's GDP, and the market value of the US capital market accounts for 54% of the global capital market. The U.S. dollar accounts for 72% of global foreign exchange reserves and 58% of global ** settlements. >>>More
Now the financial crisis in China is not as serious as it is, and you are not in the United States right now, and although China's economy has been hit, it will not be a Great Depression, and it will not be impossible to find jobs. >>>More
Financial crisis is pronounced as financial crisis. >>>More
The financial crisis is not only a reshuffle, but also an opportunity for migrant workers to adapt to multiple types of work; It is a baptism, a test, and a learning for civil servants and entrepreneurs who take the road of Chinese social characteristics. Make our leaders more confident and powerful. Leading China's ships to move forward better.