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It is estimated that it will take 2-3 years to pass, but it will not return to the way it used to be. The United States is such a country whose financial power far exceeds its production capacity, its GDP accounts for 35% of the world's GDP, and the market value of the US capital market accounts for 54% of the global capital market. The U.S. dollar accounts for 72% of global foreign exchange reserves and 58% of global ** settlements.
It is clear that no country has yet been able to shake its hegemony. The financial crisis that is breaking out now is no different in nature from the collapse of '29, it is nothing more than the uncontrolled amplification of credit that can be said to be maliciously amplified, the financial crisis leads to a credit crisis, and further the collapse of confidence, and the market will go to a very irrational level. This is not a localized crisis, and its impact is deeper and longer than any other.
Today's world is different from the past, and it is difficult to directly contribute to the rapid collapse of an empire by means of war, and I believe that the United States will still come out of the crisis this time. Because this is a country that is particularly good at making a fortune in crisis, it was the outbreak of World War I and World War II that quickly led to the strength of the United States. One of the secrets to making a fortune is:
The virtual capital bubble on Wall Street burst, and real assets remained in the United States, and it will be the same this time, and the United States will be the final winner. It is important to know that the fundamental nature of capital is profit-seeking, and this is a fundamental starting point that other countries should not forget when considering the measures taken in this crisis. So far, we can see from a detail that in the case of such a bad crisis, the ban on short sales was lifted, which led to a further plunge on October 9, and when the 29 year of the big stock market crash to rescue the crisis, or when Coolidge was in power, the first thing to start was to conduct a large-scale investigation on the collection of ** short selling transactions, and in this case, short selling is also allowed, which is extremely harmful, which can only show that some interest groups are still trying their best to maintain the original order, and they are still slapping their swollen faces and filling fat. It seems to me that this is no different from the nature of the executive of AIG going on vacation after going bankrupt, and then the SEC was formed.
It can be seen that the forces that maintain the old order are still strong, and the United States is still trying to rebuild a new order as the boss, but it may not be until the end of 2014 that it will come out of this crisis. Among them, it was a real bear market that took three years from December 2011 to November 2014. The current collapse has only just begun.
In 29 years, there was also a 50% history after the rapid **, so don't think that the crisis is over with optimism that the crisis has ended for the first time since the US ** crash lasted**. This is a general correction to the multi-year bull market in the United States. Therefore, the strategy is not to be busy with **, but to find the right opportunity to go short is the big idea.
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It is uncertain whether the crisis will deepen, but I think this crisis should pass soon, more like the second world economic crisis. With that first two experiences. It shouldn't be long;
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2 5 years.
The financial crisis refers to the crisis of financial assets, financial institutions, and financial markets, which is often accompanied by a large number of business failures, increased unemployment, and a general economic depression in society, and sometimes, Musk expressed a relatively pessimistic view of the economic situation in 2022 under a tweet: "**The macroeconomy is challenging, and my intuition is that the Great Recession will be around the spring or summer of 2022, but no later than 2023". Therefore, the financial crisis lasted for about 2 5 years, and there is another important dimension that has not been taken into account about the trend of this year, that is, the stock currency is locked in the property market, but the accumulation of incremental currency is slow, and it cannot cover the new chips of A-shares in the short term (IPO continues to increase).
2022 is a year for 99% of people to endure.
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This year is not a financial crisis. The financial crisis is characterized by a relatively large depreciation of the currency value of the entire region, a relatively large reduction in the total economic volume and economic scale, and a blow to economic growth, often accompanied by a large number of business closures, an increase in unemployment, a general economic depression in society, and sometimes even social unrest or national political turmoil.
A financial crisis refers to a crisis of financial assets or financial institutions or financial markets, which is manifested in the substantial collapse of financial assets or the failure or verge of failure of financial institutions or a financial market such as a bond market. Systemic financial crises refer to crises that affect the entire financial system and even the entire economic system, such as the financial crisis that triggered the Great Depression in the West in 1930, or the financial crisis that broke out on September 15, 2008 and triggered the global economic crisis.
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It shouldn't be, ** big fall and big rise is a financial crisis, if this is the case, we will all have losses in investment and financial management. Probably not, the interest on my investment in Toubao Financial is still 18%. Don't worry about it.
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Yes, the main effects of the financial crisis have passed, but the aftermath is still there.
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The current financial crisis was caused by the United States.
Residential market. bubble facilitated. In some ways, this financial crisis is related to:
Second world war.
There are similarities in other crises that erupt every 4 to 10 years after the end.
However, between financial crises, there are essential differences. The current crisis marks the end of an era of credit expansion that was built on as global.
Reserve currency. on the basis of the US dollar. Other.
Cyclical crises.
is part of a larger boom-bust process. The current financial crisis is the culmination of a super-boom cycle that has lasted for more than 60 years.
Boom-bust cycles often revolve around credit conditions, and there is always a bias or misunderstanding involved. This is usually a failure to recognize the willingness to lend and.
There is a reflexive, cyclical relationship between the value of the collateral. If credit is readily available, it creates demand, and this demand drives up the value of real estate; This, in turn, increases the amount of credit available. When people buy property and expect to be able to buy from.
Mortgage. Refinance, and a bubble is created. The boom in the U.S. housing market in recent years is a testament to this.
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It's going to be at least a year, because the current financial crisis is already very serious, the recovery process is very hard and very slow, and you really have to live a good life, it's impossible to live without 2 3, wait slowly.
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It is estimated that it will be slowed down until it is controlled by next year, but it will be ** in the future.
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According to expert analysis, the spread trend has gradually declined this year, and it is estimated that it will be slowed down or even controlled by next year.
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According to relevant reports, if the financial crisis is divided into seven stages, it should be in the third stage by now. Hehe.
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