There will be no typhoon on Shimokawa Island now

It's May, and typhoons generally occur in summer and autumn, when the probability of a typhoon occurring is very low.

Xiachuan Island is located in Xiachuan Town, Taishan City, Guangdong Province, on the west side of the Pearl River Estuary. There are few typhoons that affect the Pearl River Estuary in May, but in recent years, typhoons have made landfall earlier and earlier, such as in early May 2006 (landfall in China) and early April 2008 (landfall in China). However, although Typhoon Chanhong, the second typhoon of this year, is active over the central and western parts of the South China Sea, it is now almost certain that it will not affect Xiachuan Island, and the paths of JMA, CMA, CWB, and Pagasa do not show that it will affect the area, and the typhoon may weaken in the Bass Strait, and then it may weaken into a low pressure and enter the Taiwan Strait, with weak intensity.

You can go to Shimokawa Island with confidence.

Xiachuan Island is located in Zhuhai, that is, near the Pearl River Delta, although there are very few typhoons in May all year round that will affect the place, but this year there is a typhoon Chanhong in the central part of the South China Sea, although it will move to the northeast, basically will not affect the place, but its path is still variable, so you can go 1 or more, just pay close attention to the daily weather forecast.

According to the same person above, the international tropical cyclone forecasting agency JTWC said that Tropical Storm Chanhong will slowly turn to the coast of Zhejiang after the westward extension of the subtropical high, and the intensity will remain slightly strengthened. There will be no impact on the area.

**The Meteorological Observatory issued a typhoon blue warning at 10 o'clock on the 30th:

The center of this year's No. 6 tropical storm "Umbia" was located at 08:00 on the 30th about 230 kilometers southeast of Scarborough Shoal, that is, north latitude, east longitude, the maximum wind near the center has a maximum wind force of 8 (20 meters and seconds), the minimum pressure of the center is 996 hPa, and the radius of the wind circle of level 7 is 220 kilometers.

It is expected that "Wenbia" will move northwest at a speed of 25-30 kilometers per hour, and will soon enter the eastern part of the South China Sea around noon on the 30th, and then approach the coastal areas from western Guangdong to eastern Hainan, gradually strengthening in intensity, and may make landfall along the above coasts from the night of the 1st to the day of the 2nd.

Affected by it, from 14 o'clock on the 30th to 14 o'clock on the 1st, there will be 6-8 gale force winds in the central and northern parts of the South China Sea, the Bass Strait, the Balintang Strait and China's Huangyan Island, and the wind strength in the nearby sea area where the center of "Umbia" passes through will be 9-10, with gusts up to 11.

Wenbia has already moved to western Guangdong, and it is likely to make landfall in western Guangdong on the 1st-2nd, so it will be a typhoon if you go to Xiachuan Island.

Probably not! You see the weather has been so nice these days.

I want to travel there

The life of a typhoon is generally about 10 days, and it will take 2 weeks, and you ask if there is a typhoon on No. 2829, and the time is still early.

But you don't have to worry, the typhoon season is in July-October, quote (hard typing):

1。The westward trend of the typhoon moved westward from the east of the Philippines through the South China Sea and finally made landfall on China's Hainan Island or northern Vietnam, mostly in October-November.

2。Landfall: The typhoon moved northwestward, passed through the Taiwan Strait, made landfall along the coasts of Guangdong, Fujian and Zhejiang in China, and gradually weakened into a depression.

This type of typhoon has the greatest impact on China. In recent years, the two typhoons "9015" and "9711", which have had the greatest impact on Jiangsu, belong to this type, and they are basically this kind of path from July to August;

3。Parabolic type: The typhoon first moves northwestward, and when it approaches the eastern coastal areas of China, it turns to the northeast without making landfall and turns towards the vicinity of Japan, with a parabolic path that mostly occurs in May-June and September-November.

So now, the probability of Kawashima typhoon is around 2, so be satisfied.

Typing is hard, ask for a rating.