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The continuous progress of information technology has indeed led to the development of the Internet industry and is moving towards today's prosperity. In the process, many jobs have disappeared and many others have emerged. However, the number of jobs created by the Internet industry is smaller than the number of jobs it replaces.
For example, China's e-commerce industry is not underdeveloped, and the rise of the e-commerce industry in China has not only replaced a large number of offline physical store jobs, but also created jobs such as couriers, customer service and engineers. It is undeniable that the number of jobs created by the e-commerce industry is smaller than the number of jobs it replaces. Snapchat, for example, was valued at $15 billion in 2015, but the company had more than 300 employees at the time.
Facebook spent $22 billion on WhatsApp's acquisition of WhatsApp, which had more than 50 employees at the time. When more advanced and cheaper technologies are used in a variety of industries, it often means that only a smaller number of people can create as much value as or even more than they should have been.
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AI will eliminate the dependence on labor in many industries, unleashing a large working population. How should ex-drivers who leave their cabs, ex-farmers who leave their land, and other large numbers of people who have been stripped of their jobs by artificial intelligence sustain themselves? This is the challenge that artificial intelligence brings to social governance.
Historically, technological progress has continued to eliminate old jobs and create new ones. For example, the popularity of cars has eliminated jobs for rickshaw drivers but created jobs for taxi drivers.
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You don't have to be afraid that AI will take away your job, but you need to be rational about the impact of AI. In the short term, with the development of artificial intelligence, it will still be inevitable to deal with those single.
1. Adverse effects of heavy labor and precision jobs that cannot be handled by labor; But in the long run, the advent of artificial intelligence will change people's lifestyles and improve work efficiency, and the positive effects far outweigh the negative effects.
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Artificial intelligence will not reduce the total number of jobs in society, but there will be a period of pain, during which a large number of people will have careers, and the salary level and living standards of a large number of people will deteriorate sharply. But this process can be as little as three to five years, and as long as ten years. After this stage of adjustment and adaptation, a large number of new jobs brought by artificial intelligence have been filled by batches.
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Artificial intelligence has reduced the proportion of people in the working population who are directly engaged in productive labor, and there is no longer a need for many workers and farmers. What should the freed labor force do? The most reasonable direction is to shift labor to service and care for people, and to meet people's emotional needs.
People are the sum of social relations, and communication between people is destined to be irreplaceable by artificial intelligence. Therefore, in the era of the popularization of artificial intelligence, there should be more service jobs such as psychological counselors, preschool teachers, first-class doctors, and elderly escorts in society. At that time, office workers will not encounter the dilemma of "sudden business trips, no one to take the children at home", and there will be professionally trained service personnel to come to do the work for them.
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While it is true that the accelerated adoption of artificial intelligence and robotics will affect human jobs, the short-term impact is far less exaggerated from the current perspective. To put it simply, new technologies make some jobs disappear, but at the same time will create new jobs, these jobs often have a higher demand for the quality of the employed, workers may not reach it in a short time, but it will promote the development of labor supply in this direction, after a certain period of time, people's quality improves, and they can naturally meet the employment needs after the new technology is generated.
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In 2017, experts from the University of Oxford and Yale conducted a large-scale survey of machine learning researchers. By 2050, AI will be able to write best-sellers**, win the hardest math competitions, and perform surgeries on its own. After 2060, AI will overtake humans in all jobs.
After 2140, artificial intelligence will completely replace humans. JobLift compares jobs in the UK's automation and AI potential sectors with unemployment, and says that over the next 13 years, AI, automation and robotics will create 10,000 jobs in the UK, while 10,000 jobs will disappear in the UK. This means that in the UK alone, the number of jobs created by AI and its robotics over the next 13 years is far lower than the number of jobs it replaces.
The American magazine "Science" pointed out that by 2045, almost half of the world's jobs will be replaced by artificial intelligence and its robots. As the world's largest manufacturing powerhouse, more than 70% of China's jobs will be replaced by artificial intelligence and robotics by 2045.
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Who will AI replace? According to the research and analysis of Acemoglu and Restrepo, from the perspective of industry, manufacturing, machinery and other industries are the most affected; In terms of job types, process, repetitive manual work, blue-collar work, assembly and related work have been the most impacted; In terms of knowledge level, it is college students who have received the greatest impact, and the salary level of groups below college will be significantly reduced, while the impact above college will be smaller, (well, the society's requirements for diplomas are getting higher and higher!) )
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1 Background of the development of modern artificial intelligence.
Artificial intelligence, abbreviated as AI. It is the research and development of the laws of human intelligence activities, the construction of intelligent simulated artificial systems, and the main purpose of its research is to enable machines to be competent in some complex tasks that require human intelligence to complete in the past. 2016 was a year of rapid development of artificial intelligence.
In recent years, various international think tanks have paid attention to the uneven distribution of the substitution effect and income effect of the development of artificial intelligence and related technologies on employment in different industries. [1]
2 The impact of artificial intelligence on the employment of college students.
At present, due to the extremely fast development of artificial intelligence, the scope of influence is wide. Most colleges and universities lack the ability to innovate in professional settings and teaching content, and are too lagging behind to meet the needs of the rapid development of artificial intelligence, and there is no way to provide the talents needed to promote the development of Chinese artificial intelligence. However, due to market demand, employers have extremely high requirements for college graduates' ability to innovate in the use of artificial intelligence.
The negative impact of artificial intelligence on the employment of college students.
The mechanism of substitution employment destruction by the development of artificial intelligence technology mainly includes the mechanism of changing labor tools, the mechanism of improving management efficiency, and the mechanism of destroying the demand of labor market. The development of artificial intelligence has increased the demand for high-skilled labor, reduced the demand for low-skilled labor, and made it more difficult for low-ability labor to find employment. Artificial intelligence has improved the efficiency of labor production and reduced jobs under the condition that the scale of production remains the same.
The positive impact of artificial intelligence on the employment of college students.
The development of artificial intelligence not only has an impact on the structure and quantity of social employment, but also greatly improves the quality of employment. The machines created by artificial intelligence technology undertake some dangerous, heavy and harmful work to human health, and protect the right to life and health of workers. Artificial intelligence has greatly improved labor productivity, and workers will have more leisure time.
While productivity increases, workers' remuneration also increases. Overall, AI has improved the quality of employment for college students.
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The development of artificial intelligence will inevitably replace the work of some people, which is not questionable, especially those simple and repetitive jobs, and with the continuous development of artificial intelligence, then artificial intelligence may replace more people's jobs, which is also unquestionable. It is already a bit difficult for college students to find employment, and with the development of artificial intelligence, will it be even more difficult for college students to find employment? Is artificial intelligence related to college students' employment?
Is artificial intelligence related to college students' employment? There is no doubt that it will be related, Huo Ying Jianhong quarreled with the Great Jade Bird and found that with the development of artificial intelligence, many positions will reduce the recruitment of personnel, which is certain, for example, do you think cooking, stir-frying is not a very troublesome thing, but after testing, artificial intelligence adjusts a certain proportion, it can make delicious dishes for you, there is no need to doubt, you think that chefs can not be unemployed, but in fact this is not the case.
What other jobs can AI replace? For example, translation. In 2017, artificial intelligence language translation amazed the field of translation with its accurate language recognition rate, rich language library and intelligent hardware products, and the era of AI replacing human translation seems to be not far away.
College students who want to engage in translation must be careful that their jobs are robbed, and artificial intelligence still has a great deal to do with the employment of college students.
Do you already have an idea? Now it is difficult for college students to find employment, if artificial intelligence develops faster, you may find a job, it may be more difficult, so college students still have to maintain a high degree of attention to the development of artificial intelligence, at present, maybe your position can not be replaced, but after a period of time, it is not necessarily.
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The development of AI is profoundly changing many industries and occupations, and jobs that are expected to be replaced by AI in the future include:
1.Production line workers: With the advancement of automation technology, many traditional production line jobs, such as assembly line assembly, packaging, quality inspection, etc., may be replaced by robots and automation equipment.
2.Drivers and transportation workers: The continuous development of autonomous driving technology will gradually change the landscape of the transportation industry, and many jobs that require human driving may be reduced in the future.
3.Customer service and sales representatives: With the continuous development of natural language processing technology and intelligent voice assistants, many customer service and sales agents can be completed through robots and automated systems.
4.Finance and accounting jobs: The application of AI in the field of finance and accounting has been extensive, such as automating financial statements, automating risk assessment, automating investment, etc., and these jobs may gradually be replaced by machines.
5.Healthcare work: Artificial intelligence (AI) is also being used in the medical field more and more widely, such as medical imaging diagnosis, medical robots, intelligent health monitoring, etc., and these technologies may replace some of the responsibilities of pure health care workers.
6.Legal and legal services: The emergence of technologies such as automated contract drafting and automated review of legal documents may gradually replace the responsibilities of some legal and legal service workers.
It is important to note that although the application of AI in these fields may gradually increase, it does not mean that all these jobs will be replaced by machines. Some jobs with complex situational judgment and interpersonal skills, such as education, consulting, creativity, etc., may still require human involvement for quite some time. At the same time, as technology continues to advance, new job opportunities will also be created.
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