Why is the weather forecast the most unbelievable?

Because weather forecasts are sometimes very accurate, they are the most unbelievable.

Because weather changes are inherently fickle, climate change is complex, and people can only do a good job of the weather.

Because many times the weather forecast is not accurate, it cannot be trusted.

Because the weather is unpredictable every day, it is rarely predicted accurately.

In short, the weather is chaotic, I hate the weather in Guangdong Province the most, and I am completely speechless about the weather in Guangdong.

That's because the weather forecast is the general situation, so I can't believe it.

Because weather forecasts are sometimes inaccurate, there is such a saying.

Now that technology is becoming more and more developed, it can still be trusted, and it is generally accurate.

Because weather forecasting is actually difficult**, the weather can change at any time.

Because the weather forecast is not very accurate in many cases.

This is not to say that the weather forecast in our country is worse than theirs, but the reason why the weather forecast is only state-owned and cannot be privately owned is because there are many things involved.

The most unreliable thing is the weather forecast, even the weather of the day is not accurate, and it is funny to say what the weather will be in a few days and a few days, if it is accurate, there will not be so many refugees.

Too fake weather forecast, take the big white.

Then don't forecast the weather for half a month in advance, and watch the weather forecast all day long.

The weather forecast for Guizhou is showers two hours before and cloudy and sunny two hours later.

The weather forecast is made every day, and what is presented to the audience is the final meteorological product. Previously, it required a theoretical basis of meteorology, meteorological observation, monitoring, and then computer processing, analysis, and judgment to obtain the final daily weather forecast.

There are many factors that affect weather changes, and the situation is complex.

Therefore, it is impossible for weather forecasts to be completely accurate. In general, the shorter the forecast, the more reliable it is; The longer the timeliness, the less reliable it is. At the same time, sometimes the weather is also very local, for example, if it rains in a certain city, it may rain in the north of the city, and the local people think that the forecast is accurate; If there is no rain in the south, residents in the south will think that the forecast is inaccurate.

At present, the accuracy of short-term forecasting in China's cities can generally reach more than 80%, but the accuracy of forecasting will vary under different weather conditions. In times of special need, we can do more detailed, such as hourly forecasting, but we need to invest a lot of manpower and material resources, as well as a lot of resources (for example, during the Beijing Olympics, we provided a very detailed forecast for the Olympic Games), and under normal circumstances, it is difficult to do hourly forecasting. The Meteorological Service is trying to make weather forecasts as accurate as possible.

Science is endless, change is absolute, and immutability is relative.

From bad to good, people are comfortable, and from good to bad, people feel incredible! Fickleness and variability are one of the problems to be solved in meteorology.

However, don't expect that once this problem is solved, everything will be fine, and there will be new problems in meteorology waiting for us to solve! In this way, the cycle is non-stop, repeated research, and can only change with the change of the weather, and extreme weather phenomena will continue to appear, this is the dialectic of things, change is eternal, and change is relative!

The accuracy of weather forecasts is improving.

Although the level of weather forecasting has been greatly improved compared with the past, the accuracy of the forecast is also improving, but it is impossible to be 100% accurate, the weather forecast is the judgment made by the meteorological staff according to some weather conditions mastered, generally speaking, the accuracy of the weather forecast within three days is higher.

Of course, there must be some differences between the temperature felt in real life and the temperature made by the weather forecast, and the urban weather forecast is only an average value for that place, but the temperature felt by the same city in different areas is also different, such as the place where the sun is directly exposed to the high temperature in summer, the surface temperature far exceeds the maximum temperature predicted by the weather forecast, and the real-time temperature is also made by the location of the weather station, and the weather conditions on the mobile phone are also updated at any time according to the forecast made by the meteorological station, so it is for reference only.

In addition, in places with dry climates, the temperature monitored by the weather is not much different from the temperature perceived by people, but in places with humid climates, the temperature perceived by people will be several degrees higher than the temperature monitored by the weather.

Because the weather is inherently fickle, I feel that the forecast is inaccurate. Because climate change is caused by many factors, weather forecasts are not all within control.

Because of the harsh environment, the weather forecast can only determine whether it will fall according to the 24-hour situation, but the harsh environment causes the situation to change frequently. And they don't have the technology to make weather forecasts. Changes in outer space cannot be detected at all times.

Nowadays, the movement of the atmosphere is very complex, meteorological science and technology are not particularly developed, and weather forecasting itself is not 100% accurate.

The accuracy rate has not yet reached 20%.Why is that?

My weather forecast in the last few days is basically inaccurate, probably because of the change in weather, and many more are affected by typhoons, it may be difficult to get an accurate forecast.

The summer weather is like a child's face, and it will be turned over!

Because of the weather, I can't guarantee it.

Weather forecasts are not 100% accurate, and you can look at 360 weather and ink weather with software.

Weather forecasting is the application of the law of atmospheric changes, according to the current and recent weather situation, the weather conditions of a certain place in a certain period of time in the future**. It is based on the analysis of satellite cloud images and weather maps, combined with relevant meteorological data, topographical and seasonal characteristics, and the experience of the masses. For example, the satellite cloud image of China's first meteorological observatory was taken by the "Fengyun-1" meteorological satellite made in China.

The use of satellite cloud imagery** for analysis can improve the accuracy of weather forecasting. Weather forecasts are usually divided into three types in terms of the length of time: short-term weather forecast (2 3 days), medium-term weather forecast (4 9 days), and long-term weather forecast (more than 10 15 days).

As far as the current weather forecast is concerned, the accuracy is more reliable or within 72 hours, and the forecast is not very accurate if it is farther away, of course, there is also a one-month weather forecast.

Many people feel that the temperature has exceeded 40, but the weather forecast does not show such a high temperature, and they feel that the weather forecast is more accurate most of the time, but there will be some mistakes, after all, the time of the day is longer, and now few people listen to the weather forecast on TV, generally check the weather software in the mobile phone, more accurate, but the situation of the weather forecast of different brands of mobile phones seems to be different.

The weather forecast is not particularly accurate, but it is used as a reference to get an idea of what the day will look like. Summer temperatures are generally high, reaching more than 30 degrees Celsius in May 2022, while in July the temperature exceeded 378 degrees, and even reached 40 in some areas. Even though many places have issued heat warnings, the weather forecast still shows only 39 degrees or 38 degrees.

Even if the data has risen to 40 degrees, everyone should pay more attention to safety and sun protection when traveling, and bring some anti-heat stroke medicine, in case they fall to the ground, they can be remedied in time to save their lives. <>

The area of the city involved in the weather forecast is relatively large, so some places are more accurate, and some places have a large error. This situation is very obvious in rainy weather, some places it rains, the rain is heavier, but some places are still very dry, and the dividing line is particularly obvious. So don't be curious, and don't blame the weather forecast.

No matter where you go, it's best to check the local weather conditions in advance, and if the temperature is high, it's best to reduce the number of trips. Between 11 p.m. and 2 p.m., the sun is hot, the temperature is the highest, and the ultraviolet rays are the strongest, so try to avoid going out during this time. Especially those who go out to travel, they must not take risks, and do not go to crowded places, the summer is more obvious, and everyone is miserable.

The current weather forecast is basically accurate, due to the advanced scientific and technological means, the satellite cloud image is relatively clear, so the temperature is basically up and down one degree, so the forecast is very accurate.

It feels like the weather has passed 40, but the forecast is never, the weather forecast is just a **, and it is also within a normal range value.

I think the weather forecast is not particularly accurate, after all, in some rainy **and other aspects**, in fact, it is not particularly accurate, which leads to many people relying on the weather forecast, they will be affected in terms of travel, it is recommended to do a good job in this aspect of prevention and control measures, prepare in advance.

Summary. First of all, weather forecasts** are not 100% accurate. In recent years, with global warming, extreme weather has occurred frequently, and weather conditions may be more abrupt.

Secondly, with the increasing level of science and technology, the accuracy of weather forecasting** should be improved day by day, and there will be no complete failure. It may be a coincidence that you feel that you are not accurate, or it may be that you feel it differently.

First of all, weather forecasts** are not 100% accurate. In recent years, with global warming, extreme weather has occurred frequently, and weather conditions may be more abrupt. Secondly, with the increasing level of science and technology, the accuracy of weather forecasting** should be improved day by day, and there will be no complete failure.

It may be a coincidence that you feel that you are not accurate, or it may be that you feel it differently.

Hello, it's normal that the weather forecast is not accurate, why call it a weather forecast, not call it an accurate broadcast, after all, the weather is something you want to ** is okay, but it is impossible to want to be 100% ** every time, and the weather changes a lot, even if it is a few kilometers away, the weather may be different! For example, this year's weather forecast says snow, but there is no snow in my hometown, but it snows a lot in the county below, do you dare to say that the weather forecast is inaccurate? Some topographical factors will also indirectly affect the accuracy of the weather, often the urban area is only 10 kilometers away from the suburbs, and as a result, it rains in the urban area and does not rain in the suburbs!

Summary. Everyone likes to read the weather forecast information on their smartphones, and the weather forecast anytime and anywhere brings people a great sense of happiness to their lives and travel. However, the weather forecast information of different brands of mobile phones is sometimes inconsistent, and most of the time the weather information is not consistent with the weather information released by the local meteorological station, and it is often unreliable, so they complain that the weather forecast of the meteorological station is too inaccurate.

In fact, the Meteorological Observatory may have become a backstabber.

Everyone likes to read the weather forecast information on their smartphones, and the weather forecast anytime and anywhere brings people a great sense of happiness to their lives and travel. However, the weather forecast information of different brands of mobile phones is sometimes inconsistent, and most of the time the weather information is not consistent with the weather information released by the local meteorological station, and it is often unreliable, so they complain that the weather forecast of the meteorological station is too inaccurate. In fact, the Meteorological Observatory may have become a backstabber.

First of all, the weather forecast that comes with the mobile phone is generated by the software app independently developed by the mobile phone production developer, and is not real-time by the local meteorological station, and even the basis data used on individual mobile phones is not provided by the Chinese meteorological department (such as the weather forecast data that comes with the Apple mobile phone in the United States). The most professional weather forecasting in China is, of course, the local meteorological stations at all levels, and the third-party development company only uses some but not all of the data opened by the China Meteorological Administration, so it is difficult to calculate accurate weather forecasts in the future. Secondly, since weather forecasting is a forecast, it is a matter of high probability, not reality.

Moreover, the weather is changing rapidly, and no matter how perfect the forecast calculation model is, it is impossible to make perfect forecast results, and there are countless "butterfly effects" in the calculation itself, even the world's most technologically advanced countries, such as the United States, cannot do the same weather forecast as the real situation, not to mention that the weather often has a similar situation such as "summer rain separated by the back of a cow". Therefore, the forecast can only report the representative weather in the local area, and even if it describes the actual weather situation, it can only be described by words such as "partial" and "partial".

In addition, at present, the weather forecast issued by the local meteorological department is more accurate than the forecast information within 48 hours, and the forecast with greater reference value is the forecast within 7 days, and the forecast of more than 10 days can only be used to understand the situation. However, there is a weather forecast for more than 15 days or even 40 days on the app that comes with the mobile phone, which should have no reference value. According to statistics, in recent years, the accuracy rate of China's 24-hour weather forecast has reached about 88%, which is quite high.

Sometimes it is said that there is rain, but it may be locally rainy.