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In fact, there will not be more enterprises that will fail next year than this year, it is just a matter of inertia, and the number of enterprises that will fail in the first half of next year will increase, but the second half of the year will be relatively stable, and it will basically be in a stable state in the year after next. China's rescue operation has already begun, so it will have a certain effect.
1.International and domestic investment institutions will have less confidence in the financial market, and less investment will lead to withdrawal. ** sluggish, less confident in the RMB, hot money is easy to withdraw from the Chinese market in a short period of time, which can easily cause the Asian financial crisis like 98, which seriously affects the normal operation of China's economy.
China's degree of control and attention in this regard is quite high, and it is believed that it is ready for emergencies.
2.The impact of import and export enterprises should be said to be the largest, especially export-oriented enterprises, orders decrease, RMB appreciation, export tax rebates are cancelled, and costs in all aspects increase, and many enterprises will close down.
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Hey, I'm probably going to be one of those unemployed!!
Foreign companies have been severely affected by layoffs, Chinese companies have been forced to close down due to export restrictions, and a group of people have been trapped!!
Hey, I'm afraid many people won't be able to survive this winter!!
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In this financial crisis, if the United States survives, the newly elected United States will adopt a more conservative fiscal and policy and will no longer borrow heavily to live, just like after melamine in milk, people will not dare to drink milk, lose confidence in milk, and finance will be the same, so it will eventually lead to a sharp contraction in exports, and our country has always relied on American consumption to create GDP, and if the United States does not consume, we will be miserable. If the United States can't survive, then not only exports will be affected, we invest more than 1 trillion assets in the United States I don't know how much will be left in the end, the country wants to expand domestic demand, but unfortunately the people's money has been wiped out in the **, and a large number of house slaves have been produced, they have overdrawn their income, ** have money to consume, in addition to the psychological expectations of the line, they dare not consume, the country only maintains the GDP figure by expanding basic investment, explain, we have created GDP, and the Americans have earned our profits, Expanding infrastructure investment will only exacerbate the gap between the rich and the poor and intensify social contradictions, so the result of the country's investment policy of 4 trillion yuan can be expected, which will only cause the economy to return to the light, and eventually our country is likely to embark on the old path of Japan, Japan's economy has been in depression for nearly 20 years, today is very good, tomorrow is very bad.
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Authority: Authority:
The impact of the machinery industry (auto parts manufacturing) is already being felt, with a reduction in production of about 20% in the second half of the year. Next year, including exports to North America and Europe, it is expected that about 40% of this year's full-year production will fall. A flood of mourning. It may last 1-2 years.
Other boilers, shipbuilding, steel structures, chemical industries, etc. will drop between 10-15%.
Of course, traditional industries such as textiles, footwear, toys, lighters, small household appliances and other industries will decline between 20-45%.
Short-term unemployment can be around 5 million to 10 million people.
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It's hard to find a job because there is a large working population.