Why will Japan and China fight again, and will there be a Sino Japanese war in the near future?

Japan lives in a volcanic crater and always has a heart that is not quiet.

At most, it's a small friction, and now the time is not right, and it can't be fought.

If there is a big war between China and Japan, no matter who wins or loses, both sides will be hit hard, so that the United States and Russia will pick up the advantage, China and Japan will not be so stupid.

Look at what you mean by the Great War.

From the macro perspective of world history.

China and Japan have a similar place in modern history.

They all failed to catch up with the industrial revolution, and then chased after it.

But one of the problems brought about by the Industrial Revolution was that land and national population were no longer decisive factors in national strength.

Coupled with geopolitical factors, China and Japan, both close neighbors in East Asia and industrializing, are destined to compete on all fronts.

This rivalry eventually evolved into the Sino-Japanese War.

Since the First Sino-Japanese War, the fate of China and Japan has entered a watershed.

As a laggard in the "development competition" between the two countries, China eventually became a small country that did not even have a chance to negotiate at the table at the Paris Peace Conference.

Japan, on the other hand, became one of the participating countries in the preparatory meeting for the Paris Peace Conference.

This gap also led to the later unbridled Japanese invasion of China.

And the reason why Japan has finally stepped into the extreme field.

Generally speaking, it can be traced back to the Meiji Restoration, although compared to the Wuxu Reform and Westernization Movement in Japan, the Meiji Restoration was much more successful.

However, the principle of taking the emperor as the core and giving priority to the military industry also led to the emboldenance of the Japanese soldiers later.

He even hacked Prime Minister ...... to death in the May 15 Incident

This led to the rise of militarists.

And the reasons for the failure of China's reforms are also complex, and we will not do it here.

Personally, I think the more important reason is the influence of China's internal affairs.

China is one of the most successful traditional empires in ancient history.

The state system is infinitely self-stabilizing.

The relationship of interests is difficult to shake, which also leads to the fact that the Westernists cannot afford to fail.

Because Japan has always wanted to destroy China.

China and Japan will not fight

First, we will not attack the Japanese mainland, the existing landing ships are simply not enough for our air force fighters, and the combat radius of our fighters cannot reach Japan, and we do not have aircraft carriers, even if the Varyag is put into service, it will not be enough, and landing without fighter cover is suicide.

Second, Japan's constitution renounces the right to declare war and only reserves the right of self-defense, so it is called the Self-Defense Forces, so Japan will not attack our homeland.

Third, if you really want to fight only on the Diaoyu Islands, the commanders of normal places will not send troops up. If Japan really wants to send its Self-Defense Forces, it can use missiles to send as many people as it can to the Yasukuni Shrine.

Last but not least, both Japan and China know that if there is a war, both economies will regress. Lao Mei is happy.

Of course, it is best to use nuclear weapons, but it will not be used at first, and it will cause many problems.

Attacking the Japanese mainland with missiles? What if there are not enough missiles? What should I do if the missile can't hit accurately?

Bombing with planes? What should I do if I am intercepted? Hit with cannonballs?

What if the range is not enough? Is Japan going to dig deep holes, accumulate grain, and stop missiles? Japan lacked resources and had a small territory, so it could not withstand a long-term war.

I don't understand, or Japan will learn from the United States to carry out a decapitation operation.

First of all, Japan's combat power is much smaller than China's, and secondly, if there is a war, the economies of the two countries will be dealt a heavy blow, and the peaceful economy of today's society is the development trend, and the war years have long passed.