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Since the U.S. economy ranks first in the world, accounting for more than 20% of the global economy, and the U.S. dollar occupies an important position as a global currency, the Federal Reserve has effectively become a ** bank. Under the trend of economic globalization, the Fed's interest rate hike will inevitably have a significant impact on the global economy. In fact, the Fed raised interest rates in response to high domestic inflation that could create financial risks in many countries, leading to a global recession.
Despite the fact that the Fed is the "world's best bank", the decision to raise interest rates is driven by the US "priority". Against the backdrop of a global recession, the Fed's decision to raise interest rates in one country inevitably supports the U.S. economy at the expense of other countries. This year, the global economy faces some risks, as the pandemic remains under control and energy ** due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict**.
The Fed's tightening of monetary policy has put pressure on the global economy, which will have an indirect impact not only on the currencies of emerging markets and developing countries in some developing countries, but also in some advanced economies. AFP noted that another rate hike by the Fed could further exacerbate the risk of capital flight and reduce the risk of capital flight in the currencies of these regions.
The United States has a large population, a large land area, and relatively rich resources, and population is an important factor in supporting upward development, because in the last century, when the world's population reached 100 million US dollars, no country in the world has such a population base, except for China. However, the difference between China and the United States at that time, you don't need to consider the United States at that time, the variety of rich resources is very important, and many resource reserves at that time were considered to be an extremely rich resource in the United States, many of which were leading in the world.
It is worth noting that, in addition to these material advantages, the United States has another important point that it has a relatively strong geopolitical advantage, which is related to geographical ties. It is no secret that the neighbors of the United States do not pose a threat, since they are colonies, and although these colonies later declared independence, the United States formed a dominant position.
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When it comes to the issue of recession, the question concerns inflation first and foremost, but also the lattice of various commodities.
At the same time, due to the relatively weak pace of economic development in the United States, this means that the income level of many people will not rise sharply due to inflation, but the quality of life of many people will be negatively affected by inflation. <>
This problem is also related to the industrial structure of the United States itself. The U.S. economy is in recession, and the world has to buffer it. This is definitely not alarmist.
The impact of the U.S. recession on the world is enormous. After all, the United States has always been the number one country in global transactions. Once the economy recessions or worsens, high inflation will follow, which will directly damage the global ** chain.
The U.S. is the main currency for settling transactions, and there is a risk of spillovers in U.S. financial policy and currency. Once the dollar system collapses, the stability of the global economy and international** will be greatly reduced, the global unemployment rate will rise, and ** will collapse. <>
As a superpower, the United States has a considerable economic aggregate. In the event of a recession, the U.S. industrial chain will stagnate. As a consequence of inflation, domestic unemployment is rising and the investment market is depressed.
Subsequently, the monetary policy of the advanced economies of the United States will begin to tighten, the economy will be affected to a certain extent, and the global financial trend will become unstable. Currently, the United States is already in the midst of high inflation. The Fed's proposed response does not seem to have brought inflation in the United States below 2%.
On the contrary, accommodative monetary policy has accelerated the pace of recession. <>
For the U.S. economy, since many industries in the U.S. have hollowed out industries, although the U.S. has been pushing further for the return of manufacturing, the return of manufacturing itself takes a certain amount of time and cycle, so the U.S. cannot do this in a short period of time. It is for this reason that the industrial structure of many industries in the United States may lead to a further decline in people's income levels, and people's living conditions will become more difficult.
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How much will the continued recession in the United States affect the United States due to a variety of factors?
The United States fell into a mud pit, and Saudi Arabia stabbed the United States with OPEC+, and these major factors deeply trapped the United States. To get out of the quagmire and get out of the trap, the United States needs to completely abandon the anti-globalization mentality. The United States has fallen into the quagmire of the economic cycle and is crawling with twists and turns, and the United States is completely trapped by several major factors: economic recession, high inflation, high oil prices, continued turmoil in financial markets, and lingering geopolitical influences!
It was concerns about these factors that led to the fourth consecutive session of losses in the United States**. After the Dow fell below the key level of 30,000 points, it continued to decline, and there is a strong trend of breaking through 29,000 points. The Nasdaq hit a new low this year, most of the technology** value fell by one-third, and Chinese concept stocks were cut in half.
The U.S. earnings season is here. The market is expected to be the worst earnings disclosure period, putting pressure on U.S. stocks**. With rising costs, rising interest rates squeezing demand, and a stronger dollar cutting into overseas revenues, investors will rely on earnings reports to judge any clues about business operations.
Of course, what investors are most worried about is that after Saudi Arabia and OPEC+ stabbed the United States, the sharp rise in international oil prices has made U.S. inflation remain at a historically high level, and the Federal Reserve will no longer hesitate to raise interest rates aggressively, and if the interest rate is raised by another 125 basis points at the end of the year, then market liquidity will be cut in half, and U.S. stocks and even the world will be deeply explored.
There are two points that need to be emphasized: First, the United States must abandon the thinking of the global boss and the international police as soon as possible, abandon the practice of anti-globalization and self-isolation, abandon the manipulation of gangs and cliques, deal with other countries with a modest attitude that is easy to discuss and have something to say, and return to the big global family and melting pot as soon as possible, including developed, emerging and underdeveloped countries. Second, in the Federal Reserve entering the interest rate hike channel and monetary tightening cycle, the overall global risk is greater than the opportunity, the global stock and bond foreign exchange market is very volatile, and investors should put risk prevention in the first place!
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It will directly lead to a recession in the U.S. economy, and will lead to some problems in the U.S. economy, leading to the collapse of the U.S. economy, and will lead to a decrease in the amount of the market in the future.
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Inflation and economic recession in the United States, but local job opportunities continue to rise, which may cause conflicts between enterprises and workers, affecting economic development.
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I think it might change the hegemony of the United States, so that other countries will also have opportunities for development.
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This is not something to be fussed about, because in history, there are great powers that have been strong for more than 100 years around the world, and the result is not that they cannot escape the historical process of prosperity and decline
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Actually, I think it's really good, but it may cause the U.S. economy to decline and not be able to re-enter the ranks of developed countries.
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It will lead to the appreciation of the dollar, trigger a financial crisis in many countries, trigger a debt crisis, lead to a regression of the global economy, and also have an impact on China's debt crisis.
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The United States has suffered a severe economic crisis
The normal life of the inhabitants of the United States has been severely affected
The United States may face serious internal contradictions in the future
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The American people are increasingly worried about inflation, and a recession will occur. The increasing pressure of life has forced people to divide their salaries into several parts to plan.
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It will affect the life of the United States, and it will affect the economy of the United States, it will have a shock to the economy, and it will also cause problems in the economy of the United States, which will lead to economic inflation.
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In a general recession, the United States would lose 3 million to 4 million jobs, and the unemployment rate could surge to 6%.
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1.Real estate: During a recession, the real estate market usually takes a hit because people can't afford home prices. When the real estate market is corrected, the number of house sales declines, the scale of investment decreases, housing prices**, and various real estate and construction development projects are abandoned.
2.Finance: During the recession, banks and financial institutions may be exposed to risks, due to poor economic conditions, people's demand for borrowing declines, and users continue to grow, so that the profits of banks are greatly affected.
3.Retail: During a recession, most people's purchasing power decreases and consumer spending decreases, which can have a significant impact on the retail industry.
For decades, the average consumer has been one of the key drivers of the growth of the U.S. economy. Their declining purchasing power means that the retail industry will have to fight to reduce inventories and lower** in order to attract consumers.
4.Manufacturing: During a recession, manufacturing and industrial production were hit hard as people reduced their demand to consume groceries and other goods. This has led to factory shutdowns and layoffs, which have had an impact on the livelihoods of manufacturing employees.
5.Service industry: During a recession, people often cut back on unnecessary spending, such as services such as travel and dining. This will have an impact on the service industry, leading to a decline in business and layoffs of employees.
Overall, a recession will have an impact on all aspects of the economy, hitting a variety of industries, but the associated scenario is a bailout during a downturn.
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The U.S. economy is in recession, and the whole world has to give it a back, which is definitely not alarmist, the impact of the U.S. economic recession on the world is huge, after all, the United States has been sitting in the first place of global transactions, once the recession or even worsening, followed by high inflation, which will bring direct harm to the global ** chain, and the U.S. dollar as the main currency of transaction settlement, the U.S. financial policy and currency are at risk of spillover, once the U.S. dollar system collapses, the global economy and the international ** The stability of the situation has been greatly reduced, the global unemployment rate has risen, and the collapse has followed.
As a superpower, the United States has a considerable economy, and once there is an economic recession, the industrial chain of the United States itself will stagnate, and the consequence of inflation is that the unemployment rate in the United States is rising, and the investment market becomes depressed. Subsequently, the monetary policy of the developed economies of the United States began to tighten, the economy will be affected to a certain extent, and the trend of global finance will also become unstable. At present, the United States is already in the midst of high inflation, and the Fed's series of response policies do not seem to have been able to reduce the inflation rate in the United States to below 2%, but rather the loose monetary policy has accelerated the pace of economic recession.
If the U.S. economy continues to deteriorate, then all countries in the world that use the U.S. dollar as the base currency will be affected by the economic downturn. It can be seen that the economic development of the United States has directly curbed the lifeblood of countries that use the dollar as their settlement currency, resulting in a dilemma for these countries, and they can only "advance and retreat together" with the United States.
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1. Interest rate hikes lead to the appreciation of the US dollar and the depreciation of other currencies will inevitably lead to a large amount of US dollars flowing back to the United States, which will lead to financial crises in many countries. Although the Fed is the "global central bank", its interest rate hike decisions are based on "America First".
2. The depreciation of currencies in various countries around the world will lead to the inability of many countries to pay their foreign debts on time, triggering a debt crisis. The negative impact of the Fed's interest rate hikes has also made developed countries deeply affected, and the yen has depreciated sharply by about 20% since the beginning of this year due to the impact of the Fed's accelerated tightening.
3.The Fed's interest rate hike has the potential to lead to a recession in the U.S. economy and even the global economy. In the context of the economic recession, due to the lack of operation of enterprises, production costs have risen, and efficiency has declined, which in turn has affected people's incomes to decrease significantly, the number of unemployed people has increased, and the living standards have declined, resulting in a contraction of purchasing power.
4. The impact of the Fed's interest rate hike on China's economy. As China's economic fundamentals remain unchanged for a long time, and the Fed's interest rate hike has limited impact on the RMB exchange rate, although the interest rate hike will cause the interest rates of China and the United States to be inverted for a period of time in the future, capital flows will pose a certain disturbance to the exchange rate.
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The impact is very large, the U.S. economy is closely connected with the whole world, and many countries in the world are in recession.
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Global financial conditions continue to tighten as central banks in advanced economies such as the United States raise interest rates to combat inflation, which could trigger debt crises in emerging market and developing economies, the International Monetary Organization said.
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Since the U.S. economy ranks first in the world, accounting for more than 20% of the global economy, and the U.S. dollar occupies an important position as the world's currency, the Federal Reserve has become the de facto world's leading bank. Under the trend of economic globalization, the Fed's interest rate hike is bound to have a significant impact on the global economy. Indeed, the Fed's move to raise interest rates further in response to high inflation at home could create financial risks in many countries, leading to a global recession.
Although the Fed is one"The world's best bank", but its decision to raise interest rates was made by"America First"driven. Against the backdrop of a general global recession, the Fed's decision to unilaterally raise interest rates to benefit the US economy will inevitably come at the expense of other countries and at the cost of cutting the pores of other countries. The global economy faces some risks this year, as the pandemic remains uncontained and energy** soars due to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
The Fed's tight monetary policy has put pressure on the global economy and is bound to have currency spillovers for emerging markets and developing countries, putting not only some developing countries but also some advanced economies at risk. AFP noted that another increase in interest rates by the Federal Reserve could further exacerbate capital outflows and currency depreciation risks in these regions.
The United States has a large population, a large land area, and relatively rich resources, and population is an important factor supporting upward development, because in the last century its population reached 100 million, looking at the world at that time, except for China, no country in the world has such a population base. But there is no need to think about the difference between China and the United States at that time, the United States was extremely rich in various resources at that time, and the reserves of many resources can be regarded as the United States was extremely rich in various resources at that time, and many of them occupied a leading position in the world.
It is worth mentioning that, in addition to these raw material advantages, the United States has another important point, that is, it has a relatively strong geopolitical advantage, which is related to the relationship formed by geographical connections. As we all know, the countries surrounding the United States do not pose a threat to it, because they were once colonies, and although these colonies later declared independence, the United States has created a dominant situation.
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