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Let's first explain what an economic hard landing is versus an economic soft landing
A hard landing refers to the use of strong fiscal and monetary policies to reduce the inflation rate to a normal level in a relatively short period of time by sacrificing more national income. On the contrary, the soft landing, refers to the intensity of macroeconomic control measures taken to alleviate economic overheating, the soft landing is used less, the economic recovery may be slower but not large, the soft landing in a relatively long period of time using a continuous policy combination to reduce the inflation rate relatively smoothly, the advantage is that the income is relatively less sacrificed, the disadvantage is that the time is longer, and the influence of public expectations is larger, and may not be able to achieve the appropriate effect. For example, it brings deflation, rising unemployment, ** deficits, and so on.
The hard landing of the property market mainly refers to the real estate **crash**! Quickly restore real purchasing power**!
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A hard landing refers to the use of strong fiscal and monetary policies to reduce the inflation rate to a normal level in a relatively short period of time by sacrificing more national income.
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Personally, I feel that a soft landing in the property market will inevitably lead to a hard landing for the economy A hard landing in the property market may also save China's economy.
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The soft landing of the property market refers to the intensity of macroeconomic control measures taken to alleviate the overheating of the economy, the soft landing is used less, the economic recovery may be slower but not large, and the soft landing adopts a continuous policy combination for a relatively long period of time to reduce the inflation rate relatively smoothly.
The advantage is that the income leakage is relatively less sacrificed, and the disadvantage is that the time is longer, and the influence of public expectations is more variable, and it is not necessarily possible to achieve the appropriate effect of ulnar ridge burial. For example, it brings deflation, rising unemployment, ** deficits, and so on.
A hard landing refers to the use of strong fiscal and monetary policies to reduce the inflation rate to a normal level in a relatively short period of time by sacrificing more national income.
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The soft landing of the property market refers to the intensity of macroeconomic control measures taken to alleviate the overheating of the economy, the soft landing is used less, the economic recovery may be slower but not large, and the soft landing adopts a continuous policy combination for a relatively long period of time to reduce the inflation rate relatively smoothly.
The advantage is that the income is relatively less sacrificed, and the disadvantage is that the time is longer and the influence of public expectations is more variable, and the appropriate effect may not be achieved. For example, it brings deflation, rising unemployment, ** deficits, and so on.
A hard landing refers to the use of strong fiscal and monetary policies to reduce the inflation rate to a normal level in a relatively short period of time by sacrificing more national income.
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A soft landing is when house prices fall steadily and are gradually on the right track, and will not affect the economic development of other industries.
A hard landing is a big rise and a fall.
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That is, housing prices have fallen steadily, gradually on the right track, and will not affect the economic development of other industries.
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What does it mean to have an economic hard landing:A hard landing refers to the phenomenon that economic growth is not only a short-term downward wave movement, but also cannot return to its original high point within 2-3 years. and soft landings, etc.
Soft landing: Short-term downward revision of economic growth. After the downward adjustment, it can be picked up.
Within a year, it will reach or even exceed the highest level before **. To borrow the concept of econometrics, a soft landing is a short-term downward random fluctuation of economic growth, without involving a structural break in growth.
Structural fault: refers to the long-term downward wave crawl of economic growth, which cannot return to the original high point within 2 to 3 years, or even never return to the original high point.
Hard landing: Economic growth is not only a short-term downward wave-like movement, but also cannot return to the original high-skinned jujube point in 2-3 years. At the same time, downward adjustments are often unplanned, and there is no way to control them artificially.
Therefore, the magnitude of the downward adjustment is relatively large, not a random simple fluctuation, but a fierce downward adjustment. In econometric terms, a hard landing is the beginning of a long-term downward shift in economic growth, resulting in a significant structural break.
To put it simply, economy is the general term for the production, circulation, distribution, and consumption of all material and spiritual materials by people. This concept refers to the management of a family's property at the micro level and the national economy of a country at the macro level. In this dynamic whole, production is the foundation and consumption is the end.
Economy is the creation, transformation and realization of value. The behavior of human economic living is the activity of creating, transforming, and realizing value to meet the needs of human material and cultural life.
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A hard landing refers to the use of strong fiscal and monetary policies to reduce inflation to normal levels in a relatively short period of time at the expense of a larger amount of national income.
On the contrary, the soft landing refers to the intensity of the macroeconomic control measures taken to alleviate the overheating of the economy.
A soft landing uses a continuous policy mix to bring inflation down relatively smoothly over a relatively long period of time, with the advantage of relatively less income sacrifice, and the disadvantage is that it takes a longer period of time and is more variable due to public expectations, which may not achieve the appropriate effect. For example, it brings deflation, unemployment rises, and the nuclear deficit is very much.
The indicators of "soft landing" and "hard landing" are mainly based on the growth of the amount of money and the expansion of credit. Generally speaking, when the economic growth rate is too fast and there is serious inflation, a country will use contractionary policies to suppress inflation, but at this time, the aggregate demand of society will decline and the economic growth rate will slow down or there will be negative growth, which can be vividly called the economic "landing".
However, if a country's policy is too tight, and a large amount of inflation is followed by a large-scale deflation, which leads to an increase in unemployment and a rapid decline in economic speed, this can be called a hard landing.
If a country does a good job of implementing austerity policies, so that the economic rate of excessively rapid growth falls smoothly to an appropriate proportion, and there is no large-scale deflation and unemployment, it can be called a soft landing of the economy.
A hard landing refers to the use of strong fiscal and monetary policies to reduce the inflation rate to a normal level in a relatively short period of time by sacrificing more national income. On the contrary, the soft landing, refers to the intensity of macroeconomic control measures taken to alleviate economic overheating, the soft landing is used less, the economic recovery may be slower but not large, the soft landing in a relatively long period of time using a continuous policy combination to reduce the inflation rate relatively smoothly, the advantage is that the income is relatively less sacrificed, the disadvantage is that the time is longer, and the influence of public expectations is larger, and may not be able to achieve the appropriate effect. For example, it brings deflation, rising unemployment, ** deficits, and so on. >>>More
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