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China is still the most populous country in the worldIn the future, the population will grow in the next two years, and it will not grow from 2023 to 2024.
On May 11, 2021, the National Bureau of Statistics released the data of the seventh population census, with a total 141177 Chinese population and 12 million new births in 2020. The number of births and deaths before 2019 is available from official sources. Based on official data, and based on the average life expectancy of 77 years and the age of women of childbearing age of 23 to 36 years, the results show that in the absence of significant policy intervention, it is conservatively estimated that the population will begin to grow negatively in 2023 and 2024!
Now the number of births has been declining year by year, and there are now 1.4 billion people in China. It is estimated that 90% of people will die in 70 years, and an average of 18 million people will die every year in the next 70 years. In 2018, there were 15.23 million births in China, a decrease of 2 million from 2017.
2019 is estimated to be even lower than in 2018, mainly due to the rising cost of living due to high housing prices. 18 million - 14 million = 4 million people. It is estimated that the net population will decrease by 5 million to 10 million per year in the next 5-10 years.
How many people are there in China 70 years from now. At the current birth rate. After 70 years, it is estimated to be between 5 and 1 billion, and the middle number is in 100 million.
100 million 70 years = 9.28 million people It is estimated that the population will decrease by an average of 9.28 million people per year in the next 70 years, which is equivalent to a large city.
If the birth rate continues to be too low, as the average life expectancy of Chinese continues to increase, then the future population growth will be mainly the elderly, China's current elderly population over 65 years old is 100 million, the degree of aging is, it is expected that in 2035, the elderly population over 65 years old may be 100 million, the degree of aging will be reached.
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The number of people will not grow in the future, because the fertility rate is declining all the time, so there will not be so many people.
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Of course, the population will increase in the future, and the state has fully liberalized the birth policy, and when the national living standards improve and life is rich, the population will naturally increase.
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With the opening of China's fertility policy, there are many people who are willing to have a second child, so China's population will definitely grow in the future. It will still be the most populous country in the world.
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It will grow, but it will grow more slowly according to the current situation. Because people's lives are very stressful now, and many people choose not to have children, the birth rate has decreased.
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Yes, but the growth rate will be very slow, because many families are reluctant to have a second child, and they will seal their bellies after giving birth to one child.
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It will definitely grow, but the growth rate will gradually slow down, and the population growth rate should gradually slow down.
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It's going to grow. And our population is already very large now, and it will grow a lot with the years in the future.
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Definitely, the results of this census are quite good, and the actual number of new students has increased.
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Our country remains the most populous country in the worldThe total population of the country is 100 million, and the population of India, which ranks second in the world, is about 100 million.
Our country is not only the most populous country in the world, but also the largest developing country in the world in recent years. Our country's development from the bottom of the world's Jiangxi ranking to the world's second largest economy is driven by our country's demographic advantage.
1. India's fertility rate is higher than ours. We are still the number one in the world in terms of population, but we also have to face the problem that India's population may surpass ours ours in the future. Our country's fertility rate is also lower than India's, and the data given by the 7th Population Census is only that if it is not improved, the position of the most populous country in the future will not be guaranteed.
Second, India's economy has been hit harder by the epidemic. The population of China and India is basically comparable, and the population of India is only about 80 million less than the population of China. India's economy is far less fast than China's, and coupled with the impact of the epidemic, India's economy is likely to face paralysis.
Third, domestic demand is still very large. One of the biggest advantages of countries like China and India is that domestic demand is relatively abundant, and many enterprises in our country have taken India as a very big consideration when they choose to go international. Xiaomi has achieved very good results in India, and the reason why such a company has been able to grow is because of the advantage of population.
Our country, which accounts for about 18% of the world's population, not only has the largest young workforce, but also has a huge demand. Economic development is inseparable from the labor force population and huge demand, two factors that determine the future economic potential of our country.
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It is not surprising that China is still the most populous country in the world, on May 11, the results of the seventh census were newly released, which is also the data that hundreds of millions of people are concerned about, the total population of the country has reached 141178 million (100 million), accounting for about 18% of the total population of the country, so there is no doubt that China ranks first in the world in terms of population.
At a press conference on May 11, Ning Jizhe, deputy head of the leading group for the seventh population census and director of the National Bureau of Statistics, delivered a speech on the data of the seventh population census, saying that "it is expected that China's total population will remain above 1.4 billion in the coming period." From 2010 to the present, China's total population has continued to grow steadily in the past ten years, and in ten years, it has achieved a leapfrog growth from 1.3 billion to 1.4 billion people, an increase of 72.06 million people over the six censuses, and is firmly ranked as the world's most populous country.
Ning Jizhe, deputy head of the leading group of the seventh national census and director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said; This huge amount of data reflects the course of China's economic and social development and population development, conforms to the trend of population development itself, and also conforms to the objective law of interaction between population and economy and society. At the same time, this huge data also reflects a problem that cannot be ignored, that is, China is facing structural contradictions, such as the aging of the population, the continuous growth of aging, and the decline of women of childbearing age.
The census is carried out once every ten years, but this census lasted a year and a half, from the year before last, that is, in October 2019, we began to prepare, and in November 2020, we started to start registration, and now on May 11, the release of big data, which lasted one and a half years, the missing registration rate, compared with the missed registration rate of the sixth population census, has decreased by one percentage point, and the accuracy and credibility are also improving simultaneously, and the data of this census will be further developed and utilized for the "14th Five-Year Plan" The development of policies provides strong evidence support.
The results of the census show that the proportion of the young population has rebounded, which will reduce the pressure of aging, and from the perspective of gender, women account for women, men account, the gender structure of the population is also constantly improving, the quality of the population is constantly improving, the level of education is also getting higher and higher, the illiteracy rate is falling to the characteristics of the population gradually converging in economically developed cities.
Ning Jizhe delivered a speech: "The Seventh Population Census has comprehensively ascertained the characteristics of China's population and quantity, as well as its distribution, and provided strong statistical information support for promoting high-quality development and formulating population-related strategies and policies in a targeted manner in the future, and promoting long-term balanced population development."
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Up to now, China is still the world's largest country in terms of population, and after the results of the seventh census came out, China's population has reached 100 million, and India ranks second in the world with about 100 million people.
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Yes, China currently has a population of more than 1.4 billion, and it is indeed the most populous country in the world.
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Yes, according to the results of the seventh national population census, China's current population has reached 100 million, accounting for 18 percent of the world's population, making it the most populous country.
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Up to now, China is still the world's most populous country, after all, the data has come out, China's population has been growing continuously, the number is amazing.
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Yes. At present, China is still the most populous country. However, it is very likely that it will be overtaken by India. India's population has been increasing in the past two years.
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Yes. China's population base is very large. Today, it is still the most populous country in the world.
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On May 11, the main data results of the seventh national population census were released to the public. Compared with the 133972 0,000 people in the sixth national census in 2010, China's population has increased by 72.06 million people, and it is still the world's most populous country.
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China is also the most populous country in the world, because only China has the ability to develop such a population, and other countries strictly control the population.
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Yes, because our country has a very large population base, a very wide land area, and a large number of people, the annual birth rate of the population is also high.
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When New China was founded, the Chinese population was 400 million, and the rapid population growth began in the 70s. Statistics show that the current number of Chinese population is 1.4 billion, of which more than 800 million are permanent residents of cities and more than 200 million are floating people.
During the 60s and 70s, family planning was not yet implemented, and at that time, it was still advocated that more people should have more power and encourage more children and more children. In the 80s, due to the rapid population growth in China and the serious imbalance in the ratio of men and women, the state began to implement a strict family planning policy, advocating fewer births and better births, and popularizing the concept that boys and girls are the same. Under the implementation of the family planning policy for many years, population growth has been effectively controlled, but it has also led to the current problem of increasing aging of the Chinese population.
At present, China's elderly population has reached 2-300 million, and there are still some elderly people who are alone, and China's pension and juvenile education problems are also becoming increasingly prominent. Therefore, in recent years, the family planning policy has been relaxed, and it is possible to have a second or even a third child, but the proportion of China's population is still skewed towards aging.
With the acceleration of urbanization in China, more and more migrant workers have moved to the city, which has also led to a smaller and smaller rural population. Some rural areas have been merged into cities, while in some rural areas, there is a shortage of young and middle-aged laborers, and only the elderly and children left behind. Although China is the world's most populous country, it still faces a shortage of working-age labor.
The aging of the population has led to more and more people retiring into old age, but the new generation of teenagers has not yet grown up, so the problem of aging is the main demographic contradiction that China will face in the future.
In fact, judging from the world's population data, the proportion of Chinese population is declining year by year. At the beginning of the nineteenth century, the Chinese population was 400 million, the world population was 1.2 billion, and the Chinese accounted for one-third of the world. At the beginning of the twentieth century, due to long-term wars, the Chinese population was still about 400 million, while the world population grew to 1.6 billion, accounting for a quarter of the world's Chinese population.
Today Chinese population is 1.4 billion, and the world's population has reached 7.5 billion, accounting for only one-fifth of the world's population Chinese. If we compare China with India, the relative size of the Chinese population decreases faster. According to demographic experts**, if the current population growth rate of China and India continues, in another 10 years, India's population will surpass China's.
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It first began in the Song Dynasty, and the economy of the Song Dynasty was at its peak in all dynasties, which was naturally able to support enough population, which also led to rapid population growth, and the expansion of the area of the Qing Dynasty in the later period also made the population grow rapidly.
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During the Northern Song Dynasty, China's population exceeded 100 million for the first time, and the rapid growth of the Chinese population was after the liberation of China, in 1949 China vigorously encouraged the people to have children, because in the previous war, China's population suffered heavy losses, some data said that the number of people doubled in just 50 years from 49 to 00, reaching 1.2 billion, and now China's population is stable.
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Personally, I think the rapid growth of the Chinese population should have started to grow in the eighties, after all, everyone advocated having more children at that time.
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The Chinese population did not have so much, but after the founding of New China, there were policies to encourage childbearing, so it began to grow rapidly since then.
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Isn't the world's population growing because it doesn't have that much in the first place? China used to account for a quarter of the world's population, but now it is one-fifth, and it is estimated that it will return to one-tenth in the future.
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About the late seventies and eighties of the last century?
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Although the world's population is growing, it now stands at 8 billion. But in the case of our country, the rate of population growth is not high. Even in 2020, our country's fertility rate was only one, which means that our country is about to start a path of negative population growth.
First of all, our country is about to usher in an inflection point in a moderately aging society. A large part of the reason why our country will show negative population growth is that people's concept of fertility has changed greatly and they are unwilling to have more children. When low fertility and low mortality collide, it will directly lead to negative population growth and aging, which will also directly affect the inflection point of China's moderately aging society.
Second, a situation has been formed in which the old-age dependency rate is higher than the child-dependent rate. According to relevant data reports, the dependency ratio of children in 2020 is, while the dependency ratio of the elderly is. This also means that the number of elderly people exceeds the number of young people, and for young people, their pension pressure is increasing.
In addition, the country with large population and resources has transformed into a country with human capital. In the past, we had a relatively large population base, so we were able to increase the labor force to a certain extent. However, most of them can only engage in basic work, not high-end work.
However, with the reduction of the population base and the abundance of educational resources, people's quality is constantly improving. Therefore, in society, people are also transforming from engaging in basic work to engaging in high-end work. I think this is a very good phenomenon, because if you want to promote the economic development of the whole society, you inevitably need the power of intellectuals.
However, if the society is always in a state of negative population growth, it will lead to insufficient productivity, and in the long run, it will also affect the development of the whole society to a certain extent.
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