Briefly describe the steps of the Delphi method and briefly describe the characteristics of the Delp

It is used in social surveys and research methods

View Answer Analysis 【Correct Answer】 The three distinctive features of the Delphi method that distinguish it from other expert methods are: anonymity, multiple feedback, and group statistics.

1) Anonymity. The Delphi method is a process of collective anonymous exchange of ideas in the form of correspondence, which is essentially a feedback anonymous correspondence method. Anonymity is an extremely important feature of the Delphi method, and the experts who work on ** do not know which other people have participated**, and they exchange ideas in complete anonymity.

2) Multiple times with controlled feedback. The Delphi method is often used to solve major problems and serve planning purposes. It is both a diagnostic tool and a data collection tool.

3) Statistics of the group. In the past, the most typical result of a group was to reflect the views of the majority, and the views of the minority were at best mentioned in general terms, but this did not indicate the state of disagreement of the group.

See textbook p168. [Answer Analysis].

The Delphi method, also known as the expert investigation method, was initiated and implemented by the RAND Corporation of the United States in 1946. The method is to form a special organization by the enterprise, including a number of experts and business organizers, in accordance with the prescribed procedures, back to back to consult experts on the future market opinions or judgments, and then carry out the first method.

Features: The Delphi method is essentially a feedback anonymous correspondence method. The general process is as follows:

After obtaining the opinions of experts on the most important issues, they will be sorted, summarized and counted, and then anonymously fed back to the experts, soliciting opinions again, then concentrating, and then giving feedback until they get a consistent opinion.

In the implementation of the Delphi Law, there are always two people in the process, one is the organizer of the first and the other is the selected expert. First of all, it should be noted that the questionnaire in the Delphi method is different from the usual questionnaire in that in addition to the content of the usual questionnaire to ask questions and greet the needs of the respondent, it also has the responsibility to provide information to the respondent, and it is a tool for experts to exchange ideas.

Answer]: The Delphi method is a development of the expert meeting method, which was invented by the American RAND Corporation in the 50s of the 20th century, and it is a method of collective judgment of experts or drafters who conduct research and research. The specific steps of the fiber clump are as follows:

1) Draw up a decision-making outline and clarify the decision-making objectives.

2) Choose an expert.

3) Send a letter or talk to an individual with experts to make decisions and decisions.

4) Revise the decision-making opinions and give feedback to the experts.

5) After several iterations of revisions by the rent destruction experts, the final decision result is determined.

The Delphi method, also known as the expert opinion method, was pioneered by the famous American RAND Corporation in the 40s of the 20th century and used for predicting defeat and decision-making. The specific method is: according to the nature of the target, the department adopts the method of correspondence investigation to solicit opinions from relevant experts, and then summarizes and sorts out the expert opinions, and feeds them to the experts in an anonymous form to solicit expert opinions again.

In this way, after many repeated consultations and screenings, the opinions of experts gradually converge, and finally for decision-makers to make decisions.