Can steel still rise? 150, can steel still rise?

I really don't know if the few people upstairs are ignorant, or they are laymen who don't know anything about the steel industry. There are still people who talk about **.

Iron ore has grown from 23 yuan 2 years ago to about 150 yuan in June, and it has been ** recently. Because now there are 80 million iron ore hoards in major ports, and major traders have huge inventories. Obviously the supply exceeds demand, because of the surge in the past few years, many of them are from abroad to top iron ore, as long as 10 down payment is equivalent to 10 times the financial leverage, and to be booked 3 6 months in advance, that is to say, although there is a huge amount of hoarding, but there are still quite a lot of iron ore orders to arrive in Hong Kong every day.

Coke is the same, look at 40 enterprises in Shanxi have stopped production, and it is still rising. It can be raised in 3 years, it will definitely rise in 10 years, and it will definitely double in 100 years, and it will definitely increase 4 times after 100 years.

It's too late to run now, everyone in the industry knows that in the past 2 years, steel traders have to fall more than 40, and some people persuade them to raise prices, misleading people's children!

The short-term category (1 year) will not appear large-scale**, and the medium- and long-term (3-7 years) will recover**. There may be errors in the middle.

This has to be linked to the relevant financial issues.

Now we are in a period of economic downturn, that is, a recession period, which will take about two years to slowly enter the stage of recovery and rise. Before the economic downturn has entered the recovery period, the market (domestic and international) will not rise, and investment will not rise. (For example, from 1997 to 2001, the investment demand decreased, and the market ran smoothly at a low level.)

After 2001, the global economy recovered to the first half of 2008, driven by increased investment in real estate and basic utilities, and global metals and energy**. You can keep an eye on the market trends, and when they continue to rise steadily, you can be ready to make money.

Take, for example, copper in the London market. Copper prices have risen from around US$1 in 2001 to as high as US$a tonne in 2008. It is now on a downward channel.

Now it's about 4200. The cycle is far from over. Now there is no minimum, only lower.

In the metal market, all kinds of metals have a certain degree of linkage.

It will not rise before 2010: there will be many joys and disasters in China this year, and the instability of foreign dynamics will add to the financial crisis. The 60th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China in 09 needs to develop steadily.

Let me give my personal opinion.

If you take the current ** as the standard, it will definitely be long, it's just a matter of time.

Due to the global financial crisis, the real estate industry using steel has been hit hard, and the demand for steel has naturally declined.

If it is said that when the first steel can rise, it is possible to wait for the global economic situation to improve, and when it will be, I am afraid no one can say clearly.

I don't think much will be done in the short term. Because it takes time to restore confidence, it is better to buy it when it rises It is estimated that the next bull market will be the time to launch the stock index**, which was originally speculated in this round of bull market, but everyone is crazy and a little irrational, so it has not been launched until now. But it should be a matter of time, so if you are bold, you can lay it out, because around 2000 points, QFII has begun to layout, follow up in moderation, don't fill the position, remember to buy the value of the **.

I think finance and real estate are already very low, many of them are only blocks, when the economy recovers, ** will inevitably be driven by these two sectors to launch an upward attack, personal opinion, for reference only

I'll just say a few words about such a high reward! At present, the domestic market has collapsed, and the international steel market has also tended to the bottom, but the demand for steel has not changed much, but the investment of steel customers has shrunk due to the large financial environment. It has played an important role in the decline of its steel market.

At present, the output of major private iron mines has basically been reduced, and the production saturation is about 60%. It's too low at the moment so they don't mine it. There is a high probability that the steel market will rise in the short term.

It is expected that in about two months, the steel will definitely rise to a little lower than the original. Ask the customer, you can be bold and rest assured.

1. Can steel still rise?

Latest Rating of Brokerage: Maintain "Overweight" rating on the industry.

1. The marginal demand for steel weakened, and the speed of inventory removal remained at a good level.

2. The staggered peak production in the heating season has officially landed, the supply has contracted more than expected, and steel prices may remain strong.

3. The negative impact of core shortage on the automotive industry will gradually disappear, and the demand for steel will gradually pick up.

II. **

Stock is a part of the ownership of the joint-stock company, and it is also a certificate of ownership issued by the joint-stock company to each owner as a shareholding certificate in order to raise funds and obtain dividends and bonuses.

**It is a long-term credit instrument in the capital market, which can be transferred, bought and sold, and shareholders can share the company's profits with it, but also bear the risk caused by the company's operating errors.

Each share represents the shareholder's ownership of a basic unit of the enterprise, and each share of the same class represents equal ownership of the company.

Each listed company will issue **, and the size of the company's ownership share owned by each owner depends on the proportion of the number of ** held by it to the company's total share capital.

3. Preferred shares

Preferred stock is a concept relative to common stock. Preferred shares have priority over common shares in terms of the right to dividends and distribution of residual property.

1. Priority allocation. When the company distributes profits, the shareholders who have the preferred ** are distributed first than the shareholders who hold the ordinary **, but enjoy a fixed amount of dividends, that is, the dividends of the preferred shares are relatively fixed.

2. Priority claim. In the event of liquidation of the company, the preferred shares are distributed before the common shares when the remaining property is distributed. Note: When the company decides not to distribute dividends for several consecutive years, preferred shareholders can enter the shareholders' meeting to express their opinions and protect their own rights.

Summary. He should have returned to rationality just now, but now he is non-stop, and there should be suspicion of hype in it. But according to the current situation, he should continue to ** wave.

Will steel rise in the near future?

Hello, according to the current steel **, the current near future will not rise again. The recent ** of steel has risen from three or four thousand yuan at the beginning of this year to nearly six or seven thousand yuan a ton, so the recent ** of this steel will not have much fluctuation, if it continues to grow, it is still not good for the national economy.

Looking at him like this, he won't continue to grow.

Will steel continue?

He should have returned to rationality just now, but now he is non-stop, and there should be suspicion of hype in it. But according to the current situation, he should continue to ** wave.

Overall, in 2023, the center of gravity of raw materials will decline, the average price of iron ore will be about 95 US dollars, coal will be eased, and steel prices will follow, and the year-on-year decline will be reduced to about 5%, and the amplitude will be compressed.

In 2023, the fundamentals of the steel market will still coexist with long and short factors, and there will be no overwhelming unilateral tendency, which determines that the steel market will continue to be wide in the new year. It is expected that the difference between the trough and the peak of the steel tonnage price throughout the year is about 1,000 yuan. Judging from the month-on-month situation of the whole year, if there is no large-scale winter storage at the end of this year, there will be a wave of uplift** in the spring, and then fall.

The level of ** in the first half of the year is higher than that of the second half.

Judging from the differences in different varieties, building materials will be better than production materials. It is worth noting that because the supply and demand of the steel market in 2023 is expected to be better than that of the previous year, it is expected that the average level of steel will be higher than that in the second half of 2022, and the overall ** center is basically the same as that of the whole year of 2022.

The meaning of **.

**It is a value issued by a joint-stock company to investors to prove their shareholder rights and the amount of shares invested in the company, and to obtain dividend income**. From this definition, it can be seen that there are three basic elements: the issuer, the share, and the holder. **As a certificate of ownership, it has a certain auspicious format.

The significance of the first is to allow enterprises to obtain capital more quickly, so that investors can more easily enjoy the benefits brought by the development of enterprises, so that resources can be allocated more efficiently, and the society can achieve more rapid development.

Hello dear. <>

Steel fell in 2023. Judging from the PMI of the steel industry surveyed and released by the China Federation of Iron and Steel Logistics Professional Committee, in March 2023, it will be a percentage point lower than the previous month, ending the upward momentum of the month-on-month comparison for three consecutive months. From the perspective of sub-indexes, only the new orders index and the production index continued to improve month-on-month, and the finished goods inventory index, raw material inventory index, procurement index and new export orders index all showed a large **.

From the perspective of the 50% withering line, the purchase ** index is preferred, although the current ** index has declined, but it is still reached, and the production index and the new orders index are slightly above the 50% withering line. It is not difficult to see from the performance of PMI that the current overall steel industry situation has weakened, raw material procurement continues to decline, but raw material inventories and finished product inventories have increased, export orders have weakened significantly, new orders and steel production to maintain growth, but the growth is relatively slow, and the overall supply and demand pressure of the steel industry in April may be reflected.

Summary. Steel is up in 2023. In 2023, it is difficult to change the trend of steel, but in view of the current development trend, the global economy continues to recover, and the demand increases, it is expected that steel will **will**, but there will be no large fluctuations.

With the support of technology, the production technology and management level of the steel industry are also constantly improving, thereby reducing the phenomenon of overproduction, thereby inhibiting the development of the iron and steel industry.

Steel is up in 2023. In 2023, the trend of steel ** change is difficult**, but in view of the current development trend, the global economic situation orange economy continues to recover, and the demand increases, it is expected that steel **will**, but there will be no large fluctuations in the sail section. With the support of technology, the production of the steel industry spine technology and management level is also constantly improving, thereby reducing the phenomenon of overproduction, thereby inhibiting the first generation.

The above is my analysis of steel in 2023, and in general, steel in 2023 may be, but not by too much.

Summary. Hello dear. Steel is up in 2023.

The latest data released by the Bureau of Statistics on May 7 showed that non-ferrous metals** rose and fell in late April 2023 compared with mid-April. The specific ** changes are as follows:

Electrolytic copper ** yuan ton, compared with the previous period ** yuan ton, down. Aluminum ingots are up from the previous period. Lead ingots were up from the previous period.

Zinc ingots were lower than the previous period.

Hello dear. Steel in 2023 is a late imitation. The latest data released by the Bureau of Statistics on May 7 showed that:

In late April 2023, compared with mid-April, non-ferrous metals** were mixed. The specific changes are as follows: the electric base leaks copper yuan code front fiber ton, compared with the previous period, down.

Aluminum ingots are up from the previous period. Lead ingots were up from the previous period. Zinc ingots were lower than the previous period.

Iron fell and rose in May.

Hello dear. Specifically, it is manifested in the following four aspects; First, the steel market-related indicators have stabilized and rebounded. In the first two months of this year, the relevant indicators of China's steel market showed a momentum of stabilization and rebound and even rapid growth.

According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, the second is the rapid growth of steel exports. According to the statistics of the General Administration of Customs, from January to February this year, China's steel exports were 12.19 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 49%. Second, steel exports showed rapid growth.

According to the statistics of the General Administration of Customs, from January to February this year, China's steel exports were 12.19 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 49%. The author believes that the main reason for the strong growth of steel exports is that the international debate market is "tight and expensive", highlighting the competitive advantage of China's steel industry. According to the monitoring data of Lange Iron and Steel Research Center, in early March, the price of China's export hot-rolled coil (FOB) was 60 US dollars and 160 US dollars lower than that of other major hot-rolled coil export countries.

Why did iron fall so much in May, and will it rise in May?

There are no specific statistics for May yet.

However, judging from the overall data in April, there is still a small **. <>