What is the current situation and future trend of the fertilizer industry? 10

From January to November 2007, the total cumulative output of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium chemical fertilizers for agricultural use in the country was 53,170 tons, an increase over the same period of the previous year. The total output of agricultural nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium chemical fertilizers in September was the highest, at 5,314 tons, an increase year-on-year; Followed by April, the total output of agricultural nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium chemical fertilizers in a single month was 5,228 tons, a year-on-year increase. In the first half of 2008, the cumulative output of chemical fertilizer in the country was 10,000 tons, a year-on-year increase, and the fertilizer market was fully opened, which will make Chinese enterprises face dual pressure from both domestic and foreign countries. Domestically, first and foremost, environmental pressures. At present, there are very prominent environmental problems in China's fertilizer industry

The low utilization rate of chemical fertilizers not only wastes resources and increases farmers' inputs, but also causes environmental pollution; Phosphogypsum, high-phosphorus wastewater and high-fluorinated gases are also putting a lot of pressure on the environment. The second is the pressure on resources. The resources used to produce fertilizers, such as phosphate rock, potash, coal and natural gas, are all non-renewable resources, and how to save resources and meet the growing demand for fertilizers is a great challenge for China's fertilizer industry.

Third, there is the pressure on the growth of peasants' incomes. As a resource-based product, the scarcity and finite nature of the resources consumed by chemical fertilizer are always a contradiction with the farmers' less expenditure and more income as fertilizer consumers. In addition, the diversification trend of agricultural production has also put forward higher requirements for fertilizer production enterprises.

In the long run, China's fertilizer industry is facing both demand and cost pressures. During the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" period, it will be a period of integration and product structure adjustment of the fertilizer industry, and high-concentration fertilizers rich in phosphorus and potassium will become key products in the future.

Macroeconomic environments such as raw materials, energy shortages, high logistics costs, and increasing inflationary pressure have become the public enemies restricting the development of China's manufacturing industry, but the fertilizer industry has its particularities, and the unreasonable industrial structure such as strong seasonality, poor liquidity, and lack of advance and retreat mechanisms has existed for a long time.

Although the market regulation mechanism has played an important role, China's agricultural protection policy to suppress the fertilizer and other agricultural materials, the lack of raw material subsidy policy and fertilizer extension policy of fertilizer production enterprises makes fertilizer production in a long-term loss, and relying on high pollution, high emissions, high waste, low efficiency of production methods is for fertilizer enterprises production costs remain high, profits are gradually shrinking, with the acceleration of China's internationalization process, The level of enterprise management and operation has become an important factor limiting the competitiveness of China's fertilizer enterprises.

China's fertilizer industry "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" development focus has been preliminarily determined, of which enterprise integration and restructuring will become the top priority, plans to the end of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan", the number of nitrogen fertilizer enterprises reduced to less than 200, the number of phosphate fertilizer enterprises reduced to less than 150.

Agriculture is the foundation of the national economy. As an important agricultural material, chemical fertilizer is closely related to the increase of agricultural production and farmers' income, and it is of significance to maintain the stable development of the fertilizer industry. The downstream of the production of the fertilizer industry is mainly the demand for chemical fertilizers for the development of agricultural economy by farmers, and there will be a small part of industrial demand, while the upstream industries are mainly coal, electricity, various raw materials for production, etc., including phosphate rock, sulfur and other raw materials.

The cost of various mineral raw materials used in the production of chemical fertilizers accounts for more than 70% of the final cost of chemical fertilizer products, and the amount and quality of these raw materials will seriously affect the development of the fertilizer industry. The strength and weakness of the agricultural economic development directly affect the market demand for chemical fertilizers, and then affect the enthusiasm of production enterprises to start production, and affect the supply of the market.

Chemical fertilizer refers to the fertilizer made by chemical method or mining of ore, also known as inorganic fertilizer, including nitrogen fertilizer, phosphate fertilizer, potassium fertilizer, micro fertilizer, compound fertilizer, etc., which have the following common characteristics: simple composition and high nutrient content; The fertilizer effect is fast, and the fertilizer is strong; Some fertilizers have acid-base reactions; Generally, it does not contain organic matter, and there is no effect of soil modification and fertilization. There are many types of chemical fertilizers, and their properties and application methods are quite different.

The fertilizer market is an industry facing the broadest rural areas, and the most common people to deal with are farmers, township retailers, county and city dealers, fertilizer factory salesmen, planting base technicians, base bosses, agricultural bureau soil and fertilizer station staff, etc.

In the past few years, it is easier to do when agricultural materials have just been opened to private operation, but in recent years, the production technology and marketing concept of the relatively backward factory salesman has been very difficult to do, the whole market towards the slow and controlled release, instant and fast-acting, environment-friendly fertilizer development.

The market for specialty fertilizers and water-soluble waste is getting bigger and bigger, and some powerful dealers are also beginning to become bigger and stronger.

In general, this market is vast, but it is also relatively difficult, because it is far away from the bustle of the city, and you need to endure loneliness. Of course, you can get in touch with many of the most simple customs.

If you don't understand something, please feel free to ask.

The agricultural market and the big big said to pick up garbage Araki for Christmas euthanized to pick up garbage on the street.

The term bio-fertilizer is inaccurate, it should be bio-fertilizer!

Chemical fertilizer refers to the fertilizer made by chemical method or mining of ore, also known as inorganic fertilizer, including nitrogen fertilizer, phosphate fertilizer, potassium fertilizer, micro fertilizer, compound fertilizer, etc., which have the following common characteristics: simple composition and high nutrient content; The fertilizer effect is fast, and the fertilizer is strong; Some fertilizers have acid-base reactions; Generally, it does not contain organic matter, and there is no effect of soil modification and fertilization.

In a narrow sense, biofertilizer is a product that enables crops to obtain a specific fertilizer effect through microbial life activities, also known as inoculant or bacterial fertilizer, which itself does not contain nutrients and cannot replace chemical fertilizer. In a broad sense, it is a product that contains both nutrients and microorganisms required by crops, and is a combination of biological, organic and inorganic, which can replace chemical fertilizers and provide various nutrients required for crop growth and development.

In terms of the prospects of the two, because the massive use of chemical fertilizers and pesticides has caused serious damage to the ecological environment, biofertilizers and biological control are now advocated! It can be said that the future development trend of biofertilizer must be immeasurable!

More and more young people are joining the industry, and the organic fertilizer industry can bring more jobs, and even bring out the emergence of new industries and employment groups. The prospect of organic fertilizer is good, but some problems need to be supported by policies.

The development of organic fertilizer is the real socialist circular agriculture, is the real communist cause, the current national fertilizer and pesticide planting mode, which makes the farmers and the land have no need to cultivate feelings, sweat is replaced by medicine, organic fertilizer is replaced by chemical fertilizer.

Although organic fertilizers are more expensive to use and transport than chemical fertilizers, they ultimately require minimal effort to optimize plant growth. Farmers, fruit growers, horticulturers and other growers save the most time and money, and are also the most environmentally friendly.

The organic fertilizer market is chaotic, and domestic garbage (kitchen) and sludge organic fertilizer have high requirements for the production process, so it is not recommended to use this fermentation raw material. Other problems, such as foul odors, are also challenges.

Chemical fertilizer is an important means of agricultural production and the "grain" of grain. Chemical fertilizer has played an irreplaceable role in promoting the development of food and agricultural production, but there are also problems such as excessive application and blind use of chemical fertilizer, which has brought about an increase in cost and environmental pollution, and it is urgent to improve the fertilization method, improve the utilization rate of fertilizer, reduce unreasonable inputs, ensure the effective supply of major agricultural products such as grain, and promote the sustainable development of agriculture. To this end, the Ministry of Agriculture has formulated the Action Plan for Zero Growth in Fertilizer Use by 2020.

Organic fertilizer plays an important role in ensuring national food security.

Organic fertilizer is the connector of rural revitalization, which is conducive to the production of first-class products and brands.

Improves soil organic matter.

It plays an important role in promoting the cycle of planting and breeding.

Modern agriculture and organic agriculture play a catalytic role.

Since 2020, ensuring food production has risen to the level of national economic security. Personal opinions, for reference.

1.8 billion acres.

In the category of chemical fertilizers, potash fertilizers, phosphate fertilizers are more lacking, and nitrogen fertilizers!

With the gradual development of agricultural science and technology, China is the world's largest consumer of agricultural fertilizers, according to statistics: China accounts for 9% of the world's arable land to use the world's 1 3 fertilizers, the amount per unit area is twice the world average, environmental and ecological pressure is great. Fortunately, new fertilizers are slowly becoming the trend of the development of the fertilizer industry, ushering in the best opportunity period for comprehensive development in China.

According to the data of the "Analysis Report on Market Demand and Investment Strategic Planning of China's Fertilizer Industry" released by the Prospective Industry Research Institute, there are currently more than 2,000 enterprises engaged in the production of various types of new fertilizers in the country, accounting for 1 4 of the total number of fertilizer production enterprises in the country. The asset scale of the new fertilizer industry is about 50 billion yuan, and the total output of the new fertilizer industry is about 16.4 billion yuan per year. With the gradual heating up of new fertilizers, more and more enterprises will enter the industry and share the huge market cake.

The fluctuation of agricultural nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium fertilizer production in the country declined

From 2015 to 2020, under the influence of the "first-class efficiency" policy, China's agricultural nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium fertilizer output showed a fluctuating downward trend; In 2020, China's agricultural nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium fertilizer output will not exceed 54 million tons; In 2021, there was a slight increase, reaching 54.46 million tons, and the cumulative output from January to February 2022 was 8.51 million tons.

From the perspective of chemical fertilizer subdivisions, it mainly includes nitrogen fertilizer, phosphate fertilizer, potassium fertilizer, compound fertilizer, etc. From the perspective of output proportion, China's fertilizer production is dominated by nitrogen fertilizer, and nitrogen fertilizer production accounted for more than 60% in 2020; Phosphate fertilizer production accounts for more than 18%; Potash fertilizer production accounts for about 13%; The output of other compound fertilizers accounts for less than 2%.

Note: Data for 2021 has not yet been released.

The total amount of agricultural chemical fertilizer application in the country tends to be stable

In 2015, the Ministry of Agriculture issued the "Action Plan for Promoting the Implementation of the Zero Growth of Chemical Fertilizer Use by 2020", which led to a decline in the amount of chemical fertilizer application in the country year by year. From 2015 to 2020, the compound growth rate of agricultural fertilizer application in China was 10,000 tons. In 2021, with preliminary reference to the national agricultural nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium fertilizer production growth rate released by the National Bureau of Statistics, the national agricultural fertilizer application rate will not exceed 53 million tons.

Note: 2021 is ** data, and the official release shall prevail at that time.

The overall self-sufficiency rate of the national fertilizer industry is relatively high

From the perspective of the overall self-sufficiency rate of the national fertilizer industry, during the 2019-2022 period, except for April 2020 and February 2022, the rest remained at a level of more than 100%, of which a high level of more than 110% remained from June to December 2021.

Note: Self-sufficiency rate = consumption and production.

Further from the actual import of chemical fertilizers in the country, mainly potash fertilizer (lack of domestic potash resources, related products mainly rely on imports), phosphate fertilizer, nitrogen fertilizer and compound fertilizer products import volume is small (mainly due to domestic nitrogen fertilizer, phosphate fertilizer and other overcapacity), and in recent years, the total import of chemical fertilizer in the country as a whole has shown a trend of declining year by year.

——The above data ** in the Prospective Industry Research Institute"Analysis Report on Market Demand and Investment Strategic Planning of China's Fertilizer Industry".

1) Industrial policies encourage the development of new fertilizers.

According to the "Action Plan for Zero Growth in Chemical Fertilizer Use by 2020" issued by the Ministry of Agriculture, the overall application of chemical fertilizers is clearly limited, the utilization rate of chemical fertilizers is required to reach more than 40%, and the structure of chemical fertilizer use is required to be adjusted, and new fertilizers with high efficiency and environmental protection are vigorously promoted. This is bound to force enterprises to carry out reforms, towards efficient fertilization transformation, for the development of the new fertilizer industry is a major opportunity. In addition, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology pointed out in 2015 that it is necessary to vigorously develop new fertilizers, and strive to increase the proportion of new fertilizers in China's total fertilizer use from less than 10% to 30% by 2020, and the proportion of new fertilizers will gradually increase in the future.

2) Fertilizer ** stabilized and rebounded.

Since the end of 2016, due to the gradual stabilization of grain** and positive changes in fertilizer** in the first half of this year, the entire fertilizer ** is stabilizing and rebounding. Whether it is the year-on-year or cumulative year-on-year growth of the month, fertilizer products** have rebounded significantly; On a month-on-month basis, since November last year, the ** index has been in expansion territory (above 100). Moreover, in 2017, the first document and the two sessions of the National People's Congress have paid attention to the reform of the agricultural supply side, which will have a positive impact on the stability and recovery of agricultural products and fertilizer products, so the profitability of the entire fertilizer industry, including the new fertilizer industry, is expected to increase.

To sum up, the future of China's fertilizer market demand will remain balanced, the entire fertilizer industry will be transformed into a new fertilizer in structure, and at the same time, in the context of emphasizing safety, green and nutrition, the future fertilizer market demand will be oriented to efficient and environmentally friendly new fertilizer products.