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Let's first analyze why Brexit will be delayed.
Reason 1: The huge number of opponents.
As the other answer to this question suggests, Brexit was narrowly passed by a very narrow margin (52% to 48%), which means that 48% of the British people still oppose Brexit. With such a large number of opponents, it is not easy to convince them.
Reason 2: The Northern Ireland problem.
The word "North" has been erased from the Northern Ireland border sign.
One of the most difficult issues in the Brexit process is Ireland's borders. Prior to Brexit, many Northern Irish and Irish people lived and worked on both sides of the border, travelling back and forth multiple times a day. According to Reuters, about 30,000 people are currently freely crossing the Northern Ireland-Ireland border every day without any customs procedures.
However, after Brexit, this British border will become a land border between the "EU and non-EU regions", and passport checks will be required for people to enter and exit.
On the other hand, after "Brexit", the UK will withdraw from the European Common Market and the EU Customs Union. This means that if there is no special arrangement, this border will change from the current "soft border" for the free flow of people and goods to a "hard border" that requires customs inspection, and the two sides will also return to the ** relationship subject to the rules of the World Organization (WTO) and increase tariffs. This will destroy the best environment that countless businesses rely on to survive.
Reason 3: The EU is resolute.
The EU can be said to have a very resolute attitude in the process of leaving the EU. For example, after the Brexit bill failed in its first vote in the House of Commons, members of the House of Representatives asked Theresa May to travel to Brussels to restart negotiations with the EU. But the proposal to restart the negotiations was soon unequivocally rejected by the EU.
European Council President Donald Tusk and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker have said that the "Brexit agreement" reached by the two sides is the most complete and there is no need to talk about it.
In the case of the latest Brexit draft, although the EU has agreed to the current treaty, a number of members of the House of Commons have raised concerns on individual issues such as Northern Ireland. In this regard, high-level EU officials have repeatedly said that there is no possibility of renegotiation, and only more "clarifications and explanations" can be provided on individual issues.
However, even if the EU offers any "clarification and explanation", or even reopening negotiations, it is likely that it will be some non-binding political declaration that only addresses future relations, rather than a legally binding withdrawal agreement.
European Council President Donald Tusk said that Brexit would be "even more exciting" if Boris Johnson took office, but that there would be no change to the deal offered by the EU, The Guardian reported on Friday.
Therefore, the EU's hardline attitude has undoubtedly brought the UK's "Brexit" process to an impasse.
Judging from the above, I think the Brexit process will continue to drag on and on, after all, the price paid by the UK is not small.
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It may drag on for a long time, after all, this matter has too much impact on the alliance.
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It will be delayed a little longer, because there is no good way to get the best of both worlds at the moment.
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Judging from the current situation, it is estimated that it will continue to drag on.
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I have a feeling that this matter will definitely drag on and on.
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It is still possible that the UK's "Brexit" will continue to drag on, and there will be a lot of changes.
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It still depends on the support of the people, and I think it will continue to be delayed.
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It may be delayed any longer, but this kind of thing is still a big thing.
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It is estimated that it will continue to drag on, after all, such a thing has too much impact.
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The fundamental cause of Brexit stems from the traditional thinking of the British people's continental balance-of-power and the impact of the thinking of the European Union.
The UK is not a member of the eurozone, although it can issue its own independent currency, which is conducive to maintaining its export competitiveness, and it can also have its own fiscal policy. However, this also makes it difficult for Britain to truly participate in the affairs of continental Europe. Especially during the critical period of the European debt crisis this year, due to the obvious divergence of interests, this - the traditional powers are gradually losing their status and participation in the EU.
The United Kingdom is geographically located in the British Isles in the northwest of the European continent, surrounded by the North Sea, the English Channel, the Celtic Sea, the Irish Sea, and the Atlantic Ocean. The United Kingdom consists of the island of Great Britain, the northeastern part of the island of Ireland, and a series of smaller islands. Britain is surrounded by the Atlantic Ocean, the North Sea to the east, the English Channel to the south, the Celtic Sea to the southwest, and Ireland across the Irish Sea.
The total area is 10,000 square kilometers.
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The final results of the vote count in the 382 voting districts of the British referendum show that the people chose to support leaving the European Union. Brexit hit the British financial market hard, and today the pound exceeded the worst, hitting a 30-year low. In addition, the outlook for Europe and the United States is bleak, and Asia is also responding.
In addition, there is speculation that British Prime Minister Cameron, who holds a "Remain" stance, may resign as a result.
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It was only announced that the result of the referendum was Brexit, but it has not yet officially left the EU, and the decision of the British High Court on Brexit has led to endless discussions in Parliament, possibly appealing to the Supreme Court, and it is not surprising that Brexit should be in March next year.
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It's been voted on by the whole people.
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Be; So what is the concept of the European Union? To put it simply, you and I are neighbors, but neighbors share interests and help each other; It will also bring a lot of trouble, causing the right to speak and decide to lose a certain weight, and it is said that it is an alliance but everyone has a ghost, and the prime minister has a personality and I play it myself.
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The results of the Brexit referendum were announced, and although the Brexiteers won, the process of leaving the EU was far more complicated than expected. Political and economic turmoil is likely to trigger a second referendum that will ultimately lead to the UK remaining in the EU.
The United Kingdom delays Brexit,GDP and export rates will fall in all EU countriesOn the other hand, the EU may also use this to develop economic exchanges with other countries. Brexit is likely to bring EU countries closer together. >>>More