Rationally discuss whether the 2018 World Cup will produce a new world champion

The 2018 World Cup has only produced 1 of the 32 places so far, that is, the host Russian team that directly qualified, and the other 31 places have to be selected through the qualifiers. Now the development of football in various countries is very fast, the advantage of the strong team is decreasing, the upset is increasing, in 2014 Germany won the championship on Brazilian soil to create the history of European teams to win the championship in South America, and it is also a small upset, so it is really hard to say who can win the World Cup in 3 years. However, Germany, Argentina, France, and Brazil should be the biggest favorites, especially France, which should not be underestimated.

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<>Those who follow the path prosper, and those who go against virtue perish."

England: Even though England are in the final of the European Championship, I still think England have to leave if they want to win the title. Southgate's experience and ability cannot be compared to that of coach Roberto Mancini.

It wasn't the contribution of the south gate that put England in the final, but England's good performances and strong strength on paper.

Argentina: Congratulations to Messi on winning the Copa America. Argentina played as a team throughout the game, with a strong cohesion and the ability of the strikers to seize opportunities and convert them into scores, which is a rare thing for this old and new Argentina.

However, Argentina's result is 8-4, and it will still be difficult to play against European teams.

Brazil: Brazil's problems are more extreme than Argentina's. relies too much on the personal ability of the star, and the overall tandem is not enough.

It is often necessary for a player with a lot of individual ability like Neymar to drop back from midfield and break through with the ball to move forward. Now it is difficult for South American teams to compete with the top European teams, because South American teams are still dominated by individual technical styles, and European teams have become more mature and strong in terms of technical level. But against teams that are densely defended or have better control in midfield than Brazil, Brazil will hardly get far.

It is highly likely to be 16-8 next year. Brazil's best chance at the World Cup in recent years has been at home for 14 years. It's a pity that Germany was beaten at its peak.

In fact, apart from Neymar, Brazil has had very little talent in recent years.

To sum up: the champion must not be in the above three, I guess: Spain.