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<> improve the scientific method of decision-making
1. Be good at asking questions: All decisions start with questions. The so-called problem is the gap between the expected phenomenon and the actual phenomenon.
Decision-makers should be good at discovering gaps and identifying problems on the basis of comprehensive collection, investigation and understanding of the situation, and be able to clarify the development trend of problems and the importance of solving them.
2. Be good at determining goals: goals are the starting point and destination of decision-making, goals must be clear and reasonable, and on the basis of needs and possibilities, distinguish between the goals that must be achieved and the goals that are expected to be achieved.
3. Formulate feasible plans: feasible plans refer to plans that have implementation conditions and can ensure the realization of decision-making goals. There are many ways to solve any problem, and it is necessary to compare and develop various alternative solutions.
The process of formulating feasible plans is a process of discovery and exploration, as well as a process of elimination, supplementation, revision and selection.
4. Combination of empirical decision-making and scientific decision-making: the subject of empirical decision-making is generally expressed as an individual, and scientific decision-making is the product of collective intelligence; Empirical decision-making mainly depends on the main quality of decision-makers, while scientific decision-making adopts advanced technology and methods as much as possible. It is necessary to combine empirical decision-making with scientific decision-making to make decision-making scientific.
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Understanding the implications of decision-making:
Decision-making refers to the process of analysis and judgment of selecting a satisfactory plan from more than two feasible plans by using certain scientific methods and means in order to achieve a rough balance to a certain goal.
The subject of decision-making is the manager, because decision-making is a function of management. Managers can make decisions individually, and such decisions are called individual decisions; It is also possible to make decisions together with other managers, and such decisions are called group decisions.
Decision-making isn't just about solving problems, sometimes it's about taking advantage of opportunities.
Principles of decision-making:
Decisions are made based on the principle of satisfaction, not the principle of optimality.
In reality, many factors inside and outside the organization will have varying degrees of impact on the organization's transportation and stool development, but it is difficult for decision-makers to collect all the information that reflects these factors; For the limited information collected, the ability of decision-makers to make use of it is also limited, so decision-makers can only formulate plans with limited number of judgments; Any plan must be implemented in the future, and the future is uncertain, and people's understanding and influence of the future are very limited, so that the future situation at the time of decision-making may not be consistent with the actual future situation.
In reality, the above situation determines that it is difficult for decision-makers to make optimal decisions, and can only make relatively satisfactory decisions.
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Be clear and think about the extension of the problem, and there will not be only one solution to each problem.
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Scientific decision-making means that decision-making should be based on sufficient facts, analyze and calculate a large amount of data and data according to the internal relationship of things, follow scientific procedures, and carry out rigorous logical reasoning, so as to make correct decisions. Scientific decision-making is different from democratic decision-making.
Decision-making is one of the functions of management, and the so-called decision-making refers to the analysis and judgment process of selecting a reasonable plan from more than two feasible solutions in order to achieve a certain goal. Decisions have several characteristics:
1) Forwardness. Any decision is aimed at future action, in order to solve the new problems that are faced, to be solved and the problems that will arise in the future, and decisions are the basis for action.
2) Purposefulness. The goal of decision-making is the problem that needs to be solved by the decision, and the decision will only be made when there is a problem that must be solved.
3) Selectivity. The decision must have more than two alternatives, which are selected through comparative evaluation.
4) Feasibility. A number of options should be feasible in order to ensure that the decision-making options are feasible. The so-called "feasible" refers to the ability to solve predetermined problems and achieve predetermined goals; Second, the plan itself has the conditions for implementation, such as technical and economic feasibility; Third, the influencing factors and effects of the program can be qualitatively and quantitatively analyzed.
5) Processuality. Decision-making is neither a simple "suggestion" nor a simple "decision-making", but a multi-stage and multi-step process of analysis and judgment. Although the importance of decision-making, the complexity of the process and the length of time it takes are different, they are all necessarily processual.
6) Scientific. Scientific decision-making is not an easy task, it requires decision-makers to be able to see the essence of things through phenomena, understand the regularity of the development and change of things, and make decisions that conform to the laws of the development of things.
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Scientific decision-making refers to decision-making in accordance with scientific procedures and scientific methods.
Scientific procedures refer to decision-making that includes research, program formulation, consultation and demonstration, revision and improvement, and democratic approval; There is also a need for monitoring and feedback during the implementation of decisions.
The scientific method refers to the full use of scientific research methods (such as questionnaire surveys, field investigations), scientific program formulation methods (such as brainstorming method, Delphi method) and scientific clapping methods (such as hearings, democratic voting).
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