Is Q1 GDP higher than the full year growth target?

Since the beginning of this year, the national economy has continued to develop steadily and well, the transformation and upgrading have been steadily promoted, the quality and efficiency have been continuously improved, and the economic operation has made a good start. On the morning of April 17, the National Bureau of Statistics announced the "report card" of national economic operation in the first quarter of 2018.

In 2017, China's GDP exceeded 80 trillion yuan for the first time, a year-on-year increase. In terms of quarters, it has been operating in the range for 10 consecutive quarters, maintaining medium-high growth. In the first quarter of 2018, the performance of China's economy also attracted widespread attention.

According to the official data released on the 17th, China's GDP in the first quarter of 2018 was about one trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase, and the same as the fourth quarter of 2017. This growth rate is higher than the full-year economic growth target. Cao Heping, a professor at the School of Economics of Peking University, analyzed that there are three main reasons for this:

First, the transformation of new and old kinetic energy of supply-side structural reform has produced obvious results; Second, consumption and exports have shown a good driving effect; Third, the global economy is recovering, and it is in an upward period with full coverage of the industrial chain. "The content is ** on the Central Radio Network.

Yesterday, the National Bureau of Statistics announced the macroeconomic situation in the first quarter of 2019, the total GDP value in the first quarter is trillions, a year-on-year increase, this number is better than expected, everyone gave the first value before, but if you compare it with the data itself, it is certain that the economy is still declining this year, at this time last year, GDP is growing, and last year's annual growth has also reached.

Therefore, the accurate definition now is that the economy is still declining, but the speed of decline is not as fast as everyone thinks, from the perspective of the economy-driven troika, consumption growth is not bad, the growth of total social consumption, faster than 1-2 percentage points, and the data in March is, indicating that consumption is in a better and better trend, the contribution rate of final consumption expenditure growth to economic growth, consumption continues to become the leading force of demand power.

In terms of investment, investment in fixed assets in the first quarter was slightly accelerated, mainly driven by the growth of investment in the tertiary industry, investment in high-tech manufacturing also increased, and investment in high-tech service industries increased year-on-year.

In terms of import and export, the total import and export volume has only increased, the export has grown, and the import growth has only, with a surplus of nearly 530 billion yuan, but in March, there was a significant acceleration, the total import and export volume suddenly increased, and the export increased sharply, which shows that the ** environment has begun to warm significantly. In terms of import and export this year, it should not be bad.

It revealed the development of GDP in this quarter, as well as China's economic development, we can understand the speed of economic growth, as well as the related GDP development, GDP increased year-on-year, indicating that China's economic development is relatively stable, and China's development in terms of projects has resumed the original development.

The speed of economic development is accelerating, the better the economic level, the faster the market development, the improvement of people's living standards, and the better the quality of life.

China's GDP in the first quarter**. Has the economic recovery been well developed, has the economy been well adjusted, and has the epidemic caused a lot of economic decline? Whether the GDP can show China's determination to prevent and control the epidemic?

Has China's GDP been affected by the pandemic?

Dear, I am glad to answer for you: the relationship between quarterly GDP and annual GDPA The relationship between quarterly GDP and annual GDP is as follows: Quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) accounting and annual GDP This refers to the final verified number of annual GDP.

The differences in accounting are mainly as follows: First, the accounting period is different. Quarterly accounting takes one quarter as the accounting period, and annual accounting takes one year as the accounting period.

China's current quarterly accounting is quarterly. Second, the thickness of industry classification is different. At present, China's quarterly accounting classification is relatively coarse, and the large number is currently calculated according to 43 industries.

The basic information of annual accounting is more abundant, and the classification is more refined, which can be subdivided into 98 industries. Third, the basic information on which the accounting is based is different. Due to the strong timeliness of quarterly accounting, there are generally few basic information on which the first can be rolled over, and only some statistical data (quarterly and monthly reports) with a statistical caliber of insufficient comprehensive progress (quarterly and monthly reports) can be collected.

Due to the long accounting period, there are many basic materials available for annual accounting, mainly statistical data and financial data with relatively comprehensive statistical caliber. Fourth, the accounting methods are different. There are relatively few basic data that can be used in quarterly accounting, so there are more methods for estimating the speed and coefficient of relevant indicators in the accounting, while the estimation method is less used in the annual accounting, mainly based on the basic data.

Fifth, the accuracy of the accounting results is different. The accuracy of annual accounting data is higher than that of quarterly accounting data, and usually quarterly accounting data should be benchmarked according to annual accounting data.

New growth points of China's economy: determine the macroeconomic policy target system, and decisively invest in node areas and node industries that will help form the country's long-term core competitiveness; Finding new drivers of economic growth requires a huge amount of investment and financing in basic core industries; To maintain an advantage in the competition between China and the United States and narrow the gap with developed economies, it is also necessary to maintain medium-to-high economic growth.

Affected by the epidemic, China's economic growth will achieve a two-wheel drive of internal and external circulation, with the elimination of low-end production capacity through industrial upgrading, high-end production capacity will gradually increase and increase the international share share, on the other hand, the domestic economy will be improved, the future of more far-reaching industrial structure differentiation, digital economy and new infrastructure are also a new foothold to promote national economic development.

Intensify the implementation of macroeconomic policies to stabilize the economy. The ** Economic Work Conference at the end of last year also proposed that the economic work in 2022 should be stable and seek progress while maintaining stability, and steady growth will become the main direction of economic work.

The growth point is medicine, and there are detection reagents, and these shares are relatively high.

To promote the realization of a stable start to the economy in the first quarter, the relevant work is hereby notified as follows.

1. Take multiple measures according to local conditions to meet the holiday consumption needs of residents. Persist in stabilizing and expanding consumption under the normalization of epidemic prevention and control, implement the responsibility of local entities, prevent simplification, "one-size-fits-all", and "layer-by-layer" prevention and control, and minimize the impact on the production and life of the masses. Low-risk areas should ensure the reasonable movement of urban and rural residents within the region for short distances and normal consumption activities.

Effectively strengthen the daily necessities to ensure that the necessities of life are not out of stock and continue to be filed. In response to the needs of the elderly to go to their children's places of residence for reunions, do a good job in combining traditional and intelligent, online and offline travel services for special groups such as the elderly. Allocate public transport capacity in an orderly manner, and actively provide non-contact, low-gathering consumption items and social services to facilitate residents' consumption at their "doorstep".

Innovate and enrich New Year's meals, encourage the provision of multi-category **, independent catering, online reservation of Chinese New Year's Eve meal ingredients and other services, and encourage the production and sale of semi-finished products and "clean dishes on the market".

2. Create an upgraded version of online festival consumption. Guide e-commerce companies to open the "non-closing" mode of the Spring Festival, and hold first-class activities such as New Year's goods procurement and catching up with large gatherings online. Combined with the characteristics of festivals, we will launch more customized, intelligent and green products, focusing on the promotion of high-quality characteristic products such as branded agricultural products, geographical indication products, and time-honored brands.

Carry out various forms of ** activities, and where conditions permit, joint enterprises can issue consumption vouchers and vouchers for the benefit of the people. Support the family-style consumption of filial piety culture, and encourage the launch of "one-stop shopping" affordable New Year's gift packages for the elderly, children and other groups. Maintain the order of the Spring Festival market, and strictly prohibit unfair competition, "choosing one of two", "big data killing", sales of infringing counterfeit and shoddy goods, and other illegal acts.

3. Effectively expand rural consumption at the county level. Support the development of new energy vehicles to the countryside, encourage qualified localities to carry out green and intelligent home appliances to the countryside, and promote the consumption of rural residents through enterprise concessions and reducing the proportion of down payments. Guide production enterprises to actively develop consumer goods suitable for the rural market, such as nuclear stoves, electricity, building materials, furniture, automobiles, etc., and promote the upgrading of durable consumer goods in rural areas.

Accelerate the integration of the county and rural e-commerce system and the express logistics distribution system, support large-scale commercial circulation enterprises, e-commerce platforms and other service enterprises to extend and expand to the rural areas, and accelerate the brand consumption and quality consumption into the rural areas.

Mao Shengyong, Director General of the Department of Comprehensive Statistics of the National Economy and Spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics. Guoxin network map.

On March 16, the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the national economic situation from January to February 2020. Mao Shengyong, director and spokesman of the Department of Comprehensive Statistics of the National Economic Bureau of the National Bureau of Statistics, said in response to the GDP growth in the first quarter that the resumption of work and production of enterprises is accelerating, accounting for about 40% of the total economic output in March. "There should be a significant improvement in March compared to January-February.

Since the economic data for January-February has been released, the situation in the first quarter mainly depends on the situation in March. Mao Yong said that since mid-to-late February, after the deployment of the overall plan for epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development, the progress of enterprises resuming work and production has been accelerating, so March should be significantly better than that in January and February.

In addition, in the whole first quarter, the proportion of March in the total economic output was about 40 percent, and the proportion of socks in March was slightly higher than that in March, and March was significantly better than in March. "What is the rate of economic growth? We won't know about it until this time next month and release it.

Mao Yong said. For the next trend, Mao Shengyong said that the preliminary judgment is that with the continuous emergence of the prevention and control effect of the domestic epidemic chain, it is more important to accelerate the progress of resumption of work and production, and the normal production and life order of the economy continues to recover. From a domestic point of view, the impact of the epidemic in the second quarter will gradually decrease, especially some economic activities suppressed in the early stage will be gradually released. So Q2 should be significantly higher than Q1.

From the perspective of the second half of the year, especially under the influence of the policy, and after the introduction of the next series of stronger hedging policies, the effect of the policy will continue to appear. "We feel that the economy will be more stable in the second half of the year, which is the basic trend for the whole year. Mao Yong said.

China's national GDP growth rate in the first quarter was, this time the spokesman of the National Bureau of Statistics pointed out in the press conference that China's economic operation in the first quarter is generally stable, and there is not much difference from the previous economic plan. Up to now, after preliminary accounting, China's GDP in the first quarter has reached 270178 billion yuan. Compared with the previous quarter, it increased year-on-year, and compared with the first four quarters of 2021, it increased quarter-on-quarter.

Among them, agriculture, which accounts for the primary industry, grew by 6%, the secondary industry grew by 4%, and the tertiary industry grew by 4%. <

From this growth rate, we cannot see that the impact of the epidemic on the secondary and tertiary industries is still very large, mainly because the secondary and tertiary industries are often capital-intensive and labor-intensive. Therefore, under the influence of the epidemic, it will have a certain impact on them, but on the whole, our national economy is showing a state of recovery. The growth of the primary sector is of paramount importance to us, first of all, the primary sector is mainly aimed at cropping and animal husbandry.

They were able to ensure a steady supply of our food rations, and for now, spring ploughing has been officially promoted almost across the country. In the first quarter, China's production of pigs, cattle, mutton and poultry meat increased year-on-year, and the growth of pork in the Luqi auction was 14%, and that of beef. Lamb for.

The supply of milk has increased. Because of the impact of the previous year's floods, this year's land is still relatively fertile after the drought, so this year's output is basically guaranteed as long as there are no major problems. <>

The growth rate of the industrial and tertiary service industries is relatively slow, mainly because the main energy costs have risen sharply this year, resulting in difficulties for many enterprises to start construction. Because the service industry has been affected by the epidemic, many industries with strong agglomeration have no way to operate normally. However, this has also given birth to the development of the online retail industry, which can be regarded as a new breakthrough.

At present, the growth rate is quite stable. That's a 5% increase from last year. It shows that our country is not far from developed countries now.

GDP grew year-on-year, up from the fourth quarter of 2021. It's a relatively smooth start.

Year-on-year growth, it can be seen that China's economic level is very high, the speed of development is very fast, and this can also promote China's economic development, which can also improve China's comprehensive strength, which is a good thing.