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It is estimated that the price of Pingmei's coal has begun to rise.
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Summary. The price of coal will go up. Whether coal will continue to be here depends on the following factors:
1.Supply and demand relationship: The relationship between coal and demand directly affects the trend.
With the resumption of economic activity and the arrival of the winter peak of coal consumption, coal demand will rise significantly, and if it cannot be met, it will drive coal. But if there is sufficient, the increase will be suppressed. 2.
Global market**: China's coal ** is also affected by the global market, especially the trend of seaborne coal in Australia and other countries. If coal in the international market continues, China will also rise, and vice versa.
3.Policy: Coal is an energy variety, which will be affected by macro policies.
If policies to encourage mining expansion are introduced, the increase will be weakened. And if the policy restricts production, **will**. In addition, tariffs on imported coal can also affect domestic coal prices.
4.Mine production costs: Coal mine production costs, including coal mine construction, labor and operating costs, are important factors affecting the highest level.
If the production cost increases, the coal company will increase the sales, resulting in the overall production.
The price of coal will go up. Whether coal will continue to be continued, the following factors need to be considered:1
Supply and demand relationship: The relationship between coal and demand directly affects the trend. With the resumption of economic activities and the arrival of the peak of coal consumption in winter, the demand for coal will rise significantly, and the supply of Qingqing Oak will promote coal if it cannot be satisfied.
But if there is sufficient, the increase will be suppressed. 2.Global Market**:
China's coal ** is also affected by the global market, especially the trend of seaborne coal ** in Australia and other countries. If the international market coal continues, China will also rise, and vice versa. 3.
Policy: Coal is an energy variety, which will be affected by macro policies. If policies to encourage mining expansion are introduced, the increase will be weakened.
And if the policy restricts production, **will**. In addition, tariffs on imported coal can also affect domestic coal prices. Answer: 4
Mine production costs: Coal mine production costs, including coal mine construction, labor and operating costs, are important factors affecting the highest level. If the production cost increases, the coal company will increase the sales, resulting in the overall production.
To sum up, in the coming period, there is a probability that coal will continue in the short term, which is mainly due to: 1In winter, the demand will rise, and the supply and demand will be tightened, supporting the upward trend.
2.Global coal continues, which will push up China's coal prices. 3.
**The policy of encouraging the expansion of Chai Hong's production capacity and restricting imports is also conducive to domestic coal.
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The sharp drop in coal** may be related to the following factors:
1.Surplus: Global coal production capacity has increased, resulting in a coal surplus. At the same time, coal production in some large coal-producing countries is also increasing, such as Australia, Indonesia, etc., which further exacerbates the coal surplus.
2.Tense international situation: In recent years, factors such as the Sino-US war and the epidemic have led to a tense global situation, which has led to a decline in coal demand and an impact on coal.
3.Impact of climate policy: Many countries are taking action to combat climate change, which could lead to a decrease in demand for coal. For example, European countries are already planning to phase out coal-fired power plants, which will lead to a decline in coal demand.
4.New energy substitution: With the continuous development of new energy technologies, some countries are gradually turning to new energy sources such as solar energy, wind energy, etc., which may lead to a decline in coal demand.
It should be noted that although coal is ** for a period of time**, the demand for coal as a traditional energy source still exists, especially in some developing countries, so the trend of coal ** is affected by a variety of causes of phlogiston.
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There is an increase, but not too much.
Coal** will rise due to:
1. At present, the proportion of coal in China's primary energy consumption is still high, and China is in the stage of urbanization development, and coal energy is still needed in the short term, so coal prices will have a little support.
2. The uneven distribution of coal resources in China, showing the characteristics of poor in the south and rich in the north, poor in the east and rich in the west, the bottleneck of coal transportation still exists, coupled with the merger and reorganization of coal enterprises nationwide, most of the coal mines in the main producing areas are undergoing technological transformation and integration, and the production capacity is difficult to release in the short term, which will support coal prices.
3. Global economic growth is sluggish, the European debt situation is deteriorating, the U.S. economy is in recession, and the market expects the U.S. to launch the third round of quantitative easing (QE3), the result is that the dollar is flooding, the dollar is weakening, and commodities will be sharply **, including coal.
The price increase will not be very large, and the reasons are:
1. This year, the price is too fast, the inflationary pressure is high, and the relevant state departments will not sit idly by, and will use administrative means to intervene in coal prices (such as holding thermal coal fairs to ensure key contract thermal coal).
2. In recent years, the country has vigorously developed new energy sources such as wind power and hydropower, and the elimination of backward production capacity and energy conservation and emission reduction efforts have been increased, and the demand for coal in downstream industries will be suppressed.
Southwest China Coal Market Network Welcome to pay attention!
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As far as this year's situation is concerned, the general environment is not good, that is, the global economic crisis. But as far as the domestic situation is concerned, I think there are two specific manifestations:
1. Exports have been significantly reduced. The exports I am talking about include not only domestic coal exports, but also domestic industries that use coal as power (such as steel, cement, ceramics, coal chemicals, etc.), as well as the decline in domestic industrial production, which has led to a decline in electricity production and coal consumption in power plants that use a lot of coal. The ripple effects of this series account for a considerable proportion.
2. Imports of coal have increased substantially. Because of the impact of the economic crisis, foreign coal has been far lower than domestic coal, resulting in Qinhuangdao port in 2012 to become the world's largest coal storage port, more than 9 million tons of coal can not be shipped out at once.
In addition, there is a decrease in domestic demand. In the past, I always thought that it had something to do with real estate, because the depression of real estate led to a reduction in production of steel mills, ceramic factories, cement factories, power plants, chemical plants, etc., so domestic demand decreased, coal supply oversupply, and coal prices fell. Later, I communicated with my friends, and everyone thought that the main reason was the recession of the external market, that is, the bad global economy.
After all, compared with external demand, domestic demand is not influential enough.
In my humble opinion, it is for reference only.
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On March 5, the National Bureau of Statistics announced the changes in the market for important means of production in the circulation field in late February 2018, and the data showed that the national coal prices rose and fell in late February. The specific changes of each coal type are as follows:
Anthracite (No. 2 washed block) ** yuan ton, compared with the previous period ** 10 yuan ton, an increase of .
Ordinary mixed coal (4500 kcal)**479 yuan, compared with the previous period**1 yuanton, a decrease of.
Shanxi Da Mix (5000 kcal)** was 544 yuan ton, compared with 1 yuan ton in the previous period, a decrease of 1 yuan.
Shanxi excellent mix (5500 kcal)** was 578 yuan ton, compared with 2 yuan ton in the previous period, a decrease of .
Datong blended coal (5800 kcal)** was 620 yuan tons, the same as the previous period.
Coking coal (1 3 coking coal)** was 1180 yuan tons, the same as the previous period.
The above data shows that in late February, the country's coking coal was stable, anthracite, and thermal coal were stable and declined.
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** 10-20 yuan, Lu'an's thermal coal price has been reduced by about 30.