What are the reasons for the continued strength of corn prices? Will corn prices run at high levels

With the deepening of global economic integration and regional economic integration, it can be said that it will affect the whole body, and international food prices will continue to rise in 2022, driving domestic food prices to continue to rise. Especially for the soybean meal and corn with a relatively large amount of feed consumption in China in recent years, it has a great impact, and then we will talk about the trend of corn in China in 2022.

1. As we have mentioned above, international grain ** continues to rise under the influence of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, especially Ukraine, which is known as the "breadbasket of Europe", at the beginning of 2022, there was a backlog of 25 million tons of corn that could not be exported at the port, and a large amount of grain backlog in Ukraine will not only continue to affect the global grain **, but also drive the domestic corn ** higher.

Second, the government vigorously promotes the implementation of "soybean and corn strip compound planting" technology. Due to the dependence of China's soybeans on foreign countries as high as more than 80%, the first document in 2022 proposes to "expand soybeans and oil crops", not only to increase the soybean planting area, but also to increase soybean subsidies.

Third, the rise of wheat drives the high operation of corn. As a substitute for corn, wheat will no longer have a cost advantage in feed, and the feed demand for corn will increase if wheat feed is reduced.

Fourth, imported corn is on a decreasing trend. According to official data, China's corn imports are expected to be 18 million tons in 2022, a decrease of 10% compared with 2021, which undoubtedly increases the demand for domestic corn production.

All in all, in 2022, China's corn will show a situation of reduced supply and increased demand, which is also the fundamental reason why corn will continue to be strong. What do you think?

Caused by international influence, it also has a certain relationship with the war, so this situation will occur, and there is indeed a possibility of high-level operation in 2022.

Because there are seeds and fertilizers, the cost of planting is relatively high, so it has been strong. This year's corn will run at a high level.

The reason why the product continues to be strong is because our country is a large corn producer, which can provide a sufficient amount of corn and does not need to be imported; I don't think 2022 corn will run high.

Corn ** has dropped significantly.

First, there is overcapacity in corn deep processing.

Second, the corn market is stupid and the supply of acres is sufficient. Due to the high level of corn last year, all grain-holding enterprises and farmers are reluctant to sell, and the current farmers have a large stock of corn.

In addition, imported substitutes such as sorghum and barley are more cost-effective, which also has a great impact on local corn sales. After the Mid-Autumn Festival, the new corn is about to be listed, the new and old corn are concentrated on the market, the market is sufficient, the new corn is expected to open low, and the overall trend of grain is not as good as last year.

Compared to last year, it was lower.

According to the latest survey data of the Shanghe County Price Bureau, corn has plummeted in September, and it has fallen below one yuan to 500 grams at present, down from 500 grams last week, down from 500 grams last month, down from 500 grams last month, and down from 500 grams last year.

The factors that affect the cost of corn production include the following:

1. The cost of land market rent.

Second, the cost of mechanized operation is high.

3. Fertilizer, seed and pesticide costs.

In recent years, the rapid rise of housing prices in China has made non-agricultural land skyrocket, and the national storage policy in the past few years has made grain production have a stable and higher income, which has greatly increased the production factors of land, resulting in the process of corn production in China, the rental cost of corn production land is also much higher than that of the United States and Brazil.

In recent days, as the corn in the main corn producing areas has begun to be harvested, the first corn is also a problem that many farmers are concerned about, hard work for a year, wind and rain, and finally to see the harvest, how corn is directly related to the farmers' wallets, 2021-08-28 (Saturday), the national average price of corn is 2841 yuan tons, **stable, month-on-month, year-on-year**, in the current form, the corn market tends to be stable, which is undoubtedly good news for farmersDon't ask for corn to rise all the way, but don't ask for **, this is the common voice of all farmers。The reasons for the stability of specific corn ** are as follows:

Clause.

1. The new crown epidemic has been controlled, agricultural production in all aspects has been steadily advanced, and the pork market is stable。Since the beginning of this year, the number of pig farmers has skyrocketed, resulting in the return of pork **** to the 10 yuan era, the recovery of pig production capacity, and the demand for corn market has gradually stabilized. We also have to see that the return of pork ** is stable because of stable production capacity and pork price reduction, so the proportion of feed cost will be relatively high, which may affect the ** of corn at that time, which may lead to the stabilization of corn**.

Planting corn is hard, and the price of corn is lower than the purchase price, many farmers have a plan to continue breeding, whether it is chickens, ducks and pigs, corn is the main food of these livestock, therefore, farmers will not choose to sell corn, so the market and market demand of corn tend to be stable, there is no fluctuation.

Clause.

Third, the real market period of corn has not yet arrived. Although the temporary storage corn is cleared, we must see that the real market period of new corn has not arrived, and this market period should take more than ten days. At that time, since the new corn is really on the market, we still don't know what kind of impact corn will be affected, so it's best to be psychologically prepared first.

From this point of view, maybe it is more appropriate to sell corn at this time, although it is low, but after all, the moisture is high.

Because the demand for corn in the market is not particularly large, coupled with the large number of corn, it is very stable.

Because the yield of corn is very stable, there is basically no big fluctuation, and people's demand for corn is also very stable.

Because the pork price is also relatively stable, the pork price reduction is related to the corn price, so there will not be a large increase in corn now.

Because corn is a low-sugar and very filling food, people nowadays will pursue the perfection of their body, so they will choose to eat corn. will make it more and more expensive.

Because of inflation, the ** of corn will rise, and the growth is very amazing, which is also something that cannot be controlled by man.

Because the seed of corn is now rising, and the technology of planting corn is becoming more and more difficult, so corn is becoming more and more expensive.

Because the yield of corn is particularly small, it is in short supply in the market, so it will become more and more expensive.

Because there is very little land that can grow corn now, the yield is not very high.

Corn is one of the important agricultural products in China, and it is also a common crop, also known as maize, baogu, pearl rice. China imports corn from Mexico and Peru in the Americas, although it is not the place of origin, but it is one of the largest producers. Corn is nutritious and delicious, as well as the best effect, is one of the favorite foods of healthy people, and large farmers often feed corn to the animals, which is one of the main feeds.

Since March last year, the price of corn has continued to rise, and in January 2021, it rose to nearly 3,000 yuan per ton, which is really a record high. Why is the common corn ** having such a high rally?

1.Growers' reluctance to sell

China's population is large, the gap between corn market demand and supply is large, the demand of 20 million tons is indispensable every year, during the Chinese New Year, corn is tight, some farmers have high expectations for the market outlook, have raised corn, hoarding corn, resulting in corn ** large.

2.Corn is becoming more and more versatile

Corn is not only the favorite food of human beings, the pigs raised by farmers also take corn as a staple food, and now the pig industry is booming, more and more pig farmers, some feed processing plants purchase corn for reproduction, and the demand for the market in the feed manufacturing industry is surging. In addition, corn is the main raw material of ethanol gasoline that has risen recently, and now gas stations have put ethanol gasoline on the shelves.

3.The impact of the pandemic and natural disasters

In 2020, both domestic and foreign countries will be affected by the new crown epidemic, and the domestic demand will be large, and the import of imported corn will be blocked, resulting in greater pressure on the demand for corn in China's market. The house leak coincided with overnight rain, and a typhoon blew in the northeast of China last autumn, resulting in damage to the corn yield of a large area of planting land, and the harvest cost of farmers was greatly increased.

Because this year's corn farming area is small, resulting in an urgent shortage of feed corn, and China's corn inventory is serious, but corn has a high transaction and high premium, and the national policy is urgently regulated.

Corn is very high, it may be that the imported corn is too little this year, which cannot meet everyone's needs for corn, and the gradual increase in domestic demand will also lead to a high level.

Because the yield of corn is not very high, it is expensive to be scarce. The ** that leads to corn will be so high.

The reason why this year's corn is so high is because the demand for industrial corn is huge, so the price of corn has also increased.

This is because the number of farmers is getting smaller and smaller, and the nutritional value of corn as a crop is relatively high, so the demand is relatively high.

I think it's because the epidemic in foreign countries is completely uncontrolled and there is a crazy rush for food, so the ** of corn this year will be so high.

This year, Henan, Hebei, Shanxi and other major corn producing areas suffered floods, corn mildew, germination. The quality of new corn is generally not good. Farmers are reluctant to use it, resulting in higher aged corn**.

Due to the epidemic this year, coupled with the rain this year, the corn yield has decreased, and it is normal for the grain to be ****. Looking at how many times other prices have risen in recent years, the state will still regulate and control everyone's food, and a pound of a few cents will have no impact on us. <>

Last year, due to African swine fever, resulting in a shortage of domestic pigs, this year is the year of vigorously developing the pig industry. This year, all over the country vigorously develop the pig industry, after which the demand for feed suddenly increased violently, corn is the main raw material for feed, the domestic corn market is tight, so corn **fast**. <>

There are many reasons for the **** of corn, the storage of a corn is not much, because the domestic corn storage is not very much, so after the demand for corn increases, the storage will rise, so the increase in demand leads to the **** of corn. At the same time, the **** of this corn is temporary, and it will not last, so the ** of corn may fall back in the near future, we all know that food is indispensable in our lives, and at the same time, food is also the foundation of our life, so the rise of food is closely related to our lives. <>

If the price of corn rises, because a large number of his pig industry has been developed, then they will use corn as feed, so the cost of raising pigs will increase, and slowly the increase in corn will increase. At that time, the **** of corn, then there would be ** situation in other parts of corn, in fact, the impact on the people was not very great, but food was the foundation of the people's lives, so ** still needed to be stable. <>

At the same time, the lives of the people will be affected, so every family will be affected, so I still hope that my country's food will be more stable, so that the country can become more prosperous.

The factors supporting corn are not very stable, after all, corn is caused by many factors, so corn is not very stable.

I think it's still very stable. The factor that supports the corn is because of stability, so it will make the corn continue to grow.

It is very stable, corn in many places is not particularly expensive, and many people can afford corn in their lives, so it can be said to be very stable.

I don't know if the price will rise or not, but I personally think that there are many factors that affect corn, such as supply and demand, and the oversupply will not be high. Demand outstrips supply.

In the next two or three months, the corn market may break through the yuan mark. Why, there are at least three reasons:

First, the auction of temporary storage corn has bottomed out, and the market gap is large. A few years ago, after the implementation of the corn storage system in China, the inventory of corn was huge. After several years of hard work, the auction for temporary storage of corn has finally bottomed out.

This shows that demand continues to rise and there is a large gap in the market. Therefore, for some time to come, it will remain a seller's market, and the initiative will be in the hands of traders.

Second, the planting area of corn has decreased, and the output has been affected. Due to the persistence of corn in the first two years, many farmers chose to plant other plants with higher economic value, so the corn acreage continued to decline for some time. However, in the past two years, especially this year, the impact of corn ** has been fully felt.

On the one hand, the original planting area is decreasing; On the other hand, prolonged flooding has also reduced maize production. Under the influence of two factors, the corn planting area has shrunk and the yield has declined.

Third, international imports have increased substantially, but demand has been greater. Domestic corn is in short supply, and foreign corn is relied on to make up for it. In recent years, the amount of corn imported from abroad in China has also continued to rise, especially from last year to now, a large number of orders have been placed abroad.

For example, China will import corn from Serbia before signing a 1.36 million mt corn order with the United States, which has a positive effect on stabilizing domestic corn ** to some extent. But you must know that the demand for corn is greater now, because in 2017, China's pig production capacity has recovered to, and now it is in the process of expanding production in large quantities, resulting in an increase in demand for corn. Not only can domestic corn not meet the market demand, even if some corn is imported, the overall quantity is still limited, so it is still there.

In general, whether it is from the supply side or the sales side, the demand for corn is huge now, and corn is inevitable for a long time in the future.