With corn prices currently at a high level, what are the risks?

Because if the corn is high, the farmer will be very happy. So they think that the later they sell, the better the corn harvest. They will hoard a lot of corn.

If the farmer and the merchant are not in agreement, it is likely that the yield of this corn will be at risk of sales lag. If it is not guaranteed, it will fall back to its previous price.

At present, if the ** of corn is very high, it is likely to lead to the emergence of a flat replacement, and everyone will not choose corn, but will choose other more suitable things.

It may not be sold, and the sales will also be affected, because the corn is so high, everyone can choose not to eat it, and there will be some quality problems and so on.

Because there are many risks to the living environment of corn, there are many dangers of insect control or insect pests, so it needs to cause frequent insects, so it also requires a lot of cost, which is the reason why corn is more expensive in the market.

Corn ** has dropped significantly.

First, there is overcapacity in corn deep processing.

Second, the corn market is stupid and the supply of acres is sufficient. Due to the high level of corn last year, all grain-holding enterprises and farmers are reluctant to sell, and the current farmers have a large stock of corn.

In addition, imported substitutes such as sorghum and barley are more cost-effective, which also has a great impact on local corn sales. After the Mid-Autumn Festival, the new corn is about to be listed, the new and old corn are concentrated on the market, the market is sufficient, the new corn is expected to open low, and the overall trend of grain is not as good as last year.

Compared to last year, it was lower.

According to the latest survey data of the Shanghe County Price Bureau, corn has plummeted in September, and it has fallen below one yuan to 500 grams at present, down from 500 grams last week, down from 500 grams last month, down from 500 grams last month, and down from 500 grams last year.

The factors that affect the cost of corn production include the following:

1. The cost of land market rent.

Second, the cost of mechanized operation is high.

3. Fertilizer, seed and pesticide costs.

In recent years, the rapid rise of housing prices in China has made non-agricultural land skyrocket, and the national storage policy in the past few years has made grain production have a stable and higher income, which has greatly increased the production factors of land, resulting in the process of corn production in China, the rental cost of corn production land is also much higher than that of the United States and Brazil.

Severely affected by the international epidemic. Although the domestic epidemic is insignificant to China's corn market, the impact of the international epidemic is very large. Due to the global outbreak of the serious new coronavirus pneumonia epidemic, resulting in a food crisis in many countries, so that many large grain exporting countries this year affected by the epidemic, corn processing enterprises generally started late, but the production capacity increased compared with last year, although the product has been ***, but corn ** is the same, the overall cost accounting, the profit range is lower than in previous years.

The recent price increase is not helpful for the income of most farmers, after all, the current market circulation of grain sources is mainly concentrated in the hands of the first merchants. Then, in view of this, the risk brought by the high level of corn is more from the perspective of the entire industry. It means that every year we have about 30 million tons of newly harvested corn remaining inventory, after the cumulative inventory over the years, the corn in the market is in an oversupply situation, corn ** continues to decline, the average price of corn in North China has fallen to about yuan per catty.

Consumers should be fully mentally prepared. The risks faced by corn are mainly concentrated in three aspects, one is affected by corn in the international market, the other is affected by domestic pig breeding and alcohol manufacturing industry, and the third is affected by macro control. The moisture content has been greatly reduced, and there is a clear difference in the moisture content of the same corn after the year and before the year, and it is natural that the corresponding increase will be made.

For the farmers of the first corn, this part of the income from the price increase actually needs to offset the weight loss.

On the other hand, it is also due to the stagnation of corn trading in the early stage due to the epidemic, and now domestic production and life are returning to normal, so corn has appeared. Of course, the grain storage in the Northeast has also promoted the improvement of corn. Corn is stable and rising.

2. Recently, according to the State Food Administration, the storage of corn in the domestic market before the year was much smaller than in previous years, and at the same time, the corn in the new season of this spring has not yet been marketed, which has led to the volatility of corn.

Some rural people will choose to plant corn, and every household grows a lot of corn, which will increase the yield of corn, which is also very bad for other crops.

The drawbacks are that because of its high quality, many farmers will choose to plant corn, which will eventually cause inflation, there are a lot of corn on the market, and finally it will rot because of rainy weather, the economy will decline, causing farmers to burden, so it will affect people's lives.

The high cost of corn will lead to the use of corn as raw materials, which will eventually affect the consumer side and make consumers pay higher purchase costs. At the same time, it will also stimulate the enthusiasm of corn farmers and expand the scale of corn planting.

The cost of the breeding industry will increase, and then some pork, mutton and beef will definitely be particularly high, after all, corn is the feed of these breeding industries, which affects the lives of ordinary people, and the storage of corn is not particularly good storage, it may be damp, causing economic losses, and now there are some suspicions of speculation, which will be so high.

It will make many people plant corn, it will reduce the number of people who buy corn, it will reduce the number of people who feed pigs, it will affect the food and meat and so on.

It is easy to lead to a large increase in prices, and it will also affect people's ability to consume and shop, and it will also lead to the situation that corn-related products will appear, and it will also affect the normal order of society.

At present, if the corn ** is too high, it may cause a pork ** to not come down, then it will also lead to the emergence of a corn replacement, because everyone can no longer afford corn, so they can only change one.

It may make most people choose to plant corn next year, rather than planting other crops, so that corn may appear to be a phenomenon of inflation, which will lead to a continuous decline in the price of corn.

It will lead to a lot of cost increases in many breeding industries, and will also lead to the growth of corn-related products, and everyone's living pressure will increase, which is not conducive to the stability of prices in society and disrupts a certain social market.

There will be many drawbacks, especially for those farming industries. It will make those farms have a situation where the effort is not proportional to the harvest, and even some aquaculture will go out of business. In this case, some products in the service industry will also be **.

So the impact is huge.

First of all, it is necessary to pay attention to how strong the power of corn is, and secondly, it is necessary to pay attention to the reduction of corn freight, and the second is that the price of coal has also been reduced. Now corn has entered a critical period, and the price of corn in Northeast China has risen collectively, especially in Heilongjiang and Jilin, and the price of corn in Northeast China has also driven the price of corn in North China. Therefore, many people pay attention to whether the factors supporting corn **** are stable and unstable, and whether these factors will change.

Although corn has not yet been centrally listed, the ** of corn has risen a lot. Ignoring the influence of other factors, one of the most direct reasons is that the supply of corn in the market is now relatively tight, so it will always be. So we have two very noteworthy news in this, the first is that the freight cost of corn has been reduced.

We can find that the freight rates of corn, soybeans, and rice in the Northeast have been reduced, and because the circulation of corn is more difficult now, and the transportation cost is relatively high, the freight will be lowered, mainly to better help corn to circulate in the market. <

The second is that the ** of coal has also been lowered, and we all know that the ** of coal has caused the ** of gas transportation and drying costs. Now in the three northeastern provinces, Heilongjiang corn production is the largest, but because of the remote geographical location, and due to the epidemic, there are indeed certain difficulties in transportation, but in Liaoning and Jilin production is relatively low. However, the yield of corn in the follow-up may still be **, so the freight may also be **.

However, corn itself is a relatively common ingredient, and even if it is**some**, it will not rise too much, so you can still buy it with confidence. And not all the corn in the country comes from the Northeast, and you can also buy it in large supermarkets.

The corn soared this time, mainly because the corn market was tight, and the reason for the corn tension was mainly corn freight, so the current state is taking measures to curb corn transportation costs, and at the same time reduce coal and control corn too fast.

Behind the sharp rise in corn, there are these news worth noting: the direct reason is that the supply of corn is relatively tight; It is worth noting that in November, the freight rate of soybeans, corn, rice and other freight rates in the Northeast will be reduced across the board, with a reduction of between 2% and 58%, of which the freight rate of containers will be reduced by up to 68%; According to the survey in Jilin at the end of October, the coal price was lowered by 800 yuan per ton, which also made the drying cost of corn fall and decline, with the pressure of corn supply in mid-November.

Corn production can not keep up, transportation costs are lowered, coal is down, drying costs are down, motor transportation is down, and so on are worth our attention.

It is worth noting that the news is that corn has not yet been centrally listed, and because of this disaster, most of the corn has risen, but the freight of corn will be lowered, but the cost of corn will be **.

The reasons, the final result, the official attitude, the current situation, and the market are all worth paying attention to.

The China Feed Industry Association has reduced the protein content of chicken and pig feed, which will also increase some corn consumption and create conditions for an upward trend in the corn market. Due to the higher soybean subsidies in the Northeast this year, the soybean area will definitely increase, so the reduced area should be larger. In this way, the expected decline in corn production at the end of the year will also have a positive impact on corn**.

While we can't support corn all year round**, it's certainly very important. In addition, the state is vigorously promoting the consumption of ethanol gasoline, and is also promoting the national six-standard gasoline. From the perspective of ethanol generational technology, China still focuses on producing ethanol from one generation of grain, and the demand for corn will also increase.

Corn **** has been going on for some time, and the manufacturer's stock must be replenished. To ensure their own interests, manufacturers are likely to lower ** and buy. Next year is coming, and it will be easy for grassroots farmers to pay off their loans or affect their funds for the New Year.

The impact of the policy has led to continued volatility in the market for corn**. This fluctuation is normal and temporary, but some small and medium-sized ** traders may be greatly affected. Some small and medium-sized businessmen began to choose to withdraw speculative funds, which also led to the emergence of some obvious corn enterprises.

The purchase and sales channels of the corn market are unimpeded, and the first will continue to increase, and the first will not last long. It is expected to stabilize in the near future. In terms of consumption, affected by the domestic animal husbandry, in addition to pig breeding, the inventory of eggs, poultry, meat and poultry is still high, and the demand for feed consumption has also maintained a good growth trend.

The import volume of corn-related substitutes has also shown a certain growth trend, and it is expected that the overall increase in corn will not be too large.

The market will also become more and more accommodative. Although it is difficult for corn to make a large-scale adjustment in the short term, we must maintain the status quo and understand the risks so as not to suffer significant losses in the adjustment. For the long-term trend of corn **, the original judgment was upheld.

With the sharp decline in Hong Kong's grain imports, factors such as farmers' reluctance to sell and ** support, driven by increasing planting costs and long-term improvement on the demand side, will further support the corn market in the future.

The risk of a pullback in corn will increase. Because the first of corn is fluctuating according to the supply and demand of the market, the arrival of goods increases, the supply of the market increases, and the first of corn naturally faces the risk of falling.

As the arrival increases, the risk of a pullback in corn will increase, because the current market is determined by supply and demand requirements.

Yes. The increase in arrivals and the same consumer lead to inflation, resulting in a decrease in corn ** and an increase in risk.