How long will it take for autonomous driving to become widespread?

More and more voices are shouting--- the future belongs to artificial intelligence! In addition to convenience, artificial intelligence has brought impact and change to human society!

For example, Canada has begun to consider the use of artificial intelligence to process immigration-related cases and applications, and many people have begun to think that more and more people will be laid off by the immigration department. Similarly, in the future, as the era of "driverless" vehicles deepens, in addition to the potential environmental and economic benefits, it may also lead to the layoff of taxi drivers and even bus drivers. Of course, that's all for later. At present, the Canadian federal ** is worried about what kind of safety hazards "unmanned" vehicles will bring to drivers and novice drivers.

There is a Japanese anime that will expose age, called Formula Racing Cars, the full name is "New Century GPX" The reason for mentioning this animation is that in its early years, he had already thought of "unmanned" vehicles and advanced technology for the interaction between people and computer cars. Now, as more and more private cars have computer screens on their dashboards, there are more voice interaction features and automatic, semi-autonomous driving features. But it's precisely these elements that Transport Canada is worried about.

Canada's federal** has been working on regulations to address a range of issues with "driverless" vehicles. Shortly after taking office, Transport Minister Marc Garneau received a notice to begin working with the law and legislature to develop regulations.

If you look at the examples of other countries in the world, you will find that even if you are driving a "driverless" vehicle, human drivers must have a license from that country, be trained, and be ready to take over in the event of an intelligent failure. In fact, even when not driving a "driverless" vehicle, drivers can steal at their lights or other moments, diverting their attention from their phones or other electronic devices on the road. Therefore, how to avoid the risk of drivers losing concentration and trusting too much in computer driving.

From an economic point of view, automated vehicle technology has the potential to create new possibilities for the transport sector, providing environmental benefits by improving road safety. and create new economic opportunities for jobs and investment. However, there is still a long way to go before "driverless" vehicles become widespread, both on the road and in technology.

As of 2020, driverless cars are still not widely available, but there are already many places where driverless technology is being piloted, and driverless technology will be popularized in the near future. On the morning of May 17, 2019, four smart buses appeared on the Smart Island of Longzi Lake in Zhengzhou City.

With the help of 5G signals, the vehicle can quickly connect with the cloud control platform, and even quickly update the software of the vehicle, based on which a new vehicle-road collaboration can be established.

Zhengzhou's unmanned buses can exchange information with nearby bus stations to understand the arrival of vehicles. In addition, vehicles can also feel pedestrian and vehicle information from a few hundred meters away, and communicate traffic lights as soon as possible.

As of 2020, driverless cars are still not widely available, but with the development of driverless technology and AI technology, it is possible that it will become widespread in the next few years. Although driverless vehicles will be released in the next few years, many driverless technologies already exist and are gradually increasing their use in everyday driving. More and more automakers are investing in the research and development of autonomous driving technology.

Automakers are increasing the use of radar and camera-based systems in vehicles to prevent cars from deviating from lanes, detect pedestrians in front of them, and apply automatic braking to avoid collisions. Although the driver is currently indispensable for car driving, eventually these systems will be applied to driverless cars.

At present, the most common semi-autonomous driving functions that can be applied to vehicles are: adaptive cruise control, lane departure warning system, emergency braking system, automatic parking system, and automatic highway navigation device.

At least 5 years, 5G Internet of Things will be fully developed after the popularization of the Internet of Things, and the previous ones were all experimental mice.

It will take some years to become popular.

Before 2003, when we were the Hollywood sci-fi blockbuster "Minority Report", driverless cars with intelligent robot functions seemed a little whimsical on the screen. But now, 10 years later, global automotive companies are competing in driverless car technology and have made significant progress.

The accident rate of "driverless cars" is close to zero. Since August 2012, Google has completed more than 5 million kilometers of self-driving testing, with only two accidents: one when he stopped at a red light and was chased by a vehicle behind him, and the other when a human driver took over.

In addition, traffic congestion and air pollution from "driverless cars" will be reduced by more efficient driving programming models.

In fact, from a technical point of view, "driverless cars" only need to overcome two major technical risks: the reliability of the software and the potential obstacles to cybersecurity. Therefore, it is expected that by 2035, 11.8 million "driverless cars" will be introduced to the market every year; By 2050, highways should be occupied by "driverless vehicles" or "self-driving commercial vehicles".

At that time, the scene of the movie "Minority Report" will be presented on the highway, where people can sit in the car to read, chat, play **, handle official business, etc. In this way, the development and advancement of science and technology have made it possible for people with poor eyesight, inconvenient legs and feet and poor driving to realize their dreams of driving, thereby creating wealth for society.

Driverless≠ autonomous driving.

Unmanned driving and autonomous driving are actually two completely different concepts, to be precise, autonomous driving should be called "assisted driving", and fully automated driving can be called unmanned driving.

The unmanned driving technology level is currently at the highest level in the autonomous driving technology level, using the precision algorithm program of artificial intelligence AI to replace the driver's "brain" called the control of the entire vehicle, and the passenger can switch freely between the driver and the passenger, and the driverless car is like an exclusive driver, listening to the command to walk. The work of driving is completely handed over to the artificial intelligence AI of the unmanned driving system, and how to drive the trip and how much the driving speed is controlled are all decided by the driverless car. Google even believes that the steering wheel can be omitted in a driverless car, and there is no need for human control parts in the car.

Although autonomous driving can replace the driver to control the vehicle, the control of the vehicle is still in the driver's hands. At present, from a technical point of view, there are two development directions for autonomous driving: ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance System) and artificial intelligence.

ADAS technology has been popularized in production cars, mainly sharing some of the driver's driving work, such as adaptive cruise, lane keeping function, automatic parking, etc., the driving operation is calculated by the system, but the driver still needs to be responsible for the vehicle perimeter monitoring, keep the driving state, in order to take over the vehicle at any time. The latter's artificial intelligence is closer to the state of unmanned driving, and AI cuts into autonomous driving, which has stricter requirements for technology and vehicles, and the system is not only auxiliary and warning functions, but also planning and vehicle control functions.

At present, in order to better distinguish autonomous driving technology, the Society of Automotive Engineers of the United States divides autonomous driving into five levels, and most production vehicles are currently between level 0 and level 2.

In order to better distinguish between different levels of autonomous driving technology, the Society of Automotive Engineers released a six-level classification system for autonomous driving in 2014, and the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) originally had its own classification system, but switched to the SAE classification standard in September 2016. Today, the vast majority of mainstream autonomous driving researchers have adopted the SAE standard as a common classification principle. In SAE's classification standards, most of the cars currently used in daily use are between level 0 and level 1, collision warning belongs to level 0 technology, automatic collision avoidance and cruise control belong to level 1 assisted driving, automatic parking function is between level 1 and level 2, and the Autopilot assisted driving technology that Tesla is selling belongs to level 2 technology.

In 2040, unmanned driving has been widely used and the development has matured.

Can unmanned cars be generalized in 2029, and I hope that unmanned cars will be generalized in 2022.

How much does this cost for a car, is it about 500,000!

It should be after 2020, and now it is in the experimental stage, and even if the experiment is successful, it will take a few years to assess. As for popularizing this, it will take many years.

In the context of artificial intelligence, with the continuous maturity of artificial intelligence technology, the performance of self-driving cars will become higher and higher, and this is a well-known thing in recent years. But there are good and worried, according to the United States IHS company on the car professional survey statistics, by 2025, if every car is equipped with driverless technology, the cost of the car will increase significantly, the increase will be 7,000 to 10,000 US dollars, financial problems will be an important factor restricting the development of the technology. Although in the future, driverless cars will be completely useless and will not need to be controlled by humans, and the cost of their technology will be further reduced as it is developed, and the reduction will be around $3,000.

This is only in the future, and it will eventually become a problem at this stage.

In addition, despite the rapid development of autonomous driving technology, there are still many technical problems, such as the sensitivity of automotive sensors in extreme weather, which are huge obstacles to its development.

Driverless technology is being integrated into people's lives due to its strong adaptability. In terms of complying with traffic rules, driverless cars will strictly follow the settings in the system and implement them meticulously, and there will be no red light running and speeding, which greatly reduces the violation rate; It is also very effective in protecting people's safety, with its frequent scanning of the surrounding environment, so that the car can react in advance in case of emergency; Fatigue driving and drunk driving, which have occurred in the past, are also easy to solve due to the existence of unmanned driving technology.

Summary. Hello car owner. I'm a car master for 15 years.

We're happy to answer for you! In fact, the technology of driverless cars already has this technology on various vehicles. It has been developed, but some road laws related to the legal provisions related to unmanned driving have not yet been implemented, once these legal provisions and road laws have been introduced, then car dealers will begin to manufacture driverless cars, and the technology of driverless cars is already available.

And then these cars like in their lab can be driverless. It will take at least 5 to 10 years of precipitation in this regard.

Hello car owner. I'm a car master for 15 years. We're happy to answer for you!

In fact, the technology of driverless cars already has this technology on various vehicles. It has been developed, but some road laws related to the legal provisions related to unmanned driving have not yet been implemented, once these legal provisions and road laws have been introduced, then car dealers will begin to manufacture driverless cars, and the technology of driverless cars is already available. And then these cars like in their lab can be driverless.

It will take at least 5 to 10 years of precipitation in this regard.