Is pork prices expected to come down after the pandemic?

Our pork ** has dropped by 1 yuan, from 28 yuan per catty in March to 27 yuan now. After the epidemic, all industries are waiting to be developed, residents' consumer confidence is still insufficient, and the demand for pork market is not large and the operation is bleak.

The decline in pork ** does not mean that our pig production capacity has returned to the level of normal years, but the end market demand has declined, as the weather gets hotter and hotter, pork will enter the traditional consumption off-season, and there is still the possibility of ** decline. The pig herd is also increasing, and the sows that can reproduce have also increased for 5 consecutive months, the downward trend of pigs will be normalized, and pork will definitely fall, but the decline of pigs and pork will return to the level of 2018, which is a long process, a slow decline, and will not have much impact on farmers, and pork will not plummet. This year, due to the impact of the coronavirus epidemic, most residents are staying at home, many people have no jobs, no income, and they have become able to save a little bit in terms of consumption, and they are still resistant to pork consumption and dare not make a big move.

Judging from our local situation, not many people eat pork, and there are not many people in front of the meat stall in the morning. It is unlikely that pork will be on the road again.

In May, schools across the country will be fully opened, the catering industry will fully resume work, pork consumption may increase, and with the "May Day" Festival and "Dragon Boat Festival", pork ** may be more stable, and the downward momentum will slow down. Pork is "just needed" during the New Year's holidays, pork will be stabilized by rising consumer demand, pigs are prohibited from being shipped abroad, some cities may be short of pigs, and pigs will also stop falling and stabilize, but it is unlikely that it will be. Pork consumption in July and August will enter the off-season again, pig production capacity may return to more than 50% of normal years, and pigs will be slaughtered in September last year, and pigs will enter the next downward channel, and pork will decline again.

Consumer confidence has yet to recover, and it will take time to prove whether demand will pick up. This year, the global outbreak of the new crown pneumonia epidemic, pork imports may be less than last year, the current customs inspection and quarantine is very strict, foreign pork into our country is difficult. Therefore, the decline in pork will decline this year, but it may take more than 8 months to reach the 2018** level.

Consumers should be compared with last year, pork should be 10-12 yuan lower than last September, and the tense face should begin to relax.

This year, pig farms can not relax the African swine fever epidemic control, actively fill the column, increase the stock, with the breeding of sows into production, piglets ** will begin to decline in July, farmers seize the opportunity to reduce prices, low supplement column feeding, this year's pig risk is smaller, the second half of the consumer demand rises, pig slaughter profit is still in 500-1000 yuan, as long as the scale of breeding is expanded, pig breeding is still in the profit cycle, will still be profitable, will still make a fortune.

In 2019, pork ** has been at a high level, and after that, many individuals and companies have joined the pig industry. After the epidemic, that is, in 2020, the number of pigs slaughtered increased significantly, so pork** has decreased a lot compared to 2019.

Of course, it will, because after the epidemic, the breeding of pigs will gradually increase, and the pork ** in the market will also be sufficient.

The ** of pork has now declined, because the state has carried out macroeconomic regulation and control of pork, so the current pork ** has been declining.

I think it's difficult, although the ** of pork is declining a little now, but I think the ** of corn has improved, and the ** of pork will not drop too low.

After the Spring Festival, pork has been in a situation. I think that the ** of pork will not fall too much, after all, this is closely related to people's livelihood, and the state will definitely regulate it. If it falls too much, farmers will lose all their money, and the number of pig farmers will definitely become fewer next year, and the ** of pork will also soar.

Now it is the market economy commodity, mainly affected by the fluctuation of the market, but if the fluctuation is too large, the state will take action.

Will pork **will**?

**Yes**, but it won't be particularly bad, such as falling to 4 or 5. The ** of the pig has now fallen below the 6 yuan mark, and the pig has entered the stage of loss. There are many reasons for this to happen, for example, many people buy a lot of pork in the past year, and then make it into cured pork or air-dried pork.

After the Edged Oak Year, these porks can be eaten for a long time, and there is no need to buy fresh pork at all. Another reason is that other meats are also more delicious, such as lamb or beef, and pork is gradually abandoned by high-end people.

The state will intervene.

In this case, the state will not ignore it, with the emergence of the second warning of pig prices, the state has introduced measures to collect and store in a timely manner. For example, the ** of pork was very high before, so the country released frozen raw pork, which is also very reasonable, so that the ** of pork is relatively balanced. Now pork is in a state, and the country will begin to reserve pork, so that the pork can be improved by a silver point, and the farmers will not lose too much.

Therefore, China's market economy is still relatively good, and it is not completely out of control, and the state will control it in a timely manner.

Summary. Taking advantage of the fact that pork is cheap now, netizens can also buy a little fresh pork, and then freeze it in the refrigerator, and it is also delicious to stir-fry a stir-fry. After all, there is a lot of salt in cured pork, and it is not good to eat too much, so you still have to eat some fresh meat.

The pork market has fully recovered, pork ** has fallen to a low and called the rolling valley mill chain book, many blind macro farmers have not made money raising pigs, pork ** will not continue to fall, the current ** has fallen to the lowest ** in history**, which should be a relatively stable state.

It will also be **, because now the epidemic has been smoothly controlled, so it has led to a lot of people raising pigs, and it is also because there is a lot of slag in the market, so the final Omori will continue**.

I don't think it will be ** anymore, because the pork ** of grinding eggplant ** has been the lowest ** in history**, if it continues**, then it may cause a blind answer to the collapse of the pork market.

I don't think pork will be going to be there, and there is a cost stuck there, and no one will make a loss-making deal.

It's hard to say because no one can pinpoint the market, and no one can do pork.

To a certain extent, the ** of pork has indeed fallen to the extent that it can no longer fall, and now the pork ** in many areas has broken below 10 yuan. For those pig farmers, the **** after two weeks has not even been able to reach their own costs, and many people are trading at a loss. The same is true for pork vendors, many of whom are losing so much money that some have even changed careers to other jobs in advance.

First, the ** of pork has dropped again and again.

The ** of pork has been down for about a year, during this year, the ** of pork is like a roller coaster, the highest ** can reach about 40 yuan, and the lowest ** has reached 6 8 yuan. To a certain extent, the current pork ** has indeed reached a very low level, and the pork ** in many regions has been far below the cost price. <>

Second, no one knows whether the ** of pork has bottomed out.

We've been talking about inflation, and in a sense, if pork has bottomed out and is coming out of a rising trend, it could mean real inflation. We all know that pork is one of the meat products that everyone likes to consume the most, and the ** of pork will directly affect the daily life of residents. For the residents, the residents don't want all the ** to rise.

But for merchants in pork-related industries, many people are no longer able to persevere. <>

Third, the ** of pork itself also has a certain periodicity.

We all know that any commodity will have a certain periodicity, and the concept of cyclical slippage is nothing more than the length of the draft, and the same is true for pork. The ** of pork itself has a long cycle of about 2 or 3 years, and after this price reduction, the cycle of pork has gone by about half. In my personal opinion, the pork may be at the end of the year, but not to a particularly high degree.

Yes, this time the pork ** is also an unprecedented **, but the sales are still not particularly high, which is also unexpected.

At the bottom, such a ** is already the lowest, and there will be no more such ** in recent years, so there are many people who buy pork.

No. Pork's ** has been floating and will not come down to the bottom. And after entering the winter, pork** may rise again.

Judging from the reaction of the comprehensive market, pig prices will remain at a high level in the first half of next year, and in the second half of the year, it is likely to usher in a downward inflection point, which means that there is a high probability of falling in the second half of next year. The reason why I say this is of course not a matter of lip service, but there are the following considerations.

The first is to consider the problem of a breeding cycle of pigs. Recently, the state and various local units have introduced corresponding policies to effectively solve some problems in pig breeding, such as no money, no land and other problems. Moreover, under the high pig price a few days ago, the enthusiasm of farmers was further improved, and it was "imperative" to expand breeding, which was calculated according to the breeding cycle, and it is expected that by the middle of next year, pig overcapacity, by that time, it is reasonable for pig prices to fall.

Second, it is the country's macroeconomic regulation and control. The pig ** is high, and the country will not let it go, so in the first half of next year, when the supply of pork is still tight, the supply of pork will only increase. In the case of next year's high level, the state will increase investment, which will play a certain degree of cooling effect on pigs and pork.

Finally, the consumption results of residents are gradually diversifying. At present, although pork is very important to people's lives, it is not without product substitution. Due to the high quality of pork now, everyone may choose beef and mutton, chicken, duck and fish and other items to replace in consumption, which will also have a certain impact on pork.

Conclusion. Based on the above analysis results, the pig price in the first half of next year is still at a high state, and in the second half of the year, with the influence of national macro-control, pork overcapacity and other factors, the reduction of pig prices is a high probability event.

Next year, pork ** will drop a little. But it won't drop much.

Will pork ** drop next year, the answer will be reduced, because the amount must be reduced after the year, so there will be a small decline.

Pig prices will not fall next year, pig feed grain prices will rise, climate and other reasons.

Pork ** next year not necessarily.

Last year, various regions of our country were affected by African swine fever, resulting in heavy losses in pig breeding in many areas, and it has not returned to normal until now. What is the recent outbreak of domestic pork? Let's find out.

Last year, various regions of our country were affected by African swine fever, resulting in heavy losses in pig breeding in many areas, and it has not returned to normal until now. What is the recent outbreak of domestic pork? Let's find out.

What is the recent outbreak of domestic pork?

Because of African swine fever and Gao Yinfan's new crown pneumonia, many people have potential safety hazards for pork and dare not eat pork.

However, it is understood that there is no epidemic in domestic pork at present, and the pork on the market will only be listed after testing, so you don't have to worry about whether you are infected by the virus, as long as you buy pork in the regular market, there is basically no problem.

Will African swine fever still occur in China?

African swine fever may also occur in the country, but the probability is not large.

This is because now we have found a way to prevent and control African swine fever, that is, to strengthen biosecurity, many rehabilitated pig farms are actively preventing and controlling African swine fever, on the other hand, now China's pig herd has decreased a lot compared with before, with the reduction of the stock base, effective prevention and control of African swine fever, so African swine fever should not appear in a large area, may occur in a small area, but there has been no African swine fever epidemic in China recently.

What problems should be paid attention to in pig raising at present?

1. Strictly prevent African swine fever.

At present, there is no vaccine for African swine fever, so pig farmers should do a good job in prevention and control, first strengthen the investigation of pig farm vehicles and personnel, and strictly disinfect the pig farm in and out of the pig farm. Finally, actively cooperate with the local animal epidemic prevention department to investigate, when the pig farm has an unexplained death, it should be reported to the relevant departments immediately, and the dead pigs should not be dealt with privately.

2. Actively respond to heavy rainfall.

Many pig farms are built in some low-lying places, and the drainage and nuclear water system is not smooth, which leads to the flooding of pig farms after heavy rainfall, which will cause great losses.

Now in summer, there is heavy rainfall in many areas, so the water in the pig house should be discharged as soon as possible after the heavy rainfall, and the doors and windows should be opened to strengthen ventilation to keep the pig house dry; The pig house environment should be strictly disinfected to avoid epidemics after heavy rainfall.

3. Prevent feed mildew.

There is more rainfall in the alternating season of summer and autumn, and the feed is particularly prone to mildew, and once the pig herd eats mildew feed, there will be various problems, such as decreased feed intake, diarrhea, sow abortion and mold poisoning, etc., which seriously affects the growth and health of the pig herd, so it is necessary to prohibit feeding mildew feed.

In order to effectively ensure that we raise pigs, we must do a good job in all aspects of prevention and control, especially African swine fever, as a highly infectious hail pig disease, once it appears, the pig farm will suffer heavy losses, so it must be strictly prevented.