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We can't be overly optimistic, inflation will not ease if the basic problem is not solved, and the data in October cannot tell the story, because it is mainly affected by the seasonal price reduction of vegetables, and winter is coming soon, and vegetable prices are going up again.
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Since the beginning of reform and opening up, we have been living in an era of inflation. This is the inevitability of economic development. What matters is whether the income-to-expenditure ratio is reasonable.
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In May 2012, the overall price of the whole country will return to its place.
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Didn't you say it's not inflated yet?
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Summary. The inflation rate and the unemployment rate first move in the opposite direction, and when the inflation rate reaches a certain level, it moves in the same direction. First of all, when the inflation rate is at a low level, there is benign inflation at this time, which can promote the increase of investment, the expansion of production, and the rise of the employment rate, which is an inverse relationship between the inflation rate and the unemployment rate.
However, when the inflation rate further increases and hyperinflation is formed, at this time, the investment is too large and the social resources are excessive, the producers will reduce the scale of production, and the employment rate will decline, so the inflation rate and the unemployment rate will change in a positive direction. According to the theory of the business cycle, there are four stages of prosperity, recession, depression and recovery, in which the recovery phase will be accompanied by a lower inflation rate (the unemployment rate decreases), the inflation rate will continue to increase in the boom phase (the unemployment rate will further decrease), the inflation rate will reach a peak during the recession period (the unemployment rate will begin to increase), and the inflation rate in the depression period will decrease during the recession period (the unemployment rate will reach the maximum value).
The inflation rate and the unemployment rate first move in the opposite direction, and when the inflation rate reaches a certain level, it moves in the same direction. First of all, when the inflation rate is at a low level, there is benign inflation at this time, which can promote the increase of investment, expand the production regulation and the increase of the employment rate, which is the inverse relationship between the inflation rate and the unemployment rate. However, when the inflation rate further increases and hyperinflation is formed, at this time, the investment is too large and the social resources are excessive, the producers will reduce the scale of production, and the employment rate will decline, so the inflation rate and the unemployment rate will change in a positive direction.
According to the theory of the economic cycle, there are four stages of prosperity, recession, depression and recovery, in which the recovery phase will be accompanied by a lower inflation rate (the unemployment rate decreases), the inflation rate will continue to increase in the boom phase (the unemployment rate will further decrease), the inflation rate will reach a peak in the recession period (the unemployment rate will begin to increase), and the inflation rate will decrease in the recession period (the unemployment rate will reach the maximum value).
The past decade has been generally stable and manageable, with inflationary pressures having been there but still holding down, and the employment rate has remained stable. All in all it was good.
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- Disasters reduce productivity, affect supply and demand, prices**. Second, investment increases the liquidity of money. Third, the structure needs currency depreciation to promote exports. All of the above highlights inflation – imminent.
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In 2010, China's inflation situation is particularly serious, low- and middle-income families have been severely impacted, all kinds of vegetables ** average ** 20-50%, take the morning to eat hemp balls and fritters for example, 2 months ago, a fritter was 6 cents a piece, now it is 1 yuan a piece, hemp ball is 8 cents a piece, now a yuan one.
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Prices are rising, the RMB exchange rate is rising, and money is becoming less and less valuable.
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The year-on-year growth rate of the consumer price index in the month fell sharply to a lower than that in February, and the consumer price index in the first quarter was year-on-year**.
Pre-Inflation: Internal Causes: Excessive Money in Circulation, M2 Reaching 70 Trillion.
External factors: U.S. quantitative easing, additional issuance of $600 billion.
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It's getting worse! The over-issuance of currency, serious overcapacity, and serious shortage of domestic demand! The economic structure is not reasonable!
Whose countermeasures? Individual? zf?Enterprise?
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Wrong, inflation has been happening, but sometimes it is more powerful, and this year it is more powerful, because this year's raw materials and food ** have not kept up with the development needs of society.
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The inflation that occurred in China in 2010 was a typical cost-push inflation, and the deep-seated cause was caused by the excessive issuance of money.
Affected by the financial crisis in 08, in order to make China's economy recover quickly and maintain the rapid growth rate of domestic GDP, the first bank to adopt a loose monetary policy, of which 09 10 years commercial banks have issued loans of 10 trillion and 8 trillion, by the end of 10 years China's nominal money stock M2 has reached 72 trillion, and the growth rate of total domestic output is not large, so it has greatly promoted the rise of means of production and consumer goods, resulting in the rise of production costs, thus forming cost-driven inflation. The most obvious feature of cost-push inflation is that it shifts the aggregate supply curve to the upper left, causing the level of inflation to rise and output to fall, and if the central bank continues to expand the amount of money issued, it will lead to an economic state of a wage-** spiral.
The way to curb cost-push inflation is to increase the aggregate supply, that is, to reduce the production costs of enterprises, and the current central bank's method is to raise the statutory reserve ratio and interest rate several times to solve inflation by reducing the real money stock.
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So far, China's inflation rate is: .
The data comes from the National Bureau of Statistics of China's 1980-2009 National Economic and Social Development Statistical Bulletin. The previous year's CPI was 100, for example, in 2005, an increase from 2004. 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, January 2009, February 2009, March 2009, April 2009, May 2009.
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