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The reason for Moutai's sharp fall is overestimated. In fact, Moutai's stock price has been overdrawn, and the situation of Kweichow Moutai's development does not match his stock price. In terms of valuation, Moutai's share price is seriously overvalued.
Now the share price of Moutai is nearly 2,000 yuan per share, which means that it takes at least 200,000 yuan to buy 100 shares of Moutai. This ** price is undoubtedly very high, and in such a situation, Kweichow Moutai's share price has obviously had a big bubble. The bubble doesn't last forever, it will burst.
Now Moutai is facing such a situation, many big V have analyzed that the current liquor sector has little room for appreciation, and it is not recommended to buy these liquor plates. In fact, in my judgment, the current situation of this high-end wine brand is not good. The big rise some time ago is also that those low-end liquor has been rising, and the current Moutai is indeed not suitable for buying.
Moutai's current valuation is still very high, still far exceeding the original valuation, which means that Moutai must have a wave of space. In the run-up to May Day, the rise in liquor was strange. Like new energy vehicles, when medicine soared, the reaction of liquor was not very large.
But when these popular sectors did not rise, liquor began to rise sharply. There are indeed many reasons for the sharp fall of Moutai, but in my opinion, the biggest reason is that the bubble is big, so this situation will occur. Many ** managers have also said that the ** in 2021 will not be particularly good, and some ** have begun to increase the proportion of banks, so that it can be seen that the future situation is still relatively grim.
Therefore, the reason for Moutai's sharp decline is that the valuation is too high, which is much higher than Moutai's price-earnings ratio. Therefore, if Moutai wants to continue to go to **, then this risk is still very large. At this stage, it is best to buy some bonds**, and the most important thing is to stabilize your income.
If you don't have a lot of investment experience, then try not to touch the liquor sector as much as possible. <>
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Because the development of Moutai is not optimistic, and Moutai's stock price is seriously overvalued.
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Because Moutai's valuation is too high, it has exceeded the scope of the public's bearing, and there is a huge bubble, which will naturally burst, which causes even more panic, and more and more people sell.
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Because Moutai's valuation is too high and beyond the public's affordability, this situation has caused panic among everyone, and more and more people do not believe in the market value of Moutai.
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Moutai has lost nearly 950 billion in market value for 5 consecutive months for 3 months, and the probability of Moutai's comeback is unlikely.
1.Although Moutai has fallen sharply, the price-earnings ratio is still around 44 times, which is obviously overvalued;
2.The market value of Moutai is already several trillion yuan, and it is impossible to develop at a high speed;
3.Moutai has risen 3 times in the past three years, and the increase is relatively large.
Kweichow Moutai can be said to be the best value investment in China, not only high but also very healthy to investors, every year to carry out large dividends, such a ** in China A** field can be said to be rare, so Moutai in the hearts of investors status is very high. Moutai has lost nearly 950 billion in market value for 5 consecutive months for 3 months, and the probability of Moutai's comeback is not large, because according to the value investment, Moutai's PE is still around 44 times, which is obviously in a state of overvaluation, and only PE is around 30 times is a more reasonable valuation, Moutai's market value has been trillions, such a scale is already very large, and it is basically unlikely to make a comeback.
1. Moutai's PE is still around 44 times, and it is more reasonable to return to around 30 times
Kweichow Moutai is a value investment stock, value investment stocks must have a standard of judgment, PE is an indicator that value investors attach great importance to, under normal circumstances, the liquor industry PE is about 30 times is a reasonable valuation, Mao in PE is still 44 times, obviously in a state of overvaluation, which is one of the reasons why I think it can not make a comeback.
2. Moutai has risen 3 times in the past three years, and its market value has reached trillions
Back to three years ago, the best investment opportunity may be to buy liquor, Moutai **** has tripled, and it is not a high dividend, if you count Moutai's dividends, there is basically a nearly 5 times increase, and the market value of Moutai has been trillions, such a large market size, it is very difficult for this position to make a comeback, this is the reason why I am not optimistic about Moutai.
Good **also needs good**, so that ** can make money, Moutai is a good enterprise, but we need to be patient and wait for a good **, this position I don't think Moutai can continue to make a comeback.
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Yes, after all, Moutai has a relatively long reputation in history, and I believe that it can handle these mistakes well and return to the market.
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It will definitely make a comeback, because recently Moutai has done a lot of public welfare undertakings, and has also donated a hospital, which can be seen that the quality is really good.
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It must be possible, because the brand Moutai is an old brand, and many consumers also trust this brand very much.
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Yes, because Moutai is a wine made from grain, its quality is very good, and people like to drink it very much.
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Also, after all, this brand of liquor is still relatively expensive, and there is a lot of space in the market, so people still like it.
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Yes, Moutai's reputation is very good, and it has also developed very steadily, and Moutai's business is very widely distributed.
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Short-term stock price fluctuations will not affect the long-term value of Moutai. Since the collapse of the wave of group stocks at the beginning of the year, Moutai's share price has not been played, and in recent days, Moutai's share price has fallen below 2,000 yuan, and the highest market value three months ago, has evaporated more than 900 billion yuan, and many Moutai investors have also begun to worry, is Moutai really not good. During this period, Moutai also released its financial reports for last year and the first quarter, and the data is quite bright, with revenue and profit still growing, but the profit margin has declined a lot compared with the same period.
Some professionals pointed out that the decline in Moutai's profit margin was mainly related to the replacement of its sales channels.
In the past, Moutai was very dependent on channel merchants and wholesalers, but in recent years, Moutai has continued to expand its own channels, although the gross profit of products has risen, but the company's net profit margin has declined, which is mainly due to the high cost of self-operated channels, as well as tax costs, in the long run, after the successful construction of self-operated channels, it is conducive to the growth of Moutai's profits.
In fact, Moutai is mainly related to the collapse of the earliest group of stocks, which led to the collapse of Moutai, and the current **** has also driven Moutai, from the perspective of the enterprise itself, its fundamentals have not changed, the development logic has not changed, and the prospects are still good, and now it is only a short-term adjustment.
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This will affect the status of Moutai. Because Moutai is not so valuable in the market, mainly because many people speculate the value of Moutai, if Moutai's ** falls one after another, it will have a great impact on Moutai, which will directly affect his status in liquor.
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Not for the time being, because many people believe that Moutai's share price can come back, so the value of Moutai is still wait-and-see.
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This will not affect Moutai's position, because Moutai's position in China is very stable and its foundation is very solid.
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Because many liquors are now on the market in large quantities, Moutai is more expensive, but wine is not a necessity of life, although the quality of Moutai is very good, but people feel that this wine is too expensive and there is no need to collect it.
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Because Moutai has been controlled by relevant departments, and many investments have not continued to increase investment in it, this situation has been caused.
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There are two main reasons, one is that the performance of Kweichow Moutai has continued to decline, and the profit has gradually decreased; Second, the valuation of Kweichow Moutai is too high, which makes the stock price out of basic support.
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Because after all, Moutai's ** is too high, and there are many other low-priced liquors that are not bad, so he has no advantage.
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Because the sales of Moutai are not as good as before, after all, there are very few people who can afford to drink Moutai.
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Since April 29, the company's share price has fallen around cumulatively, from the high point in February, in less than 3 months, the largest loss of Kweichow Moutai's market value is nearly 950 billion yuan. For Moutai's continuous sharp fall,Some netizens said that it is normal for stock prices to rise and fall: "It is normal for stock prices to rise and fall, it is too normal"."It's not ** now, most of them are institutions, and institutions are not stupid.
Some netizens said that they didn't understand the high stock price of liquor stocks, "It's too expensive, all such liquor stocks should be delisted, I don't understand why they want to go public, is it to encourage them to become bigger and stronger?" "This can't be that capital is cutting leeks, it was so high before" "** and the like, it's all bubbles, and the entity ** is the king."
The reason why Kweichow Moutai fell below 1,900 yuan
Kweichow Moutai fell below 1,900 yuan, which also shows that the market's previous speculation on Kweichow Moutai is also just a speculative speculation. Kweichow Moutai's ** was once considered by the market to be a victory for value investment. Of course, for those investors who bought Kweichow Moutai at a low price and have been holding Kweichow Moutai, they are indeed making value investments.
But from the perspective of the market's speculation on Kweichow Moutai's share price, this is still only a speculative speculation.
As a sign of speculation, Kweichow Moutai's share price exceeds the actual investment value of Kweichow Moutai and cannot be supported by the company's performance. For example, Kweichow Moutai's share price once soared above 2,600 yuan, and now it has fallen below 1,900 yuan, which is obviously just a speculative speculation in the market, not a value investment. If it's a value investment, the stock price shouldn't have such a large **.
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Because Moutai's market capitalization and share price are overvalued.
Investors have praised Moutai too high The market value of Moutai has always been very high, and the stock price has been rising, but it is precisely because all investors have praised Moutai too high that the market value and stock price have been misestimated by everyone. On the other hand, the stock price cannot be ** all the time, so when the stock price reaches its peak, it will always be ** for various reasons. Therefore, Moutai's ** is actually a normal fluctuation phenomenon.
In 2020, Moutai Group's revenue growth slowed. In 2020, Moutai's overall revenue growth slowed down, which may be mainly due to the decrease in offline trading volume due to the impact of the epidemic in 2020, which led to a slowdown in its growth rate, which hit investor confidence and led to a certain decline in Moutai's market value.
Moutai may not be able to achieve sustainable long-term development, in fact, I was particularly optimistic about Moutai before, and I also think that Moutai can have better development. But judging from the trend during this period, I may not be more optimistic about Moutai. Moreover, I also think that Moutai may not be able to achieve sustainable long-term development.
Moutai may not have a more stable value. I may not be so firm in Moutai, and I may not necessarily recognize the investment value of Moutai, because I don't think Moutai can make me have a more stable value, and I may not be able to continue to appreciate in value. If Moutai is hit hard to a certain extent, it is likely that Moutai will not be able to have more income from now on.
Kweichow Moutai ** fluctuates greatly. In fact, whether it is the ** of liquor or the share price of Kweichow Moutai, there are great fluctuations in the market. In just three months, Kweichow Moutai's share price has risen from a high of 2,600 yuan to about 1,900 yuan.
The highest share price reached 2,600 yuan, and a few trading days before the Spring Festival, Kweichow Moutai's share price reached a maximum of 2,600 yuan. At that time, many people thought that Kweichow Moutai's stock price would go further, but they didn't expect it to be the most ** in Kweichow Moutai. Since then, the share price of Kweichow Moutai has been **.
At present, many people are still bearish on the stock price of Kweichow Moutai, and many institutions believe that the current environment is not conducive to the development of the liquor industry.
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This is because the demand on the market is not particularly high, and it is also because of the trend of **, so ** has declined.
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It is also reasonable that the increase does not stop, there is no constant earning, and there is no constant loss, so it depends on looking at this matter with the right mentality.
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Because Moutai had risen too much before, and the group has now collectively withdrawn its investment, it will fall so hard.
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Because there was some negative news before, and the state is controlling this market, the decline of this company is relatively large.
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Moutai's hot wind has been blowing for a long time, Moutai's ** is also rising, although Moutai itself has controlled **, but there is no shortage of people with ulterior motives in the market, although the classic version of Feitian Moutai ** is priced at 1499, but few people can buy this **. However, Moutai's share price has also fallen sharply recently, and there are news reports that Moutai has fallen for five consecutive years, losing nearly 950 billion yuan in market value in three months.
First, because Moutai's performance is not very good. In fact, many investors choose to invest in Moutai because they fancy the development of Moutai, and the long-term development of an enterprise has great advantages for investors, but the development of Moutai cannot meet the expectations of investors. Therefore, some investors will reduce their holdings, which directly leads to the ** share price of Moutai.
It may also be that it rose too fast a while ago, and it is also a normal fluctuation.
2. Summer is the peak season for beer consumption. In addition to the influence of Moutai itself, there is also the impact of the consumer market. When we think of summer, the first thing that comes to mind is beer and fried chicken, grilled skewers, and crayfish.
Summer has arrived, the demand for beer has increased, and the demand for liquor has decreased relatively speaking. The consumer market has reduced the demand for Moutai, and the change in supply and demand will also cause Moutai to become more popular, and the stock price will begin to grow, which is a normal phenomenon in the development of the market economy.
3. Normal fluctuations in development. Another reason is the normal fluctuation of development, because for a period of time ago, Moutai's ** was too high, it may also be speculation, it may also be market demand, in short, Moutai's share price has risen all the way, but after all, it is a commodity, so the stock price will always fall. It is necessary to re-absorb funds to enter the market, so Moutai's stock price will be strong in the near future.
This is also normal, and investors should not panic too much.
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