Why do the Dutch still have a theoretical chance of qualifying?

The Netherlands are currently bottom of the group with 0 points. But that doesn't mean they have lost their chance of qualifying, and the Germans, who are in top of the table, could end up missing out on the right to qualify from the group.

Germany now have six points in the group, Portugal and Denmark are tied on three points, and the Netherlands is on 0 points. In the third round of the group stage, Germany met Denmark and Portugal met the Netherlands.

The Dutch must meet two major conditions to qualify, the first is that they themselves must win by at least two goals against Portugal, and the second is that the Germans are serious about taking Denmark seriously. Not only will they reach three points, level with Portugal and Denmark, but they will also finish second in the group on goal difference.

According to the rules of the European Championships, teams with the same score first look at the relationship between each other's wins and losses; Then compare the goal difference between the teams on the same score; Again, compare the total goals scored by teams with the same score.

As for the German team, as long as they do not lose to the Danish team in the final round, then they will qualify. However, if they lose and Portugal win against the Netherlands, they will have three teams tied on six points. Rankings are also based on the rules of the European Championships.

Once this happens, there will be one win and one loss between these three teams. In terms of goal difference and total goals scored by the three teams against each other, Portugal has been fixed at a goal difference of 0 and a total of 3 goals. Germany currently have a goal difference of 1 and a total goal difference, while Denmark have a goal difference of -1 and a total of 2 goals.

In other words, Denmark only needs to win against Germany.

If Germany loses Denmark by two or more goals, they will be out of the tournament. If Germany is 0:1 or 1:

2 Defeats to Denmark, with the same goal difference between the three teams, Germany will not qualify for the group with a maximum of 2 goals in total. If Germany scores three or more goals against Denmark and loses Denmark by one goal, Portugal will be eliminated because of the lack of goals.

The most complicated scenario is a 3-2 defeat to Denmark, in which case Germany and Portugal will be exactly the same in terms of points, goal difference and total goals. So what to do?

UEFA also has a trick, which is to compare the first three of the two teams according to the first three of the remaining two teams, that is, to compare the results, goal difference and total goals of the matches between Germany and Portugal. Due to Germany's 1-0 win over Portugal, it will be Germany who advances.

Well, if the Netherlands beat Portugal in the last round and Denmark loses to Germany, then Denmark, Netherlands, Portugal have three points, and then you have to compare the records of the three teams, and it just so happens that Denmark wins the Netherlands, the Netherlands wins Portugal, Portugal wins Denmark, and the three teams form a chain of goals, and then compare the goal difference of each other, and the Netherlands now has a goal difference of minus one, Denmark has a goal difference of zero, and Portugal has a positive one, and if Denmark loses in the last round, then their goal difference must be negative, so they must be eliminated and Denmark loses The Netherlands only need a narrow win over Portugal to equalize Portugal's goal difference and advance to the quarter-finals by virtue of their winnings over Portugal.

But Portugal beats Denmark, Denmark beats the Netherlands, if the Netherlands wins Portugal, then the three teams have three points, and the three teams compare with each other, all of them are one win and one loss, and they have three points. Then look at the goal difference between each other, Denmark 1:0 Netherlands, 2:

3 Portugal, 0; Portugal 3:2 Denmark, currently 1, Netherlands 0:1 Denmark, currently -1.

So if the Netherlands can beat Portugal by two or more goals and Germany can beat Denmark, the Netherlands will qualify.

The Netherlands defeated Portugal by a big score, Germany won Denmark, the Netherlands, Denmark and Portugal all lost 1 win and 2 losses, and the relationship between the winners and losers was also mutually restrictive, and the Netherlands could rely on goal difference.

Portugal, Denmark, and the Netherlands are three (if the Netherlands wins against Portugal, Germany wins against Denmark), the goal difference is the same, and if the goal difference is the same, then the number of goals.

But there is also Portugal, the relationship between victory and defeat is the same, more than the goal is to win.

The Netherlands is pretty good for me.

For the Dutch team to appear, two conditions must be met:

1.Win against Portugal and win by at least two goals. Because the results of the three teams that played each other were:

Denmark now has 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 3 goals and conceding 3 goals; Portugal won 1, scored 3 goals and conceded 2 goals; The Dutch team scored 1 loss, 0 goals and conceded 1 goal, the Dutch team can only rely on the win-loss relationship between the three teams if they want to advance, and if the Dutch team only wins by 1 goal, then in any case, at least the Portuguese team will score more goals than the Netherlands, thus overwhelming the Netherlands to advance.

2. Germany beats Denmark, otherwise Denmark has 4 or 6 points, and the Netherlands will only win by 3 points.

As a Dutch fan, I also hope that he will show up!!

The conditions are very strict: 1: Germany must win against Denmark 2: The Netherlands must not only win against Portugal, but also win by at least two goals!

Let's pray.

Conditions for Germany to qualify.

1.Win or draw Denmark, accumulate 9 points or 7 points, and qualify first in the group;

2.Losing to Denmark and failing to beat the Netherlands, Germany finished second in the group;

3.Losing Denmark by one goal, but playing a score of 3:4 or more, can also ensure qualification.

Portugal's qualifying conditions.

1.win against the Netherlands, as long as Denmark does not play a score of more than 4:3 against Germany, you can qualify;

2.draw with the Netherlands, as long as Denmark can't win against Germany, they can qualify;

3.If you lose to the Netherlands, Denmark will only qualify.

Conditions for Denmark to qualify.

1.A two-goal win over Germany would ensure qualification;

2.A one-goal win over Germany but a score of more than 4:3 can ensure qualification;

3.A one-goal victory over Germany but no big score, Portugal can qualify without a win;

4.Draw with Germany, Portugal will only qualify if they lose.

Conditions for the Netherlands to qualify.

A two-goal or more win over Portugal and Denmark lose to Germany to qualify.

The possibility of the Netherlands appearing is very small, but it is not impossible, and there is a theoretical possibility that the following conditions are met at the same time

1.In the final round, the Netherlands beat Portugal in the last game.

2.Germany wins Denmark, so Germany has 9 points, the Netherlands, Portugal, and Denmark each have 3 points, and the relationship between Denmark and the Netherlands is Denmark and the Netherlands, the Netherlands and Portugal and Denmark, which are just mutually restrictive, and they can't determine who wins whom. That's better than the goal difference relationship between each other;

3.Between the Netherlands, Portugal and Denmark, the Netherlands has the most goal difference.

When these three conditions are met, they appear. Anything is possible.

For the Netherlands now, it can be said that there is very little hope, unless the next game of the Netherlands beats Portugal and wins at least three or more goal difference, and also wants Germany to beat Denmark, it can be said that this only exists in theory, and the probability of this situation is too small.

Theoretically, but practically, it is almost impossible to beat Portugal and count on Germany to beat Denmark and qualify on goal difference.

Dreams are beautiful, reality is cruel. Goodbye Orange!

Estimated a bit choking, Germany and Portugal.