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Next year in 2023, there will be 11.58 million college graduates! If we calculate according to the corresponding 17.02 million births in 2021, almost 68% of the population born in 2021 will go to college! If the proportion of college students of the same age exceeds 15%, then it means that higher education will move from elite education to universal education
As early as 2004, China has achieved more than 15% of the population of the same age group attending university; Today, more than 70% of people of the same age are going to college! In 2020, the seventh census, China's population with a university degree or above reached 100 million, accounting for more than 15% of the national population! Then it means that China has realized the university education of the whole population from elite education to the stage of universal popularization!
This is the guess of the age of the college population on this end; With the pressure of expanding enrollment for almost a generation since 1999, there has indeed been an increasing surplus of college students today! There will always be so few good jobs, which has created a situation where it is becoming more and more difficult for college students to find their dream jobs, and their expectations are getting lower and lower. Then take the master's and doctoral examinations, and the competition for academic preparation continues to escalate!
Nowadays, in the top schools in China, almost the whole class has been admitted to graduate school! Tsinghua University and Peking University have more than 90% of undergraduate graduates entering graduate school every year! In this way, the academic involution of undergraduates, masters, and doctoral students is becoming more and more serious.
However, we are not only facing a surplus of college students and the situation that the involution of academic qualifications is becoming more and more strict! At the birth end, we are also facing the problem of an increasingly insufficient number of school attendees! At present, from 2000 to 2017 in China, the birth population of this age group is basically a flat stage!
However, since 2017, the annual birth population has gradually dropped sharply from 17 million to 10.62 million in 2021, and it is estimated that the birth population will fall below 10 million in 2022, which should be around 9.35 million! So what does this mean? It means that the newly born population in the past two years, even if all of them go to college in the end, is not enough for the capacity and scale of today's universities!
Nowadays, the number of students in kindergarten is already facing a significant reduction in the number of students, and the problem of insufficient students in primary schools in the next 2 to 8 years will be gradually postponed to junior high school, high school, and university in the future! Even if it is to implement small class education. The role of the complement is also quite limited!
Generally speaking, on the one hand, domestic college students are facing difficulties in employment, and their academic qualifications are transitioning to involution. On the other hand, due to the drastic drop in the number of births! In the next few years, we will face the problem of insufficient students in most schools!
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According to our current development situation, it will not be long before the environment in which we live and work will undergo great changes.
The first is the human settlements, and the country's major policy is that the sky is bluer and the water is greener. At present, our country is making every effort to rectify and control environmental problems, and put environmental problems into a strategic level.
The most significant is the current rural areas, many of which have undergone qualitative changes, and brick houses and low grass houses have become historical memories and tourist attractions. Neat buildings, even rows of bungalows and villas, have become the standard in rural areas.
Connecting every village with highways and water and electricity has long been realized, and garden-style and sightseeing-style agriculture is being realized, and it will not be long before our rural areas will surpass the scenery of the western region abroad.
Now casually go to **, whether it is a big city or a small town, there are neat and new buildings everywhere, the streets have become more spacious and hygienic, and everywhere is full of new life and vitality.
In the future, with the development of science and technology and economy, the environment we live in will become more humane and intelligent, which is enjoyment for you.
The second is the problem of work, the high development of science and technology is destined to enter a new industrial era of social production, artificial intelligence, streamlined operations will replace a lot of manual labor.
In the future, there will be a relative decrease in the number of places where people need to work, and only those with high-level education and skilled skills will have priority employment opportunities. This is for you, if you don't work hard to learn the knowledge, culture and technology, the work will have a big impact.
The third is people's lives, and our lives will get better and better in the future, and of course the pressure will increase.
Industrial products will become cheaper and cheaper, and food will become more and more expensive, especially green things.
In the future, our housing will not be as expensive as it is now, due to the country's policies and the saturation of the market.
In the future, our traffic will be heavier, but not too congested. Highways, fast lanes, railways, high-speed railways, trams, etc., which extend in all directions and crisscross the country, will operate in an orderly manner, but will be smarter and more environmentally friendly, and autonomous driving will become the mainstream of transportation.
Although employment will be tested in the future, our social welfare benefits will become better.
In the future, there will still be a lot of pressure on our education and medical care, but the emergence of artificial intelligence will change to a certain extent, but due to the influence of human factors, the change will be relatively slow.
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