The country s current macroeconomic regulation and control of pigs is more beneficial or harmful to

The regulation of the pig market has achieved initial results.

The pig grain price ratio returned to above the breakeven point.

At the beginning of May, in response to the continuous situation of live pigs, the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments launched the plan to prevent excessive pig control in a timely manner, and successively took measures such as releasing early warning information to the society and storing frozen meat in 35 storage points across the country in accordance with the principle of not less than the market price. Judging from the recent market situation, the measures have achieved positive results, the pig ** has rebounded for three consecutive weeks, and the pig grain price ratio has returned to above the breakeven point this week after being below the breakeven point of 6 1 for 7 consecutive weeks. According to the National Development and Reform Commission's ** monitoring center, on June 24, the average number of live pigs in 36 large and medium-sized cities across the country was yuan per city, which was higher than that of the plan when it was launched; The price of pig grain exceeded 6 1 for the first time in nearly 2 months.

Piglets** and white striped meat** also saw a slight recovery. According to the release of the Department of Market Operation of the Ministry of Commerce, from June 22 to 28, the average weekly ex-factory price of white meat of pig slaughtering enterprises above designated size was RMB per city, which was higher than that of last week, and appeared for 3 consecutive weeks, which was basically the same as when the plan was launched; According to the Animal Husbandry Department of the Ministry of Agriculture, on June 24, the average piglets in 470 rural markets across the country were per catty, which was higher than last week, and appeared for 2 consecutive weeks, but it was still lower than the level when the plan was launched.

In addition, according to the Ministry of Agriculture Animal Husbandry Department and the Ministry of Commerce Market Operation Department released, at the end of May, China's pig herd was 453.25 million, of which 48.8 million sows can reproduce, which is still significantly higher than the normal level, but the number of sows that can reproduce has declined slightly for four consecutive months, indicating that farmers are actively adjusting the production structure. In May, China's pig slaughter volume was 10,000 tons, an increase from the previous month, an increase for three consecutive months, and a year-on-year increase, indicating that the contradiction of oversupply in the pig market is still prominent.

Although the recent pig ** has rebounded, it should be seen that the current situation of oversupply in China's pig market will continue for a period of time. It is recommended that pig farmers continue to rationally adjust the breeding structure, and restore the balance of supply and demand in the pig market as soon as possible through market regulation and control.

Macroscopically speaking, it is an issue of the relationship between state regulation and control and the market economy.

Theoretically, if there is a high degree of marketization, there is almost no profiteering industry.

The degree of marketization in China is very low, and some industries may have a certain degree of profiteering, and the state has to intervene at this time, after all, some industries (such as pork) are related to the national economy and people's livelihood.

Therefore, pork ** under the dual role of market and state intervention will still fluctuate and tend to be average**, there is no absolute windfall profit, but it will never be stable.

Personal views are welcome to discuss.

It depends on how strong the country's stockpiles are. How deep is the impact?

The reason for pig feed **** is expensive. China's feed raw materials are mainly corn, wheat bran, soybean meal, and aged grains, and completely rely on domestic corn processing, and only a small amount of imported soybean meal, wheat bran, and feed are not due to the reduction of imported raw materials, but domestic corn, wheat bran, and soybean meal. People who have been paying attention to agricultural product information for a long time know that the production cost of domestic grain and feed processing enterprises has increased recently.

They have to adjust** to make a profit. In the early days, due to the impact of the coronavirus epidemic, road transportation was blocked, and the market feed was interrupted, resulting in feed ****. However, the feed ** also slightly**, and there were no irrational fluctuations.

Feed ****, did not affect the profits of farmers, farmers per pig net income is still more than 1000 yuan, what else? Some countries restrict food exports, which is only a stopgap measure. If they can't sell grain, they will naturally lower **.

If they don't sell grain to China, to whom will they sell it? A market of 1.4 billion people, will they give up? Therefore, we pig farmers do not need to worry about international food fluctuations and affect feed, because our country is self-sufficient in feed and grain and does not rely on imports.

China's grain is stable at more than 1.8 billion acres of cultivated land, achieving "14 average increases", the total annual grain output of 100 million tons, last year's corn output of 100 million tons, wheat output of 100 million catties, rice output of 100 million catties, wheat stocks are still 100 million tons, rice stocks are 100 million tons, grain stocks are sufficient, China's grain complementarity, feed is sufficient.

With the smooth flow of roads, in the face of the adjustment of storage and auction grain, feed processing and transportation costs will also decrease. The cost of farm breeding will also fall, and the pig **** is a slow and long process, and the net income per pig is still 500 yuan to more than 1,000 yuan by the end of the year. What pig farms need is to enhance confidence, actively fill the column to expand feeding, expand the scale, and strive to pursue benefits in the scale and batch of the column.

Don't worry about world food**. Don't worry about meaningless things.

International food** is the responsibility of the Secretary-General of the United Nations. Since September last year, China has introduced 23 measures to support, reward and subsidize the pig industry, many pig farms have been upgraded, and the market size has expanded. Breeding sows increased production for 5 months in a row.

At present, the pig breeding industry is the world's largest listed company, integrating breeding, slaughtering and sales, and has a strong ability to resist risks. In Hainan, two listed aquaculture companies have started building a farm with an annual output of 500,000 heads. In July and August this year, there will be a significant increase in the number of pigs on the market.

Since the beginning of this year, the pig ** will be "high first and then low", and the pig **** is normal. With the support of the high pig rate, farmers' profits were full in the first half of the year. Farmers should intensify, rather than suppress, feeding and management** to prevent and control ASF.

As for international food **, we can neither control nor intervene, so don't worry.

It may be that the number is relatively small, so farmers can reduce the number of pigs, which can help solve the difficulties.

The main reason is because of the international food price**, so it will have an impact, farmers should buy in advance, pay attention to the collection of feed.

At this time, we must pay attention to the choice of food, and the scale of breeding can be reduced.

Pork is a kind of meat that everyone usually eats more, many people are not eating a day to miss the panic, the demand for pork in the market is also very large, there are more people who naturally raise pigs, before pork **** let many farmers lose confidence, now pig ****, think that this can strengthen the confidence of farmers, the main reason is 2 points, the first pork **** This is a good sign.

The second is that everyone's demand for pork will increase in winter, and natural farmers will be able to earn more money, so I believe that many farmers are glad that they persevered to the end, otherwise they will lose more money if they quit early.

First, the pig **** will strengthen the confidence of farmers, first of all, because the continuous ** let farmers see hope.

Before the pork fell again and again, so that many farmers have lost confidence, some people directly gave up raising pigs, because feeding a day is a day of loss, now the situation is different, pork ** day by day is higher and higher, which is a very good omen for farmers, which directly increases their confidence in pig breeders, I believe that more farmers will stick to raising pigs.

Second, the second is the arrival of the peak season of pork demand, and the market is the demand for pork has soared, which also makes farmers feel excited.

Generally, in the summer, everyone's demand for meat will be smaller, after all, the appetite is not very good in the summer, but in the winter it is different, people want to supplement the body's energy by eating meat, and there are some places where people will use pork to marinate sausages, so the demand for pork in the market is increasing, which directly promotes the farmers to sell their pigs, which can naturally strengthen their confidence in raising pigs.

Third, the pork ** on the one hand is a market factor, on the other hand, it is the state regulation, I believe that there will be no more pork ** large ** situation in the future.

Pork is about people's livelihood, before the pork **** was a lot of hurt a lot of people's hearts, but now pork ****, on the one hand, is the increase in market demand, on the other hand, because of the control of the state, this is also to give farmers a silver cavity potato barrier, do not have to worry about the situation of pork ** in the future.

Raw pork will be very direct to strengthen the confidence of farmers, and the ** can directly increase their income, which is what they dream of.

Yes, because the livelihood industries in the society are now continuing to develop, and the long-term benefits of farmers are still very long-lasting, so they will definitely strengthen the confidence of farmers.

It should be, they may feel that they will definitely get a very good harvest this year, and get a relatively high **.

The life of farmers is not easy, and there are even many farmers who are doing business at a loss.

This is actually related to the cycle of pork, because pork itself has a very strong periodicity, when the pork is further at the same time, the production cost of many farmers has not been further reduced, which will directly lead to the loss of farmers. At the same time, because many farmers are blindly expanding production when pork is at its highest, pork will further increase cost pressure on farmers.

First, the ** of pork has repeatedly broken new lows.

We all know that the pork has been falling for almost a year, and during this year, although the pork has been small in a short period of time, it is still in the trend of the first pork as a whole. The ** of pork has reached less than 10 yuan in some areas, which is unimaginable at the beginning of the year. For farmers, the loss of farmers has almost become a foregone conclusion.

Second, farmers have suffered significant losses.

As I said above, many farmers are blindly expanding production when pork is the most expensive, because everyone generally thinks that pork is easier to sell and is also very profitable. I remember that at that time, pork had reached the level of 40 yuan, which was about 70% lower than now. For farmers, the production cost of farmers is difficult to control, which further leads to the loss of confidence in many farmers in the future.

Third, many farmers can not afford the current loss situation.

This is a very helpless reality, after all, the pork market is not only affected by cyclical **, but also by the market supply and demand. Many people are tightening their pockets even further, while at the same time being reluctant to spend too much. Under such a **, even when it comes to large-scale holidays such as the Mid-Autumn Festival and the National Day, there is still no ** of pork.

In a sense, the current ** has been at the lowest point of pork**, farmers need to continue to insist, at least need to look at the pork ** during the Spring Festival, and then make a choice. <>

It's a huge blow to farmers. Raising pigs is to make a living, and if it is too low, it will not be able to ensure daily life.

Last year's pork ** was very objective, and farmers made money, but this year's pork ** repeatedly hit new lows, which is a loss state for farmers.

The price of pigs in the country has repeatedly reached new lows, which is very bad for farmers, and their income will be greatly reduced.

At present, although the pig production capacity has returned to a normal year, and even the number of breeding sows has been exceeded, there are still many unfavorable factors to deal with in order to maintain this hard-won achievement.

So far, although China's anti-epidemic achievements are obvious, the foreign environment is still too chaotic, and there is a risk of typing at any time, so improving prevention and control is still a normalized management countermeasure. At the same time, non-plague is an immediate disease in the breeding industry, so far, there is still no reasonable response, and for a long time in the future, the pain of the two epidemics will still accompany the pig industry.

Pig is related to the national economy and people's livelihood of the key industry, in the current pig production capacity repair and pig prices continue to be sluggish, the introduction of a series of measures to protect people's livelihood, that is, we often say high yield and supply, is very necessary.

According to social problems, in the long run, environmental protection problems are also we must face, and environmental protection is one of the main problems that have always endangered the development of the pig industry. To a certain extent, there is an irreconcilable contradiction between environmental protection and supply protection. It is one of the key issues that need to be addressed in a series of capacity control solutions.

From the overall situation, pig transportation is beneficial to the breeding industry, after all, only the swine fever needs to be eliminated, so that the pig industry can develop rapidly. It is beneficial for farmers, at least there is no need to worry about the sudden emergence of swine fever in the pig factory, resulting in the situation of losing all money.

But having said that, but in fact, when it comes to each farmer, the way to deal with this situation may be different. For those farmers who have suffered from swine fever, they are of course suitable for pig transportation, which is the performance of maintaining pig farms.

But for friends who have not experienced swine fever, I don't like it very much. Especially in regions such as the Northeast, which is originally a strong breeding province, his pigs have to be transported before they can be sold. Once the pig embargo is embargoed, it can only be transported in the northeast, and cannot be transported to other areas where the price of pigs is more expensive, and the harm to farmers will of course be particularly great.

The supply of live pigs in the Northeast is particularly large, which is obviously in excess of demand, and must be transported to Beijing and Tianjin and other regions to be able to digest the peerless pigs. Once the dispatch is restricted, the pig traders find it difficult to dispatch and perhaps there is not much profit to talk about, so they will reduce their **. Finally, it is to rewind the price reduction of farmers, because it is not possible to reduce the price, and if it is not reduced, there is no want to buy, and the income of farmers can be reduced.