About the recent U.S. issue against Iran

Judging from the current situation, the United States will not attack Iran. China's policy may be the same as the last Iraq war! A war between the United States and Iran will inevitably have an impact on the world economy - the Strait of Hormuz!

China is bound to suffer from the danger of rising oil prices! Whether or not the United States can win the war against Iran depends on whether the United States fights a short-term or long-term war! If it's short-term, there's hope, and in the long term, it's over!

There is no need for China to fight with the United States! Unless the United States interferes in the affairs of the Taiwan Strait, it will be no good for the two major powers to fight! It's obvious!

1: Bush is a well-known hawkish leader, so it is possible to wage war against anyone during his term of office.

2: At present, if Obama is elected, the occurrence of war between the United States and Iran will be reduced, because Obama is a relatively stable person, and when he was elected, he threw out that if he was elected, he would withdraw his troops from Iraq within one and a half years.

However, these were all tactics he came up with during his campaign, and it remains to be seen whether his style will change in the future.

3: Recently, a big reason for the national oil price ** is the tension between the United States and Iran, as the first victim of oil prices, the United States will be less likely to start a war, because maintaining harmonious relations with Iran can greatly alleviate the domestic economic downturn.

4: As Iran, it has also kept throwing out remarks, saying that it wants to establish diplomatic relations with the United States and that it wants to negotiate.

To sum up: Personally, I think that the United States and Iran will slowly reconcile, and it will be the same as the North Korean issue (now that North Korea and the United States have reconciled).

Maybe the war is for energy, but in reality it might be much better.

The causes of the contradictions between Iran and the United States are as follows:

1. Oil hegemony. As a major oil country in the Middle East, Iran has a certain influence on oil, but it is still under the control of the United States. However, if Iran wants to expand its influence in the Middle East, it will have a greater impact on the oil hegemony of the United States.

2. Israel. Israel has been able to survive in the Middle East because it is covered by the big brother of the United States. Iran, on the other hand, is very uninterested in Israel.

Iran once said that if the United States dared to be disrespectful to Iran, Iran would attack Israel. Israel is definitely a barrier between Iran and the United States.

3. Geographical location. The Middle East is connected to the Eurasian continent and its geographical location is very important. The United States wants to control the Middle East, in a sense, because of the unique geographical location of the Middle East connecting the Eurasian continent.

4. Nuclear **. Iran has always wanted to have a nuclear **, but the United States will not let it. Once Iran has a nuclear weapon, not only will the danger of Israel be greatly increased, but the probability of US hegemony in the Middle East will also be reduced.

A direct conflict between Iran and the United States

In 1979, Iranians stormed the U.S. Embassy in Iran and took 52 Americans hostage in order to get the U.S. to hand over Pahlavi. Later, due to the death of Pahlavi, the change of the United States, and the outbreak of the Iran-Iraq war, an agreement was signed to release the hostages, and the hostages returned to the United States in January 1981.

Since 1980, the United States has imposed long-term sanctions on Iran intermittently and under various names. This kind of long-term sanction was sanctioned by the United States in the early days, and later it led various partners to sanction together. This round of sanctions has made Iranians very angry with the United States.

In 2020, the Americans ** Major General Suleiman of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, causing strong anti-American sentiment among Iranians. The Iranians attacked the US consulate in Iraq with missiles.

The main contradiction is interests, and the most fundamental thing that affects relations between countries is interests, which I have learned in political textbooks.

The main contradiction between Iran and the United States is actually an economic dispute, and the United States wants to gain benefits through Iran.

Initially, the main contradiction between Iran and the United States was the Iranian nuclear issue, and the United States questioned Iran's use of nuclear energy to secretly develop nuclear power.

And in recent years, Iranian nuclear experts have been assassinated, and Iran believes that the United States and Israel are responsible. and so on until the present day.