Will the price of pork continue to rise during the Spring Festival? Will it be more than 35 more tha

During the Spring Festival in China, meat food has become the most needed food for our people, and since the **** of pork, people will be more and more concerned about pork, especially in the important festival of the Spring Festival, so will the price of pork continue to rise during the Spring Festival? Will it be more than 35 yuan**?

In fact, in the middle of the year, pork has shown a downward trend, but because it is facing the Spring Festival at the end of the year, there will be some small ** pork. However, this trend is believed to be during the Spring FestivalPork will continue to be the first to lastAfter all, the Spring Festival is the peak time for people to eat pork. However, many pig farms and slaughterhouses are on holiday because of the Spring Festival, and there are fewer staff, so the supply of pork will be relatively small, and the demand will inevitably make pork ****.

Pork ** will exceed 35 yuan or more In fact, the situation of pork **** in each place is different, if it is in the countryside, pork ** will appear some small **, after all, pork ** in the countryside will be cheaper than in the city,But for first-tier cities or second-tier cities, the magnitude of pork **** will be very exaggerated. Some cities react that an ordinary piece of pork ** is already more than 30 yuan, if it is pork ribs, it may be about 40 yuan to 50 yuan a catty, and the family wants to eat a good meal of pork ribs, without one or two hundred yuan, it is basically not satisfying. Even if it is a pig bone, a ** may be 40 yuan to 50 yuan, which shows that the ** of pork is very expensive.

If this situation continues to develop, the average pound of pork will inevitably rise to more than 35 yuan, but the state may also introduce some corresponding countermeasures to ensure that the pork will not be too exaggerated.

The downward trend of pork is more difficult, and many people think that pork should fall back in the new yearBut judging from the current situation, it is still difficult to bring the pork back to the era of more than ten yuan and twenty yuan。If you often watch the news, you should also find that the state has issued a notice on prices. In the notice, it was also written that in the new year, there will inevitably be some mildness in prices, and the moderation of ** means that ** will not rise too fiercely, but now the ** of pork is basically qualitative.

It is estimated that after the end of this year, there may be a stable situation of pork **.

No, the price increase of pork is increased on specific occasions for specific reasons, and when this node passes, the relevant departments will regulate him accordingly, and it is impossible for him to grow indefinitely.

I feel that the ** of pork will not **, because the cause of pork ** is the epidemic, and now the epidemic is almost under control, so the pork will not **, and **will not exceed 35 or more.

The price of pork during the Spring Festival will not continue to rise, and it will not exceed 35**, because the state has put a large amount of pork.

Since the second half of the year, pork has remained high, doubling compared to the previous months. Many people said that they couldn't afford to eat pork, and they were even worried that pork would continue before the Chinese New Year. In fact, there is no need to worry at all, as the saying goes, "the extreme of things must be reversed", and any commodity will naturally rise to a certain extent.

Judging from the current situation, it is basically impossible to continue the phenomenon of pork before the Chinese New Year.

Before the Spring Festival, there was a lot of meat in the market, and pork could not rise

Every year before the festival, every household will go to the market to purchase a large amount of raw meat in advance as New Year's goods, and farmers will also hurry to send their own chickens, ducks, pigs, cattle, sheep and fish to the market to sell. Although every household needs a lot of pork to make sausages, bacon, and ham, in the case of a variety of meats to choose from, if the pork ** is too high, consumers will naturally look at other meats. According to the law of previous years, the Spring Festival is the hottest day for pork sales.

If you can't sell it before the New Year, it will usher in the off-season after the Spring Festival, and it will only go down. Pig farmers are also aware of this fact, so they will not keep holding on to pigs.

The epidemic has led to low demand for pork in the market

The recurrence of the new crown epidemic has brought huge losses to the market economy, and once many places are locked down, whether it is a small restaurant or a large hotel, it will not be able to operate normally, and even school canteens can only be temporarily closed. In addition, many people are unemployed now, and everyone's consumption level has also declined, and they will not be obsessed with eating pork. In this case, there is not so much demand for pork in the market.

Moreover, when the pork is large, frozen pork is also put on the market, and at the same time, all localities are required to ensure the number of reproduction, so the pork is basically stable.

There are too many farmers for secondary fattening, and the cost is too high

Because of the continuous development of pork, many farmers have suppressed the pigs that have been able to be slaughtered, preparing for the second fattening, and want to take the opportunity to make a lot of money. However, due to the cost of food **** and secondary fattening, the farmers also want to sell it as soon as possible after a period of fattening, recover the cost and continue to breed piglets. The period before the Spring Festival is the best time for pork sales, and farmers will definitely not miss this opportunity, so before the Chinese New Year, pork ** will definitely slowly return to normal levels.

Summary: There is nothing in this world that will always go **, and the same goes for pork. There are many meat choices on the market, and the cost of secondary fattening is placed there due to the epidemic situation, so it will not be ** before the Spring Festival, and it is likely to decline.

Of course, it will continue, because every year during the Chinese New Year, pork will reach a peak state.

It will definitely continue, and many people in life can't afford it, and it's very expensive, which makes people feel unacceptable.

Before the Chinese New Year, ** will continue to soar, because when the New Year is about to begin, many prices will appear**.

I think it should continue before the Chinese New Year, because the demand is very large, but the supply is not very much.

Because the pork itself has a cycle law, the dust of pork has been in the doldrums for nearly a year, so pork is a very normal thing.

For the public, almost everyone does not want pork ****, after all, pork **** means an increase in the cost of living. For pig farmers and traders, pig farmers and traders have been losing money for nearly a year, so many people are very much looking forward to seeing pork ****. Generally speaking, pork **** is almost an inevitable trend, after all, pork cannot be sold at a loss forever.

1. Pork in many places**re**.

After entering November, there was a significant increase in pork on Friday, and the pork in some regions even reached more than 30% for 5 consecutive weeks. Under such a **, everyone has speculated whether pork will continue, because the problem of pork directly affects everyone's daily expenses. <>

Second, the reason for pork **** is the law of economy.

Pork itself has a very strong regularity, and at the end of each year, there will almost be a new round of skyrocketing pork prices. At the end of each year, the ** of pork will also fall back to the lowest point of Tongbrother's Tomb. To some extent, the subsequent ** is mainly determined by the supply and demand relationship in the market.

When the market is in short supply, pork ** will further increase. When the scale of pig farmers is getting bigger and bigger, the ** of pork will be lower and lower. <>

3. What is my personal opinion?

In my personal opinion, although the ** of pork has skyrocketed so much in a short period of time, this does not mean that pig farmers can blindly expand production. It is precisely because of the very strong regularity of pork that if pig farmers blindly expand production, pig farmers may suffer significant losses while pork is further expanded. For the public, the public does not need to worry about excessive pork during the Chinese New Year, after all, the consumption power in the market is insufficient, and there is basically no room for pork to be large.

Pork wholesale ** rose by more than 30% in five weeks, and now the price increase I think is mainly because it is short from the New Year, many people want to buy meat to make bacon and sausages and other preparations for the New Year, and the merchants will seize the opportunity to laugh and rent to earn a type of virtual pen.

Because there are many people who have given up raising pigs, the amount of pork in the market is not particularly much, and now it has been affected by some extreme weather in the stool bureau, and the price has been ** Zaoshi, so pork is also ** Layu.

It is because pork ** was too low some time ago, and it was already below a normal level, so the price suddenly began to rise.

I think this has something to do with market regulation, so we must look at it rationally.

There will be a certain degree of ** in the Spring Festival pork, but not by a large margin.

With the recovery of pig production, the pork market has generally shown a trend of improvement and oscillation. From the perspective of production, since March, the slaughter of pigs has increased month-on-month for 7 consecutive months, which shows that the new production capacity in the early stage is being released one after another, and the production capacity is becoming output. At the same time, imports of pork are also increasing.

In terms of the seasonal characteristics of pork consumption, the year before the year is the best time for large pigs to be slaughtered. Of course, at present, some farmers do have the psychology of "lying flat" after the pig price is sharply **, but most of them still choose to admit the price before the Spring Festival. <>

Pork ** regularity

Rule 1: In every year and in October, the pig price will generally be **, and the small cycle is once every 4 months. In the year of lack of pigs, the time will not be long, this is because there are slaughtering companies to reduce prices, but the range will be resolved quickly, this is because the slaughtering enterprises can not afford to delay, drag down their own will suffer a big loss.

Law 2: In February, pork consumption has decreased, and there is no pressure on slaughtering companies, but it will be pressed before the start of work, the start of school, and the start of school, but this phenomenon will not exceed 2 weeks, remember that this is in a year of lack of pigs.

Rule 3: By the time of June, the high temperature will rise, the sow production capacity will increase, and the slaughter volume will increase significantly.

Rule 4: In October, this is the most vigorous stage of the year, but consumption has not kept up.

Pork is going to rise in price, but from the current supply and demand relationship in the pork market, it is expected that during the Spring Festival, pork wholesale ** is still likely to remain between 20 yuan and 22 yuan per kilogram, and there will not be much increase, which is mainly based on several judgments.

The trend of pork is mainly related to the pig market, the reason why pork has been at a high level in the first two years is because of the impact of African swine fever, China's pig inventory has declined sharply, resulting in a decrease in the number of pigs, which is an important reason for the direct lead to pork.

After entering 2021, pigs have gradually returned to a normal state, and the current number of live pigs and sows in China has returned to normal.

China's pig inventory has increased from 186.15 million in October 2019 to 437.64 million in September 2021; In addition, as of October 2021, the number of fertile sows in China has reached 43.48 million, and the number of fertile sows is about 6% higher than the normal number.

It is precisely because of the large number of sows that there are many places that have begun to reduce the number of sows that can reproduce, especially in some areas of the north, the number of sows that can reproduce has decreased significantly, and the number of sows that can reproduce has continued to decline month-on-month in the past few months, which can be seen from the market of pig feed.

Since June 2021, pig feed** has been declining month-on-month, and sow feed has also been on a downward trend, and the trend is becoming more and more obvious.

Judging from the current number of pigs and sows that can reproduce in China, the market is sufficient, which can ensure that pork is in a stable state during the Spring Festival.

However, according to the current number of pigs in China, the space for pork will not be too large, because the current number of pigs is still relatively largeOnce the Spring Festival is over, pork is likely to appear, and the corresponding hog purchase will follow.

Out of this concern, some farmers may focus on selling live pigs before the Spring Festival, which will further increase the amount of the market, which is also an important reason why the weight of pigs slaughtered around the country has declined in recent times.

After combining the above 2 factors, I don't think there will be too much pork during the Spring Festival, even if there is a small amount, it is within everyone's tolerance.

Judging from the current situation, pork may face an increase in price, because every household needs to buy meat during the New Year's holidays. So during this time period, the price of pork is likely to rise.