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First of all, the economic recovery has allowed people to go out of the house, and secondly, the survival rate of pigs is relatively high, and the market is oversupplied, and finally with the activity of the market, more meat has reached the people's table, and people have more choices.
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1. The state continues to put reserve meat on the market, so that the demand for meat in the market has reached a state of oversaturation. 2. As the weather gets warmer, the chickens that place orders lay more eggs, the number of eggs has declined, and the consumption direction of low-income families has changed. 3. China has increased the import of pork, and the import volume has increased a lot compared with last year.
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Pork has been declining for 7 consecutive weeks, the reason for the decline is that the epidemic has passed, pork production is slowly increasing, and there were many new pig farms in the country because of the shortage of pork, and now the supply of pork exceeds the demand, so the ** has been declining.
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The main reason for the decline is that the amount of pork has gone up, so the corresponding ** has decreased. Last year, because many pigs got sick, in order to deal with sick pigs, the amount of pork on the market decreased sharply. This year, many farmers have raised pigs, resulting in a sharp increase in the number of pigs, and a corresponding decrease.
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I think the reasons for the lower are:1The increase in the number of new piglets indicates that the number of pigs is increasing, and the increase in the number of pigs will gradually reduce the pig market**;2.
The increase in the number of live pigs indicates that the number of pigs that can be slaughtered is increasing, the pork available for sale in the market will increase, and the increase in the number of pork will pull down the pork market**.
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Pork** continued to decline, the reason for which it continued to rise last year. This will cause many people to be discouraged and choose chicken or fish and beef instead.
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Because the epidemic has been gradually controlled, pork in various places can circulate at the same time, the state has also actively introduced measures to reduce pork**, so pork** will decline for seven consecutive weeks.
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Mainly because of certain adjustments, a lot of reserve pork has been introduced, so the current pork has been slowly stabilized and maintained at a stable level.
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The reason for the decline in pork ** is because the holiday has passed, the demand for pork has dropped significantly, and the production capacity of pork has now risen, so ** has declined.
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China's pork ** has continued to fall!
At the press conference on the agricultural and rural economic situation, Wei Baigang, chief economist and director of the Development Planning Department of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, pointed out that at present, China's pig production has recovered well, and the overall situation is better than expected, the national pig herd has reached 100 million heads, and the breeding sow herd has reached 38.22 million heads, which have recovered to 84% and 86% at the end of 2017 respectively, and the number of pigs slaughtered is also increasing, and pork ** has fallen for seven consecutive weeks. The highs have lowered the meta!
Since the outbreak of the epidemic, China's pig production has been greatly impacted, coupled with the reduction in the number of pork imports, as well as the continuous impact of African swine fever, pork ** has continued to rise, approaching the 60 yuan per kilogram mark, which has a great impact on people's production and life.
To this end, the state has increased the market for frozen pork, stabilized the market, and driven by the market and policy, pig farms have increased their enthusiasm for raising the bar, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs monitoring data show that as of September this year, China's sow herd has grown for 12 consecutive months, and the pig herd has increased for 8 consecutive months, and the sow and pig herd have achieved year-on-year growth in the month, which has become an important turning point for the recovery of pig production , there has been a decline for 7 consecutive weeks, and the impact on China's CPI has dropped by about one percentage point, and residents have relaxed a little.
At the press conference, Chen Guanghua pointed out that with the increase of "two pigs", China's pig production is returning to normal, new production capacity is being released, the situation of pork digging will be improved, and the overall trend of the pork market will show a downward trend.
In addition, with the increase in pork imports, the possibility of a rebound in pork is decreasing, relevant data show that China's pork imports from January to September rebounded to 10,000 tons, a year-on-year increase.
So what kind of trend will pork ** show in the future?
In the coming period, the pork situation will get better and better. Chen Guanghua said that recently, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs organized experts to analyze and calculate the pork market, through the analysis of domestic production, pork imports and consumer demand and other comprehensive factors, it is expected that during the New Year's Day and Spring Festival, the amount of pork will increase by about 30% year-on-year, and the overall level will be lower than that of the same period last year, and there will be no more **large** situation, which can ensure that there is no shortage of meat in the people's bowls.
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It shouldn't be a big ascension. The ** of pork is determined according to demand, and now people's demand for pork is not very high, so the ** of the pants is not too high.
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It should be, at the end of the year, the lack of meat in the pig may change again, **may be quietly raised, or it may not change, keep the current **.
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It's definitely going to pick up again. In this way, you will get a stable **, and it will also make many people willing to buy such pork in their lives.
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Pork** has fallen for 7 consecutive weeks, and pork will not rise sharply this winter. The domestic pig relationship has been balanced, and even the phenomenon of oversupply has appeared. From the perspective of the consumption habits of domestic residents, pork **** is too fast, resulting in domestic residents have become accustomed to consuming chicken, duck, beef, mutton and fish, and there are too many substitutes for pork products, so they are not very accustomed to eating pork.
The amount of imported pork has been rising, and cheap imported pork is affecting the domestic pork. Years ago, pork ** soared, and the pig ** has reached 18 yuan a catty, and the price of skinned, boned and offal pork in the supermarket is as high as 30 yuan a catty. In 2021, the Ministry of Agriculture released a statistic, which directly shows that the supply of pork this winter will increase by 30%, and the import volume has been increasing.
First, the relationship between supply and demand of live pigs has reached a balance, and even the phenomenon of oversupply has appeared
Due to the increase in farms and the breeding of a large number of pigs, the pork has fallen again and again, and even the pig ** in some areas has fallen below seven yuan. According to the statistics of the National Agricultural Administration, this year's pork ** will increase by 30%, especially this winter, pork will be put into the market in large quantities, so this winter will not rise again.
Second, there are too many alternatives to pork, and many residents say that they have not bought pork in the last two months
After the sharp rise in pork ** in 2020, residents of our country have found meat products that are more suitable to replace pork. Moreover, chicken, duck, cow, mutton, fish and other meats taste quite flavorful, so domestic residents are no longer accustomed to eating pork.
Third, the import volume of pork has increased, and most restaurants use imported pork for cooking
Many restaurants and small restaurants use imported pork for their meat, because imported pork is cheap and safe. Imports of frozen pork have been on the rise, but most of the fresh pork has been sold to individuals. Individual families can't digest these fresh pork, presumably this winter pork ** will not rise again, and there may be a decline.
So, what do you think is the reason for the instability of pork**?
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I think there will be a price increase this winter, but not a big one, because there is really a lot of pork right now, and there is no possibility of a big increase.
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I don't think it will go up big because pork can be said to be in excess of demand right now, and it will only fall.
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Judging from the current state, it is not necessarily that there will be a big increase this winter, because the recent pork sales are not particularly good, so there should be no price increase in the short term.
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Pork has been sold for five weeks in a row, and the price of pork per catty today does not exceed eight yuan, but you will find that during the same period, in 2021, there are a lot of pork. Nowadays, the reason for pork **** is that many people have smelled business opportunities, so they breed a lot of pigs, but when the epidemic is more serious, things cannot be transported to other regions for sale, so we will also find that many merchants have no way to sell pork in many places, which leads to the accumulation of pork in their own hands. <>
In fact, you will find that the ** of pork has become an inevitable thing, because at the very beginning, many merchants made a lot of money by selling pork in 2021, so other people also began to breed pork, and pork is now more and more. A lot of people can buy pork, and pork is not particularly rare, so most people don't cherish it. There are more and more people raising pork, so pork will become cheaper and cheaper, and because of the current epidemic, our pork has no way to be transported to other regions for sale, so there is a lot of pork.
First of all, eat meat, everyone eats a fresh, after killing the pig, if the pork is not sold as soon as possible, there will be a phenomenon of not fresh, many people will not buy, so most of the merchants will carry out a loss sale. Then, after other soups find out about this situation, it will also be the same, so the ** of pork will become lower and lower. <>
This is the case with vegetables or meat, which is also a thing that there is no way to do, but after the epidemic, pork will definitely be available. After all, during the epidemic, most people will not choose to continue to raise pigs, and pork will become more scarce.
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It is because the Chinese New Year is coming soon, so there are many people hoarding pork, and people's enthusiasm for buying pork is not particularly high.
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Market regulation, the first reserve meat is sufficient, and the second pig farmers are over-breeding, resulting in the market being greater than the market demand.
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The reason is that there is now an oversupply of pork, and the market turnover of white pigs has increased a lot compared with last year.
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The reason for this is that pork is now in excess of demand, and the number of white pigs on the market has increased a lot compared to last year.
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Although pork has been for seven consecutive weeks, with the increase of the market, the follow-up pork will remain within a certain range and will not appear substantially.
Pork has always been the main consumption of meat in China, with the arrival of the traditional consumption of meat in winter, pork ** appeared continuous**. People are accustomed to enemas and bacon in winter, and reserve meat for the Spring Festival, so pork will have something after entering the peak season, and pork will be serious since the spring of 2021. <>
With the emergence of national regulation and control in the pork market, China's pork has not been able to meet the needs of consumers, as the temperature drops, the demand for pork consumption increases, many farmers have increased the amount of pigs slaughtered, and a large number of fresh pork has been liquidated to the market. Although there is a certain range of pork, with the increase in the slaughter of pigs during the Spring Festival, pork will not appear large. <>
Winter has always been the peak season for pork consumption, and there are many festivals in winter, and people have the habit of making sausages and bacon according to tradition, resulting in the widespread appearance of pork in winter. Therefore, it is still normal for pork to be continuous. After the Spring Festival, as the demand decreases, pork will decline to a certain extent, and there is no need to worry about pork all the way.
Although pork ** is continuous**, but the early stage of pork ** is very low, and the current pork ** is still in a reasonable range of more than ten yuan, which can meet the needs of consumers and make money for farmers. Pork is reasonable means that supply and demand are balanced, and in the future, with the increase in the amount of pork in the market, pork will stabilize at present, and consumers can buy pork with confidence.
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I think the follow-up pork will continue to decline, because there are many people who can't afford pork, so I think pork will continue.
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The follow-up trend of pork will also show a trend, this is because the demand for pork Zheng meat is the first to know, and it will soon be the New Year, so the pork will continue to be in the situation.
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The follow-up trend of pork will be higher and higher, because the Chinese New Year is coming soon, so the pork market is coming.
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Since the rise in pork**, residents in many areas have felt that their personal living expenses have become more and more expensive. Although most people are expecting pork to fall, pork has lasted for seven weeks.
According to the situation of the trend of pork **,Maybe by the end of January next year, pork ** will rise, after all, during the Chinese New Year, people's demand for pork will increase.
Let's take a simple example, for example, when the market demand for a certain item gradually increases, merchants see a huge profit margin, and they will also try their best to improve the quality of the product. Although the relevant departments and market supervision departments will also effectively regulate the commodities in the market, the regulation is only an external factor, and the internal factors are related to the market environment of pork and the demand of residents.
Around July and August, pork** did not gain any further upward trend. Most residents can buy about 500 grams of pork for eight yuan. As the weather gradually warms up, people's demand for pork becomes more and more, and most people always add some high-energy meat products when stir-frying.
Pork is slightly lower than beef and lamb, which meets the needs of most consumers. This makes the sales volume of pork higher and higher, and when the market demand is increasing, the merchant will also carry out the appropriate price increase process to earn a part of the profit.
In general, pork has always been a commodity that people are more concerned about, especially pork **** will increase people's cost of living. With the passage of time, the relevant departments in many cities have effectively regulated the ** of commodities, but the rise of pork ** is indeed a trend. In the future, pork will also face the situation, and we should look at the rise of pork more rationally and try to keep the balance of income and expenditure
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