The Shanghai Index 2000 points is an iron bottom, as the title says, thank you

Well, going back in time means betrayal.

The Shanghai Composite Index 3000 points is the ** index. A relative number of stock price statistics compiled to measure and reflect the overall level of the market and its changing trend. This is usually the average or market value of the reporting period compared to the average or market value of the selected base period, and multiplied by the index value of the base period, which is the index of the reporting period.

When the ** index rises, it indicates the average ** level **; When the ** index**, it indicates that the average ** level of ** decreases; It is a barometer that sensitively reflects the social, political and economic changes of the country (or region) where the market is located.

The SZSE Component Index is a constituent stock index compiled by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, which is a weighted stock price index calculated by extracting 500 market-representative listed companies from all listed companies and using the outstanding shares as the weight, which comprehensively reflects the stock price trend of A and B shares listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.

The sum of all the **s, if they all rise, the index will rise, and if it falls, it will be the opposite.

In the case of the national team to protect the disk, in just two months, the Shanghai Index ** fell from 5178 points to 2850 points, looking forward to 2015, there are four months of trading time, how the Shanghai Index will run is a topic of interest to investors, personal views, at the end of the year the Shanghai Index will be closer to the 2000 integer level, whether it can hold 2000 points, a look at the economic fundamentals, two look at the policy, three look at the market capital, the specific analysis is as follows:

1) It is a high probability event to fall to 2000 points at the end of the year.

At present, the economic fundamentals are not good, according to the fundamental analysis, the Shanghai Index fell to 1500 points is also a reasonable range, because there should not be this round of artificial bull market, the original ** by the bull market before the start of about 2000 points slowly fell to 1500 points, about 2 years ** 500 points, investors can bear, because the 2-year period totaled 25%. And now in addition to the gem of more than 50%, the rest of the indices have not yet been more than half, but many of the company's fundamentals have not deteriorated, the decline has exceeded 70%, and the technical form still has not bottomed, which has never been seen in the previous rounds of bear markets, and traditional technical analysis methods have failed. In the second half of the year, the economic situation is difficult to improve, and it is expected that the market will continue to lack money, and the deadline to clear up 300 billion yuan of capital allocation will be accelerated, and the Shanghai Composite Index is likely to fall +** to 2000 points.

2) Whether it can hold 2000 points depends on the fundamentals of the fourth quarter.

If you speculate according to the current situation, from my personal point of view, the final Shanghai Composite Index 2000 integer level may not be guaranteed, because it should have fallen below 1664 points, the artificial bull market completely disrupted and changed the market trajectory, and eliminated a group of middle class investors in the first class. Overall, the artificial bull market has changed and delayed the arrival of the first, of course, this is at the cost of eliminating a group of middle-class investors, the capital market has always been a bloody history and journey, and there will always be a group of people who will complete the investment experience by paying tuition.

3) The possible point of the bottom and the time of formation.

Personal opinion, the bottom must be below 2000 points, the formation time is the fastest next year, or the year after tomorrow, this is the basic judgment, and only when the pension enters the market, the bottom can really be built. When judging the specific bottom, it is necessary to consider several major influencing factors that affect the formation of the bottom.

4) Several significant factors influencing the formation of the bottom structure.

First, when will the economic fundamentals recover; Second, when the pension investment rules and rules will be introduced, as well as when the pension funds will be in place and the speed of opening positions; third, whether the market capital can improve again; fourth, the issuance and listing of new shares and the speed of refinancing of old shares; Fifth, the management's regulatory attitude and orientation towards the first class; Sixth, the implementation of relevant supporting measures and measures and the proposal of new measures; Seventh, when will the registration system be introduced?

This possibility still exists, and the Shanghai Composite Index may reach 2,000 points, even if it breaks, it will not stay long, and of course it is impossible to violently pull up the index and blue chips. It is also unlikely that the number of margin financing and securities lending will stop falling and rebound.