Why is it hard to sell this year? Please, thank you

In fact, there is also such an unwritten circle in the real estate industry, "buy up but not buy down" This year's property market is to control housing prices on a large scale in the country, but to achieve a real price drop, it should be said that it is impossible, land resources are getting less and less, land prices are rising, building materials, labor costs and a series of development costs are in the first place. People can also be aware of this, but in the current state, it is still this unwritten circle that is plaguing these potential consumer groups, resulting in the landlord's opinion, which is not enough, hehe

According to relevant statistics, residential investment fell in January-February this year. There are many reasons why this happens. The most direct reasons include the impact of the pandemic, reduced market demand, and higher interest rates leading to increased loan burdens.

1. The impact of the epidemic is the most important reason for the decline in residential investment. Fundamentally, the main reason for the current decline in residential investment is the impact of the pandemic. ......In the past three years of the epidemic, the entire state of economic development has been very different from before, and all walks of life have been affected.

Residential investment has also been affected by this and has declined. ......This aspect of the problem will finally be resolved after the epidemic is over, as all walks of life gradually return to normal. 2. The decrease in demand is the direct cause of the decline in residential investment.

The direct cause of the decline in residential investment is the decrease in demand. ......The reason why houses are being built is that there are people buying them. However, if fewer people buy houses, it will become unprofitable to build houses, and residential investment will decline.

The reason for this phenomenon is actually the impact of the epidemic. This problem will also be solved as the overall environment gets better and better. 3. Because of the rise in interest rates, the burden of borrowing has increased, which has also led to a decline in residential investment.

The recent rise in interest rates has also become one of the important reasons for the decline in residential investment. ......Rising interest rates will lead to an increase in the burden of borrowing, and those who invest in housing through loans will be under more pressure, which will lead to higher costs and lower returns. As a result, a decline in residential investment is an inevitable occurrence.

It is precisely because of the direct reasons of the above aspects, pure hunger and other factors, that the recent decline in residential investment. When these factors are addressed, residential investment can rise.

With the gradual recovery of the economy, many people are looking forward to a wave of housing prices. However, the actual situation is unexpectedly cruel, and the housing prices in many areas are not only not **, but there is a ** trend. This has left many people confused and disappointed, why have house prices fallen so much?

First, we need to understand what makes up house prices. Housing prices are determined by a number of factors such as land, construction costs, development inputs, and market supply and demand. Under the current economic situation, there is a surplus of land in many areas, which leads to the compression of profit margins for developers, which in turn affects the price of housing prices.

In addition, the regulation of the real estate market is also constantly strengthened, such as the introduction of policies such as purchase restrictions and loan restrictions, which limit the purchasing power of home buyers and reduce market demand accordingly, resulting in a rise in housing prices.

Secondly, the current economic situation is not entirely conducive to the development of the real estate market. Although the economy is gradually recovering, the employment situation is still unstable, and many people's income levels have not improved, which limits their ability to buy homes. In addition, the current level of interest rates is relatively low, which is not good news for investors, as they may choose to invest their money in other areas of retrieval rather than the real estate market.

Finally, we need to recognise that house prices** do not necessarily mean that there is something wrong with the housing market. House prices** may also be due to natural adjustments due to changes in market supply and demand. In the past few years, the real estate market has been in a hot state, and house prices have been **, but this situation is not sustainable.

As the market matures and investors' risk awareness increases, housing prices** are also a normal market response.

In short, housing prices do not mean that there is a problem in the real estate market, but the result of a combination of factors such as the relationship between market supply and demand and the economic situation. We need to maintain a rational mindset and not blindly follow the trend to invest in the real estate market, but to make wise investment decisions based on our actual situation and risk tolerance. At the same time, it is also necessary to strengthen the supervision of the real estate market to ensure the healthy development of the market.

The economic recovery does not mean that housing prices will necessarily be the same, and housing prices are affected by a variety of factors, such as supply and demand, policy factors, market expectations, etc. At present, China's real estate market is facing multiple pressures, such as:

1.The policy environment has tightened: the regulation and control of the real estate market has been increased, and the tightening measures interest rate, Xiangli Trembling loans, land and other aspects have been adjusted, which has increased the financial pressure of developers and the risk of real estate companies, so that real estate companies have to slow down the development and sales speed.

2.Tighter policies lead to a shortage of funds: Now that the bank is becoming more and more strict on the review of housing loans, the amount of bank loans obtained by real estate companies has decreased, the monetary environment has changed rapidly, and the gap between various policy interest rates such as credit is large, which has restricted some housing demand, resulting in oversupply.

3.**Reform policies and the new crown epidemic and other factors affect liquidity: With the adjustment and regulation of real estate investment efficiency declined, some investors turned to the sharing economy and Internet finance and other fields, and the shortage of funds is inevitable.

Taken together, these factors have led to a decrease in sales activity in the real estate market, and developers, speculators, and investors have been severely impacted, and housing prices have fallen to a certain extent, in order to further release some of the excessive housing price pressure under the regulatory policy.

Clause. 1. Completion of real estate development investment.

From January to February, the national real estate development investment was 1,366.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline; Among them, residential investment was 1,027.3 billion yuan, a decline.

From January to February, the construction area of real estate development enterprises was 7,502.4 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease. Among them, the residential construction area was 527695 million square meters, a decline. The area of new housing starts was 135.67 million square meters, a decline.

Among them, the area of new residential construction was 98.91 million square meters, a decline. The area of housing completions was 131.78 million square meters, an increase. Among them, the area of residential completions was 97.82 million square meters, an increase.

Clause. 2. Commodity housing sales and for sale.

From January to February, the sales area of commercial housing was 151.33 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease, of which the sales area of residential buildings declined. The sales of commercial buildings were 1,544.9 billion yuan, declining, of which residential sales increased.

At the end of February, the area of commercial housing for sale was 655.28 million square meters, a year-on-year increase. Among them, the area of residential buildings for sale increased.

3. Funds in place for real estate development enterprises.

From January to February, the funds in place for real estate development enterprises were 2,133.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease. Among them, domestic loans were 348.9 billion yuan, a decline; the use of foreign capital was 500 million yuan, a decrease; self-raised funds were 634.2 billion yuan, a decrease; deposits and advance receipts were 711.2 billion yuan, a decrease; personal mortgage loans were 349.5 billion yuan, a decline.

Fourth, the real estate development prosperity index.

In February, the real estate development prosperity index (hereinafter referred to as the "national housing prosperity index") was.

There are many reasons for this situation, such as the lack of new buildings, or the saturation state, or it may be the cause of the impact of the epidemic, etc.

The total number of old city renovations will be reduced. After more than 20 years of urban construction, the situation of "large-scale demolition and large-scale construction" of the old city will gradually disappear.

The housing market has been largely balanced, and there will be no significant increase in the number of housing areas per capita. At present, the per capita area of imitation surplus houses in China has reached 50 square meters, and the requirements for housing improvement of families in difficulty have gradually decreased.

In the future, although there will continue to be a demand for housing improvement, it is only partial and structural, and on the whole, the phenomenon of insufficient per capita housing area will gradually disappear.

Urbanization will slow down. China's urbanization level is already relatively high, and the growth rate will be significantly reduced in the future. The urbanization rate is expected to grow from the current 60% to 70%, the increase in the urbanization rate is facing a ceiling phenomenon, the growth rate of the urban population is slowing down, and it is impossible to grow by a few percentage points per year in the future, and the demographic dividend of urbanization will gradually disappear.

The quality of housing has improved substantially. In 2012, the then Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development issued a residential quality standard, which regulated the construction quality of various commercial houses such as residential and office buildings, and raised the safety standard period of about 30 years for commercial housing to at least 70 years, or even 100 years. This means that after 2010, all kinds of commercial houses newly built in the city can theoretically be used for 70 100 years, which means that the amount of depreciation and renovation in the old city will be greatly reduced.

Assuming that a city has a housing stock of 1 billion cubic metres and a depreciation period of 30 years, about 30 million square metres of houses are demolished and rebuilt each year, and if the depreciation period becomes 100 years, the average number of houses rebuilt per year is just over 10 million square metres.

It is because of national policy regulation and reduced demand. Nowadays, with the promulgation of the policy, most people are less enthusiastic about buying a house, and they no longer think that a house must be purchased. Therefore, what really affects the real estate purchase rate is the awakening of public consciousness, many people treat the house more rationally, and they also think that the future house price will be further **, even if you don't buy now, you won't suffer in the future, and even if you don't buy now, you may earn more.

As a result, when consumers no longer make purchases, the supply exceeds demand, and the house will be even more difficult to sell. For those who need to buy a house, the lower the house, the better.

However, for the overall development of the country, if the real estate is unlimited, it will cause panic to the public, and there will also be a bubble economy, which will affect the overall economic development of the country. There will definitely be some drop in the ** of the house, but not to the point of being outrageous.

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