What do you think about the Iranian nuclear crisis and the cessation of oil sales? Which countries h

The source of the Iranian crisis is that the United States said that Iran is developing nuclear **, and the United States said that if Iran does not stop the research and development of nuclear **, it will impose sanctions on Iran and ban the export of Iranian oil. The economic interests of the United States will suffer a great loss, and the United States will not do it, so the two will do it. Iran says that it has the strength to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, and you can see it if you look at the map, the Strait of Hormuz is close to Iran, and it is very narrow, which is equivalent to the throat of the Persian Gulf.

Iran can rely on its geographical advantage to strike hard at the US aircraft carrier battle group, and besides, in such a narrow place as the Strait of Hormuz, the aircraft carrier is not flexible in its actions, and if Iran's missiles, small submarines, and small ships swarm up, it is not something that the United States can afford! As for those countries that have been stopped, it seems that there is no one yet, anyway, once the strait is blocked, no one in the countries of the Persian Gulf will be able to get out of the oil! Stay tuned.

It's all the opposite. It is many countries that have been pressured by the United States to reduce their oil imports to Iran on their own. Oil exports are Iran's only economic lifeline, so how can Iran itself reduce oil exports?

Looking for death. Now that the United States has imposed such sanctions, oil exports have decreased a lot, and China has taken the opportunity to depress Iran's oil**, and Iran's economy is already very difficult.

At the moment, Iran can only sell to China at a low price. More than two-thirds of Iran's oil exports are sold to China. The United States has threatened to sanction Chinese companies.

Iran abandons the "red line" requirement of the nuclear deal, and the 50 million barrel oil ban is expected to be lifted, firstly, because Iran can earn more income by exporting the corresponding oil resources, secondly, the United States will not blockade some important straits, secondly, Iran chooses to compromise considering the corresponding adverse consequences, and the other is that if it adheres to some wrong development paths, it is very dangerous for Iran. It is necessary to explain and analyze the following four aspects: Iran's abandonment of the "red line" requirements of the nuclear deal, the expected lifting of the 50 million barrel oil embargo, and why Iran compromised.

First of all, because Iran can earn more income by exporting the corresponding oil resources, for Iran, there are sufficient domestic oil resources that can be released into the international market, which can help many countries alleviate the corresponding oil crisis and reduce the corresponding oil **.

Second, the United States will not blockade some important straits

The second is that the United States will not blockade some important straits, and for the United States, if there is a compromise, it will not blockade some important straits, which will not have some negative impact on Iran's business.

Third, Iran has chosen to compromise in consideration of the corresponding adverse consequences

In addition, the United States will not repentantly blockade some important straits, and for Iran, they will only make the corresponding Oak Bridge decision after careful consideration, mainly because if they do not take some mitigation measures, there are some obstacles to their own development.

Fourth, if it sticks to some wrong development paths, it will be very dangerous for Iran

In addition, if it adheres to some wrong development paths, it will be very dangerous for Iran, and if Iran adheres to a wrong development path for a long time, then it will not be of any benefit to Iran, and the knowledge will be in danger everywhere.

Do's and don'ts that Iran should do:

Multi-channel cooperation should be strengthened.

But Pi Qingneng is expected to lift the ban, that is because Iran has no ability to fight against other countries, they are in war all the year round, and they are also incapable of developing the economy.

Yes, Iran's release of the agreement means that 50 million barrels of oil are expected to be lifted, because Iran weighed the pros and cons and felt that it was the wisest choice to abandon the agreement and compromise.

I think there is hope that Iran made decisions mainly under international pressure.

Of course there is a connection, I'll try to explain it.

The United States imposed sanctions on Iran in order to get Iran to abandon its nuclear tests. Because the current regime in Iran is hostile to the United States and Israel, a nuclear event would have a negative impact on American interests in the Middle East. So there is a clear causal relationship between the Iranian nuclear crisis and the U.S. oil sanctions against Iran.

In addition, although the resolution on sanctions against Iran was passed by the United Nations (and China also voted in favor), China changed a single sentence of the resolution beyond recognition before that, and basically did not hurt Iran. Comparing the relationship between China and Iran, it is still relatively iron.

Iran's possession of nuclear weapons is a threat to Israel, although Israel certainly has nuclear weapons, but in the Arab world, it needs the support of the United States, and as an ally, the United States must wear small shoes for Iran.

It doesn't matter. Iran's development of nuclear power plants is solely for the sake of developing nuclear **.

Of course, Iran has a lot of oil, and the United States can only sanction oil to limit Iran's economy, thereby hitting the Iranian economy

The development of nuclear energy is the dream of every country, and there is a big difference between nuclear and non-nuclear ones.

Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, and Syria are all third-rate countries, and none of them possess nuclear weapons.

The first step is to purify uranium and plutonium, the second step is to achieve reduction, and the third step is to achieve the first level, even if the first level is completed, the loading and delivery are problems.

Take 10,000 steps back and say, even if the above-mentioned Iran is realized, how many can be produced? Not to mention the United States, Israel alone has more than 200 nuclear bombs there, and Iran will not be stupid enough to provoke Europe, the United States and the Jews in order to produce two or three nuclear bombs.

If the United States withdraws from the nuclear deal, it will inevitably impose further sanctions on Iran.

If sanctions are reinstated, Tehran's exports will be reduced, which in turn could lead to a tightening of global stocks.

Iran is a major producer in the Middle East and a member of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

Of course, it's also an oil powerhouse – it's the world's fifth-largest oil producer and the third-largest oil producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). China and India account for more than half of Iran's exports.

Although the United States has agreed to increase oil production to make up for the shortfall, it will still have an impact on global oil prices. ）