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1.The degree of improved breeds has been continuously strengthened.
With the introduction of foreign breeds of beef cattle and the promotion of artificial insemination technology, more and more people choose to use improved breeds of beef cattle to improve local cattle. At present, there are more beef cattle with a good degree of improvement in Northeast China, Inner Mongolia, Northwest China, Shandong, Henan, Hebei, Anhui, Jiangsu, Sichuan and other places, and Hunan, Hubei, Guangdong, Guangxi, Yunnan, Fujian, Guizhou and other places are now speeding up the pace of breed improvement.
2.The number of rural cattle farmers is decreasing, and large-scale cattle farms are not coming up.
With the continuous development of agricultural mechanization, the rural areas have long been separated from relying on cattle farming, coupled with the improvement of the rural environment and the increasing number of migrant workers, it is now rare to see cattle raising in the rural areas. While the number of rural cattle farmers is decreasing, large-scale cattle farms have not developed, which is mainly due to the high cost of cattle raising and the difficulty of solving the problem of large-scale breeding feed.
At present, the domestic cattle industry is very backward, and this is the development direction of the cattle industry in the future!
3.The difficulty of feed is an important reason restricting the development of the cattle industry.
Because roughage resources have the characteristics of low and large volume, the transportation cost is very high, if you buy roughage from other places, the freight may be higher than the roughage itself, so roughage can only be solved locally. The consumption of roughage by beef cattle is very large, and a cow should prepare 6000 8000 catties of roughage a year, which is equivalent to 3 acres of corn stalks. If you breed 100 cows, you need to collect 300 acres of land and 300 tons of corn stalks, and the corn harvest season is about 1 week.
This requires the harvesting of 40 to 50 tonnes of corn stalks a day.
4.There are fewer and fewer cows to breed and fewer calves to buy.
At least 8 out of 10 people who start raising cattle must raise fattening cattle. Compared with breeding cattle, fattening cattle have small investment, fast benefits and high profits, while breeding cattle have large investment, slow benefits and low profits. Therefore, the current situation of China's cattle industry is that there are fewer and fewer fertile cows, the calves are getting higher and higher, and the beef gap is getting bigger and bigger.
At present, the domestic cattle industry is very backward, and this is the development direction of the cattle industry in the future!
5. There are many diseases.
Many people are still stuck in the view that cattle are resistant and do not get sick, which was established more than ten years ago. Now, with the large-scale breeding of beef cattle and the continuous increase of north-south circulation and east-west circulation, there are more infectious diseases in cattle. If you still think that cattle are resistant, then you only need one outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease or bovine lung disease, and you will have to quit the cattle industry.
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Cattle breeds that focus on meat must have a good basic herd in order to develop for a long time, and the calves bred by others are good.
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The current situation of the domestic cattle industry is still relatively unpopular, and then the cattle industry is also better in Inner Mongolia.
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I think needless to say, everyone knows that it is a good and not a good one, and it is a big bull market that I dare not imagine in the past. Like today's cattle prices, it can be described as "Bull Demon King", cattle raising ** is really good, and cattle farmers are also very optimistic.
Under the conditions of market economy, ** is determined by value and affected by supply and demand. When the supply exceeds the demand, the ****, the oversupply, the ****, but the ** always around the value, and affected by other factors up and down, generally will not deviate too far from the value.
So, what will be the future of cattle breeding, and what will be the prospects for cattle breeding next year, or even the year after? Will it still be as good as it is now?
Next year is in the middle and late stages of the cattle cycle, by the rural breeding ban regulations, brought about a large reduction in rural cattle households, the scale of cattle raising has been greatly reduced, reducing the production capacity of cows, by these two specific reasons superimposed together, forming a special cattle cycle, this cattle cycle through **, it takes 2 3 years to terminate the end, still in this cattle cycle, live cattle **** basically will not change, still in the trend of **.
In addition, because the production cycle of live cattle is relatively long, it takes nearly 2 time from birth to slaughter, and it takes 10 months of pregnancy, that is, it takes nearly 2 years from pregnancy to slaughter, which means that it is necessary to wait until the end of the year, and even at the end of the year, the number of live cattle can be significantly improved, therefore, considering the live cattle **, can still be maintained at about 15-17 yuan, and this cattle price, compared with the past is still profitable, it can be said that the prospect of raising cattle is very good.
After entering, because of the recovery of live cattle next year, coupled with large-scale cattle farms, the drive and impact of rural free-range households, the number of live cattle will improve significantly next year, and the number of live cattle will be further increased in the following year, and it will be difficult to maintain the first level of live cattle.
There are also relevant people who say that the price of cattle may be **, and it may also last for a longer time. Seeing that the beef is increasing today, the status of farmers is getting higher and higher, coupled with the official "continuous import of beef", for the price of cattle, it is equivalent to giving cattle keepers a reassurance.
Therefore, although the number of live cattle will recover, it is difficult to return to the state of balance between supply and demand, and more often it will remain in a state of slightly less supply, so it is expected that the live cattle will decline compared with next year, but it will still be maintained between 10 and 15 yuan to ensure the profit margins of farmers.
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The answer is that China is a large country with a large population, and the consumption level is still increasing year by year, especially the food consumption is amazing, and the demand for meat is constantly increasing, and the consumption of beef is also maintaining a steady upward trend every year.
Q: What are the risks of raising cattle?
Satisfactory answer: 1. The cost is large.
The input cost of cattle is relatively large, and it takes a lot of money to operate, and now a calf that is good for four or five months is about 145,000, and adult cattle are even more expensive. In addition, now the cost of feed, that is, corn, soybean meal, etc., is also in the epidemic, under the influence of the epidemic, feed is more difficult to buy, and it is expected that the increase will be higher, which will increase the cost of breeding.
2. Long breeding time.
Cattle breeding time is relatively long, the general fattening cattle breeding is in about a year, in addition to the surprise fattening, it also takes a few months, if the breeding cows, then the breeding time is longer, such a long breeding time, cattle prices, and cattle health and so on will change, there are many risks.
3. Import competition.
After the import of foreign beef, it is not low, but China's domestic beef is also very high, if the domestic beef is 30 yuan in the past, then the advantage of foreign beef is not big, but now the domestic beef is sold to forty or fifty, imported beef and domestic beef ** is almost the same, will cause pressure on domestic cattle farmers.
4. Disease risk.
The various diseases encountered while raising cattle are the biggest risks in the cattle industry. Cattle diseases are roughly divided into three categories: common diseases, parasitic diseases and infectious diseases, any kind of disease can not be underestimated, a careless cause cattle death, with the current cattle ** to make a value estimate, this is tens of thousands of losses.
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According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs' monitoring of 500 bazaars across the country, since June, beef ** has been 9 consecutive weeks on a month-on-month basis**. According to cattle farmers, a cowPure profitIn5000 piecesAround. The rise in beef ** provides a good opportunity for the development of the cattle breeding industry.
In a year and a half, 10,000 new cattle enterprises have been added across the country! The number of newly registered cattle breeding-related enterprises in the country has reached 10,000, and it reached 10,000 in the first half of this year, a year-on-year increase of 90%. In a year and a half, a total of 10,000 cattle enterprises have been added.
There are 10,000 enterprises in business and existing related to cattle breeding in China.
From the perspective of regional distribution, cattle breeding-related enterprises are mostly distributed in the north and southwest regions. According to the data of enterprise investigation, Hebei Province ranks first in the country with 10,000 enterprises, and Gansu and Inner Mongolia rank second and third with 10,000 and 10,000 respectively. In addition, southwestern provinces such as Yunnan, Guizhou and Sichuan also ranked among the top 10 in the country.
According to this data, in the next three years, cattle fattening farmers will face what they will face, and the fierce competition for cattle sources is clear at a glance!
How long can high bull prices last? To know how long the high bull price can last, you must first know how the current bull price is rising? There are two main reasons for this:
1. The reason for the soaring cattle prices in 2019 is that African swine fever has led to a sharp rise in pig prices.
Second, the high level in 2020, or even **, is due to the out-of-control epidemic overseas, which has led to the interruption of various imported meat.
First of all, African swine fever has been basically controlled, and the pig herd has gradually recovered. The pork fast in April and May has already illustrated this.
Secondly, the end time of the international epidemic can only depend on the time of mass production of vaccines. Ideally, it will be brought under control by the middle of next year.
Therefore, as long as imported meat is fully recovered, domestic beef cattle will enter the first channel.
Although there is a risk of cattle prices, there is still a lot to be done in cattle raising, why do you say so.
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The problems existing in China's cattle industry include whether there are specialized meat without skin breeds, low degree of improved breeding, long production cycle, low slaughter rate, low breeding survival, high mortality and so on.
1. There are no specialized meat varieties.
At present, China's beef cattle breeding mainly relies on cattle breeds, such as Luxi cattle, Nanyang cattle, Qinchuan cattle, etc., as well as the hybrid offspring of introduced breeds, and lacks high-quality meat supplies.
2. The degree of improved breeding is low.
The low degree of improved breeding is the most fundamental factor restricting the production of high-quality beef cattle in China, resulting in slow weight gain, poor beef quality and high feeding cost. The grass-roots promotion system is not perfect, the extension personnel are few, the treatment is poor, the quality is not high, and there are a considerable number of grass-roots sites are seriously insufficient professional and technical personnel, the technical level of breeding needs to be improved urgently, the new varieties and new technologies are lagging behind, and the necessary refrigeration facilities and instruments and equipment are seriously insufficient, which seriously affects the improvement of livestock and poultry breeds and the promotion process of excellent varieties.
3. Long production cycle.
The production cycle of beef cattle in China is generally 28 to 30 months, and the cycle of the main chop is relatively long; There is a gap between the feeding method and foreign countries, and the feed, variety and age in the fattening process are very different, resulting in a long fattening period and low efficiency.
4. Low slaughter rate.
In 2004, China's cattle slaughter rate reached a big difference with developed countries (the United States and Europe, and the average carcass weight of cattle in China was 147 kg, much lower than the average of 205 kg in the world; And the average meat yield of beef cattle in China is only 45 kilograms, while the average meat yield of beef cattle in developed countries is 120 kilograms, and the United States is 115 kilograms, and the carcass weight of a beef cattle is equivalent to China's head.
5. Low survival of reproduction.
Local cattle are small in size and often have dystocia due to large fetuses, and the dystocia rate of hybrid calves is higher than that of local cattle. The non-standard operation of cold distribution technicians also artificially causes a variety of infertility and prolongs reproductive intervals.
6. High mortality rate.
Animal infectious diseases have seriously affected the entry of China's meat and its products into the international market, and the annual death from disease has caused serious economic losses. In particular, the overall calf mortality rate close to farrowing is. The largest proportion (72%) of calves that die in parity are due to dystocia, and the high mortality and morbidity of calves is a direct result of nutritional deficiencies and poor management.
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The quality of breeding personnel is low. Most of the people engaged in the fat cattle breeding industry are farmers, with a low level of education and a lack of professional skills and professional knowledge in fat cattle breeding.
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Hello, now the prospect of cattle raising is still good and more stable, the overall level of China's national economy continues to improve, the slogan of comprehensive prosperity will also become a reality, under such a premise, the demand for beef will further increase. The development of China's cattle industry has only entered the fast lane in recent years, although there is a momentum of accelerated development, but the growth rate and reproductive cycle of cattle restrict the development, so it is impossible to quickly reach the state of saturation, and it takes a long time to fully reach the first beef market in China. <>
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There are a lot of cattle breeding in China, especially dairy cows, the official figure is still more than 7,000 dairy farms with more than 100 heads, of which there are more than 50 large-scale pastures with more than 10,000 heads, and there are more than 40,000 heads of Bengbu Ranch, the largest modern animal husbandry, which is the largest dairy farm in China.
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There is not much on average in each province, and there are many free-range households in China, which are not too large, so the quality of China's beef cattle is poor
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There are a lot of big cattle farmers in the country.
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A lot, but that doesn't prevent you from doing this line of work too.
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There are fewer cattle breeders, not more.
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Do you guess how much is a big agricultural country? Ha ha.
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The benefits are still good, although Sanlu is bankrupt, but people still have to drink milk and eat meat. This should be done with all the strength.
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