How much impact will the TPP have on China s economy after it is signed?

The TPP doesn't just have an impact on China's economy.

It is not a simple economic agreement led by the United States.

TPP is to build a capital empire entirely.

No country that has signed the agreement can regulate this capital.

And it can indict and sanction any sovereign state.

TPP is not a ** agreement.

It is a new structure in which multinational corporations dominate the world.

The dangers of TPP are there.

Here's an example. For example, China has a law banning smoking, and smoking is not allowed in any public place in the country.

But if a multinational tobacco company invests in China, it thinks you're hurting its profits.

He can sue you. You're going to have to pay him compensation.

It is something that is above the sovereignty of the state.

It is a threat to any country in the world.

Canada was accused.

Canada is strict about environmental protection, but it violates the profits of a U.S. company from shale oil extraction.

That company sued Canada. And he won the case.

After that, he could mine as much as he wanted in Canada.

It's not officially started yet, and you can imagine if you look at the country building roads everywhere to pull jobs.

In a word, the core is that the foreign exchange reserves are exhausted and it will be over.

If TPP and TIPP are reached, China and a few other countries will be left to play with the WTO. TPP and TIPP require that tariffs be 0, which basically announces the collapse of the WTO system, because in this way, the cost is greatly reduced, and the countries in the WTO system, plus the cost of tariffs, are not competitive.

To put it bluntly, these two "butts" are actually replacing the current WTO** system in disguise. TPP and TIPP, which almost 70% of the world's largest ** into the bag, in this way, China is basically excluded from the world's main ** system, China's foreign ** will inevitably be greatly reduced, coupled with manufacturing costs, business costs, tariff costs, etc., China's export of goods has been impossible to compete with the goods in the TPP system. In other words, the United States and other major importing countries may not import goods from China, and China's ** surplus may also be greatly reduced.

China's ** surplus is greatly discounted, China's foreign exchange account will be greatly reduced, foreign exchange reserves will also be greatly reduced, and there may even be a regular deficit. As a result, China may greatly regress from the world's largest country to a medium-sized country, from the world's largest surplus country to a deficit country, and from the world's largest foreign exchange reserve country to a small foreign exchange reserve country.

In this way, China's efforts to integrate into the world system for so many years will be in vain, China's status will be seriously restricted, if there is no in-depth reform, it is not impossible to passively return to the old road of closing the country to the outside world. What's more serious is that under the condition that exports are restricted, the manufacturing industry based on export-oriented will also face an unprecedented blow and reshuffle, which will trigger a wave of unemployment for many years. In such a situation, turmoil is difficult to avoid, and revolution is not impossible.

In the short term, the agreement may have a certain impact on China's external world, but in the long run, in the context of economic globalization, no multilateral arrangement can exclude non-agreement countries and regions from the international system, otherwise its own development will be greatly limited.

Zhang Jianping, director of the International Cooperation Office of the National Institute of Foreign Economic Research, said in an interview with CCTV that China is already the world's largest cargo country, and China's global market share is 12%, which is also the largest in the world. China has signed bilateral freedom agreements with two-thirds of the members of the agreement, which can to some extent balance the negative impact of the TPP. There is also the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), which covers 10 ASEAN countries, China, Japan, South Korea, and 16 countries in Australia, New Zealand and India.

In recent years, with the signing of the China-Switzerland, China-South Korea, and China-Australia Free Trade Agreements, the acceleration of China-US and China-EU investment agreement negotiations, the continuous development of pilot projects such as the Shanghai Free Trade Zone, the steady progress of the "Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership" negotiations and the construction of the Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific, and the continuous advancement of the "Belt and Road" construction, China has shown a deep, high-level, and all-round pattern of opening up to the outside world. Many experts have pointed out that the expected impact of the TPP agreement on China will be limited.

From the perspective of the evolution of the world, the global pattern has always been in a dynamic situation and has its own laws to follow. Nowadays, bilateral and regional free arrangements are developing rapidly and have become an important driving force for the in-depth development of economic globalization. China will continue to strive to achieve high-level bilateral and regional free trade arrangements, continuously improve the new mechanism of open economy, and inject sustained impetus into industrial upgrading, structural adjustment and innovative development.

1. In terms of economy, China's exports to the United States and other East Asian countries account for about half of China's exports. TPP to neutralization.

The negative impact on China's economy is significant, squeezing out China's export market, leading to a reduction in China's exports, which in turn creates unemployment and affects long-term economic development.

2. On the political front, the United States has strengthened its economic ties with East Asian countries by using the TPP as a starting point, which may disperse the concentration of economic integration in East Asia, thereby increasing the difficulty of integrating East Asia's economic and political development. In a regional structure where the economy and politics continue to coexist and overlap less, it is difficult for China to smoothly transform economic influence into political influence, limiting its constructive role in regional political affairs. Not only that, but other East Asian countries may also see the US TPP as a clear signal of soft encirclement of China, increasing political interference with China on some bilateral disputes.

3. The TPP will also pose a security challenge to China's position in the East Asian landscape. An analysis of the existing TPP negotiating partners of the United States shows that they are mainly military allies in East Asia. This fully shows that the United States has continued the model of entering into free negotiations with other countries, and tends to give preference to military allies as the objects of free agreements.

With the closer ties generated by the TPP, the United States will further strengthen its cooperative relationship with its military allies in East Asia.

The Trans-Pacific Partnership, also known as the "Economic NATO", is currently an important international multilateral economic negotiation organization, formerly known as the Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership.

The TPP agreement was first initiated by New Zealand, Singapore, Chile and Brunei, and later Obama wanted to use TPP to limit China's foreign affairs, which was a major challenge to China's foreign affairs.

However, the latest news on the UC headlines is that Trump has scrapped the TPP agreement, so it is good news for China for the time being.