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1. Electric vehicles will become the mainstream of future automobiles;
2. Lithium-powered battery vehicles will become the mainstream of electric vehicles in China;
3. Electric vehicles will develop towards long battery life, intelligence and interconnection.
The first stage of China's new energy vehicle development: the stage of oil to electricity. For example, the BYD F3DM, the JAC Tongyue pure electric vehicle, and the Zotye 2008EV launched in 2010 are all based on traditional platforms.
As more and more new and old forces are involved, the competition is becoming more and more fierce, and it has entered the second stage: according to the research and development process of fuel vehicles and the speed of project advancement, we will spend 3-4 years to develop our own pure electric vehicle platform. NIO's ES8 and Xpeng P7 are products of this R&D approach.
Starting from the platform, the advantage of pure R&D is that car companies can completely independently define product performance and styling. The vehicle architecture can be designed around the most critical performance of the vehicle's range, and the vehicle styling can also be very original. These car companies have brought China's new energy vehicle industry into the original positive development stage, new energy electric vehicles have begun to evolve faster than fuel vehicles, and the next development direction of the overall architecture of electric vehicles must be a more compact super chassis module.
Such a design is not only to reduce costs and improve efficiency, but more importantly, it can reshape the entire business model of vehicle R&D, sales and operation.
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1. Electric vehicles are definitely the future development trend. Because the fossil energy (oil, coal, etc.) on the earth will be consumed in about 50 to 70 years, you don't see that all countries are mentioning carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, and carbon is emitted by fossil energy combustion. There is no fuel, and of course there is nothing wrong with the car without gas.
Then the car will enter the era of new energy vehicles. At present, the industrialization is more complete or electric vehicles, and hydrogen energy vehicles have not yet been mass-produced.
2. Not only that, in view of the fact that fossil energy will be exhausted, human production and life on the earth will be fully electrified in advance, and power generation will be fully clean and clean. It is impossible to wait until the day when fossil fuels run out of energy to switch. This is also the place where our country is most stuck by the US imperialists, the United States has controlled it with aircraft carriers and the US dollar, and China's foreign dependence has reached 80%, and in the future, as fossil energy is extracted less and less, countries without alternative energy will definitely fight because of the competition for energy, because the blood of the modern economy is **, coal, and the competition for energy is to compete for survival time.
3. This is the reason why China suddenly put carbon peak and carbon neutrality on the agenda this year, to reach the peak by 2030, stabilize the consumption rate of fossil energy, and no longer accelerate consumption, and then by 2060, to achieve carbon neutrality, that is, to replace fossil energy with clean energy.
4. To this end, China vigorously develops clean energy such as photovoltaic, wind power, and hydropower at the front end, especially in the west; In order to be able to transmit these power resources in the west, we have reserved UHV transmission technology in the mid-range in advance; At the end, you have to store this electricity, that is, new energy vehicles running all over the ground, electric energy storage facilities (large power banks), and electricity to pump water to a high place to turn it into potential energy, and then use water to generate electricity when needed to convert potential energy into kinetic energy, electrical energy, and so on.
5. As for whether it is the time to buy an electric new energy vehicle, it depends on you in **, if it is in Beijing and Shanghai, you must first have a new energy vehicle license.
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The popularity of new energy vehicles has accelerated, and countries have introduced corresponding strict emission standards to promote the development of new energy vehicles. At present, the three major technologies of new energy vehicles are fuel cell technology, pure electric technology and hybrid technology. The survival of the fittest is also applicable in the new energy vehicle industry, but at present, the three major technologies have their own bright spots, so the development of prospects is still confusing.
However, the development prospects of these three technologies are worthy of our analysis, if from the development of new energy vehicles in a short period of time, hybrid technology should occupy an advantage. However, in the long run, pure electric technology should be more promising. Because the current stage is in the transition period of fuel vehicles and pure electric vehicles, the energy consumption of electric vehicles is indeed low and can be emission-free.
However, it is not only the charging technology that restricts the development of pure electric vehicles, but more importantly, the supporting facilities are not perfect, which is also the most taboo problem for many consumers when choosing pure electric vehicles.
Hybrid models make up for such problems well, but hybrid models are not pure electric models after all, their main power still depends on gasoline, and in recent years, the country's support for pure electric vehicles, hybrid vehicles are not a long-term solution. In the future, if there is a great breakthrough in pure electric technology and the relevant facilities and regulations are becoming more and more perfect, there is a high probability that hybrid vehicles will be eliminated.
Regarding fuel cell technology, it currently mainly refers to hydrogen fuel cells. Hydrogen fuel cells emit water and are therefore a clean source of energy. However, at present, the promotion of hydrogen fuel technology has also encountered a big bottleneck.
One of the most important is that the hydrogen production technology has not been greatly improved, and the current hydrogen energy technology hydrogen is mainly industrial collection and water electrolysis. Electrolysis of water is the most effective way, but the electrolysis of water consumes a huge amount of electricity, and at present, thermal power generation is mainly used as the main power generation technology, and excessive power consumption is undoubtedly "disguised pollution".
At the same time, the biggest problem with hydrogen fuel cells is the storage of hydrogen. Although storage is not technically difficult, the equipment and hydrogen refueling stations are expensive to manufacture, and the manufacturing cost of hydrogen refueling stations is five times higher than that of traditional gas or charging stations! Therefore, it is difficult to promote the use in a short period of time.
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<> pure electric vehicles are environmentally friendly.
Traditional fuel vehicles, whether it is the national five or six standards, that are all exhaust pollution, nothing more than the question of how much, and pure electric vehicles are no exhaust pollution, is zero emission, which is very environmentally friendly, with the continuous rise in car ownership, first-tier cities are prohibited from traditional fuel vehicles on the plate, is for environmental protection.
Environmental protection is the eternal theme of human beings, the more human society develops, the more attention will be paid to environmental protection, some people say that electric energy is converted by burning coal, but will aggravate pollution, this is not right, the acquisition of electric energy is not only a method of burning coal, but also solar power generation, hydroelectric power, wind power, nuclear power generation, these are clean energy, environmental protection requirements are higher than coal burning this thermal power generation.
If the vigorous development of pure electric vehicles will lead to the vigorous development of electric energy, that is, clean energy, and thermal power generation, which is more polluting, is limited by the state, so the development of pure electric vehicles is not only the development of the automotive industry, but also the development of clean energy, which can protect the environment and kill two birds with one stone.
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Because the future goal is environmental protection, energy conservation and emission reduction, electric vehicles are in line with the current environmental trend, so in the future, electric vehicles will become the development trend of automobiles.
Electric vehicles refer to vehicles that use batteries or fuel cells as energy storage power sources.
Electric vehicles use electric energy, do not emit exhaust gases, do not pollute the environment, and are environmentally friendly vehicles.
Since electricity can be obtained from a variety of energy sources such as nuclear, hydro, and geothermal, it is possible to reduce the consumption of non-renewable resources such as coal and oil. Not only that, this kind of car also has the advantages of comfortable and safe ride, easy handling, low noise, and long service life.
In particular, after continuous improvement, the performance of electric vehicle batteries has been greatly improved, making electric vehicles in a favorable position to compete with fuel vehicles. According to **, about 75% of fuel vehicles will be replaced by electric vehicles in the future.
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It is expected that in 20 years, pure electric vehicles will occupy a significant market share, while the market share of hybrid electric vehicles and fuel cell electric vehicles will be comparable to that of gasoline vehicles. Combined, all electric vehicles will have a larger market share than gasoline vehicles. Over the next 20 years, the primary energy source will gradually shift from the current oil, gas, coal and nuclear energy to renewable energy sources; Fuels have evolved from gasoline, diesel and compressed natural gas, to electricity, and then to ethanol and hydrogen.
Increasingly sophisticated application technologies such as advanced engines, advanced batteries, advanced motor drive systems, gas turbines, ultra-large capacity electrolytic capacitors, high-speed flywheel storage systems, and fuel cells will all be used to improve the performance of electric and hybrid electric vehicles. The development of advanced electric motor drive technology will drive the development of both pure electric vehicles and hybrid electric vehicles. Low aerodynamic coefficient technology, low rolling resistance tire technology, and lightweight body and component technology will be used by BEVs, hybrid EVs and combustion engines to continuously improve their respective performance.
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According to the national "New Energy Vehicle Development Plan (2021-2035)", by 2025, the proportion of new energy vehicle sales will reach about 20%, and traditional power vehicles will continue to occupy a dominant position. For the new energy market, the company focuses on range extenders, which are currently in a leading position in China, and have not carried out research on hydrogen fuel power.
The company has made a layout in the new energy business, including generators, range extenders, lithium batteries, battery swapping cabinets and other products, and has also invested in R&D in the intelligence and electrification of general machine products.
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Pure electric vehicles account for a relatively high proportion of new energy vehicles, and the penetration rate of overall vehicles is expected to increase
Pure electric vehicles are one of the most important branches of new energy vehicles, and their sales will expand with the continuous expansion of new energy vehicle sales. From 2016 to 2020, the overall sales of pure electric vehicles in China showed an upward trend, exceeding 1.11 million units in 2020, and the penetration rate in new energy vehicles reached .
On November 2, 2020, the General Office of the People's Republic of China issued the "New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2021-2035)", which proposes that by 2025, the sales volume of new energy vehicles should reach about 20% of the total sales of new cars, of which pure electric vehicles account for about. According to the path of "carbon peak" and "carbon neutrality", 2030 is the peak period of carbon emissions, and carbon neutrality will be achieved in 2060. From 2025 to 2060, the penetration rate of pure electric vehicles will gradually increase, and by 2060, the penetration rate of pure electric vehicles in the overall car is expected to exceed 70%.
Battery electric vehicles have lower carbon emissions than other fuel types, helping to reduce carbon emissions
From the perspective of the average carbon emissions per unit mileage of the five different fuel types, the average carbon emissions of diesel vehicles are the highest, which is significantly higher than that of other fuel types, followed by the average carbon emissions of gasoline vehicles, and the carbon emissions of conventional hybrids, plug-in hybrids and pure electric vehicles are significantly lower than those of diesel vehicles and gasoline vehicles. Among them, the average carbon emission of pure electric vehicles is the lowest, which is.
Pure electric vehicles have great potential for carbon emission reduction, mainly in the fields of clean power grids and battery carbon emissions
According to the analysis of the "China Automotive Low-Carbon Action Plan Research Report 2021", pure electric passenger vehicles have great potential for carbon emission reduction in the life cycle, which can be reduced to 72% by 2025 (based on 2020) and 17% by 2060.
Specifically, the biggest contributor to the emission reduction of pure electric vehicles is the clean power grid, which contributes between 10% and 50% in different scenarios. Material efficiency is also important for the carbon reduction of pure electric vehicles, which can reduce the carbon emissions of pure electric vehicles by 4%-13%; With the development of time, the role of power battery carbon emissions on the carbon emission reduction of pure electric vehicles has become more and more obvious; The use of energy efficiency and the clean power grid work together to reduce the carbon emission of the fuel cycle of pure polyester electric vehicles, and with the increase of the degree of clean power grid, the emission reduction effect of energy efficiency tends to decrease. Among the different emission reduction measures, the role of production energy efficiency is the least obvious, mainly due to its low proportion of carbon emissions in the life cycle of pure electric vehicles.
——The above data refer to the Prospective Industry Research InstituteAnalysis report on the market outlook and investment strategic planning of China's new energy vehicle industry
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In fact, China's pure electric vehicle market is now in a stage of continuous development and growth, but it is far from saturated. And now the productivity of electric vehicles, I think it is still in a process of continuous improvement and climbing. The technology is also gradually maturing.
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Based on the energy supply mode, new energy vehicles are mainly divided into pure electric vehicles, hybrid vehicles and fuel cell vehicles. Under the trend of electrification, intelligence, sharing, networking, and increasingly stringent environmental protection requirements, electrification is the direction of future development of automobiles. In the past two years, with the advancement of technology and the promotion of relevant policies such as banning the sale of fuel vehicles, pure electric vehicles have become the focus of research and development of major car companies.
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