China has passed the first period of rapid population aging, what will be the size of the retirement

The question raised by the subject is indeed worth paying attention to, which shows that China's population will slowly and officially enter the era of aging. In other words, more and more people are retiring, and there are fewer and fewer newborns. Starting in 2022, China will usher in the largest wave of retirements in history, with data showing that there will be about 20 million retirees every year in the future.

In the future, the aging population of the country may exceed 100 million, which is a very large group of people, and its prominent focus is the problem of old-age care. In one place, the birth rate of babies is relatively low, and the state should introduce incentive policies to encourage the birth of second and third children.

First, it has intensified the process of China's aging.

At present, the number of elderly people over the age of 60 in China is about 170 million. Accounting for about 12% of the total population, and when the post-60s group retires and enters the elderly group, China's elderly population will reach a peak, which will exceed 100 million, allowing China to quickly enter the elderly society.

Second, how to manage such a large group of elderly people.

It has become a problem, the health and pension of the elderly has become a prominent problem, although civil servants, retirees of enterprises and institutions have retirement pensions, there is no problem, but there is still a large part of the post-60s are farmers and workers, they have not purchased pension insurance, and the pressure on pension is increasing. Therefore, solving the problem of their survival is also an issue that we will implement and consider in the future.

Third, the post-60s generation are basically only children.

If it is basically unrealistic to rely on raising children to prevent old age, two young couples have to raise four elderly people and take care of one child, which will bring a great burden to young people, especially in rural areas, there may be many elderly people living alone. Then the society is required to pay attention to the life and health of the elderly, establish more pension institutions and the emergence of a diversified pension service system, and gradually resolve the heavy burden of young people.

That's my opinion.

In the future, the scale of retirement may reach millions of retirements a year, possibly tens of millions, after all, people's population aging is already very serious, and China's current population aging is rising.

More than 20 million people will retire every year in this wave of retirement, and China's annual new potential labor supply is about 17 million to 18 million. This shows that China will reduce the working-age population by 3 million to 5 million every year. An increase in the number of retirements and a decrease in the number of new jobs will lead to an increase in the number of pensioners, while the number of pensioners will continue to decline.

In the future, a large number of people will definitely retire, the aging of the population is becoming more and more serious, and some industries may reach the point of being green and yellow, and they will not be able to recruit workers.

Introduction: China is now an aging society, and in a short time, it is likely to enter a stage of deep aging, so we must correctly face the future population aging, to establish a more reasonable and sustainable social security system. Moreover, it is also necessary to raise the retirement age, reduce the dependency rate of the elderly population, and reduce the pressure on pension payment.

First, it is necessary to establish a more rational and sustainable social security system

Nowadays, young people don't seem to want to get married, and they don't want to have children, they feel that after giving birth to children, they are facing a lot of things, and the pressure is also very great, and now buying a house and a car has brought great pressure to this generation, but because of this, our country has fallen into an aging population, but now that things are like this, we must find the right way to deal with it. We need to build a more reasonable and sustainable social security system to ensure the rights of these elderly people and enable them to retire well. <>

Second, the retirement age can be appropriately raised

Of course, we should appropriately raise the retirement age, reduce the maintenance rate of the elderly population, and reduce the pressure on pension distribution, after all, there are too many elderly people now, and it is impossible for the state to support them, and young people do not have the idea of getting married when they are elderly, so they still need to change slowly. <>

3. Raise awareness of the importance of optimizing fertility policies

It is also necessary to raise awareness of the importance of eugenics policy, eugenics is also a direct means to improve the future labor force, and it is also a system to deal with the aging of the population.

First of all, the state should improve the three-child and second-child policies, in fact, it should also provide certain subsidies to some retired elderly people to reduce the pressure on middle-aged people, so as to avoid the harm that aging has brought to the country.

China will definitely introduce relevant policies to encourage people to have children, and will introduce relevant policies in various aspects such as housing prices, education, and medical care to relieve people's worries.

Population aging is a normal state of human society. Why? We have entered a new historical stage, and aging is the inevitable result of the economic development of China and other countries in the world.

One of the problems with China's current aging population is that the more rural it is, the higher the degree of aging. The main reason for this is that the young people in the rural areas have moved to the cities, and those who remain in the rural areas are the elderly. The young people who went to the cities returned to the countryside when they got older, and the double pressure made the rural population more and more aging.

One of the big problems posed by migration is the age structure. Among the local registered population in Shanghai, the elderly population accounts for a high proportion, while only the elderly are foreigners, 8% are children, and about 89% are working-age population. In other words, the age group of the entire working population in Shanghai is mainly supported by the foreign population.

Ageing will have a huge impact, mainly in terms of pensions, public health, and a reduced labor force. In addition, as we move into an aging society, the life cycle of people is also further aging, which can be reflected in consumption patterns. Consumption and income patterns vary from country to country.

For example, the average Japanese do not reach their highest income point until after the age of 50, and in their expenditure, the cost of education is particularly high when they are young, and the cost of health care is particularly high when they are old. The highest point of wage income in China is reached at the average age of 35, which shows that most young people are concentrated in new industries such as IT, finance, and innovation industries, while the income of middle-aged and elderly labor and traditional industries is relatively low. The cost of education for children in Chinese is generally high, and the expenditure on the elderly, including pensions and long-term care costs, is still relatively low, but this part of the expenditure will one day be higher and higher like in Japan.

Delaying retirement is an inevitable trend.

In the context of an aging population, various social problems are increasing. In the case of China, for example, the increase in the proportion of the elderly population will lead to the following problems. At present, young people are moving to the cities, and more and more rural children are moving to the cities to work hard, but their parents are mostly staying in the countryside.

At present, despite the increasing urbanization, many older generations prefer to stay in rural areas.

The biggest difference between rural and urban hukou is the different treatment after retirement. In addition to pensions and other problems, the necessary living facilities in rural areas, such as transportation, hospitals and shops, are not as good as in urban areas, and older people in rural areas are under great pressure to provide for them. If the retirement age is brought earlier, there may be more vacancies in society, but in this way, young people will be under greater pressure on their pensions.

If the retirement age is postponed and a large number of elderly workers do not retire, the pressure on market employment will continue to increase. With the growth of the elderly, many people think that the silver market will be an emerging industry in the future, but in fact, the development of China's social pension has lagged behind.

In the face of life nursing, ** nursing, spiritual entertainment, etc., these gaps are expanding, but few young people will choose to engage in such a career, and the relevant training mechanisms and institutions are not perfect. The overall quality of the pension service team is low, and the professional construction of employees is relatively slow. At present, the existing pension team can no longer meet the rapidly expanding elderly market.

With the rapid growth of the economy, the progress of science and technology, and the improvement of people's medical conditions and living standards, human beings have made amazing achievements in health and longevity, and the life expectancy of the population has been greatly extended. As a result of the combined effect of the above factors, the proportion of the young population in the entire social population has further decreased, and the proportion of the elderly population has increased relatively, which is ultimately reflected in the rapid growth and increase of the proportion of the elderly population in the entire social population, that is, the early arrival of an aging society.

China's aging reputation is very fast, because the current marriage rate and newborn birth rate in China have been declining, and the speed of aging may exceed the marriage rate and newborn birth rate.

China's current aging rate is very fast, and the number of elderly people has risen from 3 million to 13 million, and the population of new code students is also very small.

The speed is very fast, there are many elderly people in the Chinese population, and the labor force is also declining.

The speed can be said to be very fast, so now China is opening up the three-child policy, hoping that people can have more children, and it can also slow down the speed of aging.

The Blue Book pointed out that according to relevant estimates, by 2025, China's elderly population will exceed 300 million, by 2033 will exceed 400 million, and in 2053, it will reach the peak of population aging, and the elderly population will reach 100 million, which will account for a quarter of the total number of elderly people in the world. From 2000 to 2050, China's population aging level will increase from 10% to 34%, more than double the world average.

People will get old, it's not too serious now, it's just started twenty years later, Jujube Xixun is the most serious, now let go of the third child, and wait for this batch of stools when the child gets old is really the most serious.