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As follows:
So-called"Demographic dividend"It refers to a country's working-age population accounting for a large proportion of the total population, and the dependency rate is relatively low, which creates favorable demographic conditions for economic development, and the economy of the whole country is in a situation of high savings, high investment and high growth. In many cases, "dividends" correspond to "debts".
The demographic dividend will not always exist, unless the social resources are rich enough to feed a small number of people, but at that time there is no need to consider the issue of the demographic dividend.
For now, the demographic dividend is a bit like an overdrawn credit card, giving you a card, you can overdraw, but you have to pay it back.
Overpopulation is also detrimental to social development, and the speed of discovery in a society has a lot to do with the level of national education. It is difficult to get rich just by relying on cheap labor.
Demographic dividend, an economic term, refers to a country's working-age population accounts for a large proportion of the total population, and the dependency rate is relatively low, creating favorable demographic conditions for economic development, and the entire country's economy is in a situation of high savings, high investment and high growth.
In many cases, "dividends" correspond to "debts". In January 2013, data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed that in 2012, China's working-age population aged 15-59 had an absolute decline for the first time in a long period of time, a decrease of 3.45 million over the previous year, which means that the demographic dividend tends to disappear, resulting in a "deceleration" of China's economy in the future.
China's sustained and rapid economic growth in recent decades has become a world "miracle". When China was able to create a "miracle" of economic growth, many people believed that the impact of the "demographic dividend" was a crucial reason, and the "demographic dividend" was therefore linked to the prospect of sustained economic growth in China.
In 1965 and 1970, China's "demographic dividend" has appeared, and the national economic base has been created and accumulated. Since 2000, population pressure and employment pressure have been felt more and more, and the large number of surplus rural labor force and urban unemployment have seriously hampered economic growth. In the past 10 years, the impact of the "demographic dividend" on economic growth has been truly felt.
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The impact of the "demographic dividend" on the production field is mainly reflected in the supply of labor. From the perspective of labor supply, China is still in the most abundant period of working-age population, but with the slowdown of the growth rate of working-age population. Generally speaking, when the growth of a country's working-age population stops, the problem of insufficient labor force will come very quickly.
But the rural-urban dichotomy makes a big difference in China, where the large rural population is still able to provide labor resources for the cities and towns for a considerable period of time.
Judging from the impact of the "demographic dividend" on consumption and savings, the cessation of the growth of the working-age population or the increase in the proportion of the elderly population will not necessarily lead to a decline in the savings rate in a certain period of time, but on the contrary, it may further increase the savings destruction rate. In the early stage of aging, people who have just entered the stage of old age tend to have a higher savings rate and a tendency to save, so some people regard the early stage of aging as the second "demographic dividend" period.
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<> demographic dividend refers to the economic growth brought about by population growth, which is an important driving force for social development. However, as the aging population intensifies, the demographic dividend is also disappearing, which will have a significant impact on social development. So, after the demographic dividend disappears, what will happen to the social changes?
First, economic growth will slow down.
After the demographic dividend disappears, economic growth will slow down. Due to an ageing population, a reduction in the labor force will lead to a decline in productivity, which will lead to slower economic growth. In addition, as older people spend less, consumer demand will also decrease, further dampening economic growth.
Second, the burden on society will increase.
After the demographic dividend disappears, the social burden will increase. Due to the lower incomes of the elderly, they need to provide more social security, which will increase the financial burden. In addition, due to the lower spending of the elderly, there is also a need for more public services to meet the needs of the elderly, which will also increase the financial burden of the elderly.
Third, the social structure will change.
After the demographic dividend disappears, the social structure will change. As the proportion of older persons increases, the proportion of older people in society will increase, while the proportion of young and middle-aged people will decrease. In addition, the gap between the rich and the poor in society will also widen due to the lower incomes of the elderly.
Fourth, there will be changes in society and culture.
After the demographic dividend disappears, the social culture will also change. As the proportion of older persons increases, the culture of society will become more elderly, and the culture of young adults will be affected. In addition, due to the lower incomes of the elderly, the consumption culture of society will also change, and more consumption will shift to low-value consumer goods.
Fifth, social governance will change.
After the demographic dividend disappears, social governance will also change. As the proportion of older persons increases, there will be more policy challenges to meet the needs of older persons. In addition, due to the lower incomes of the elderly, there will be more social security challenges to ensure the basic livelihood of the elderly.
To sum up, after the disappearance of the demographic dividend, social change will be a complex process, which will have a significant impact on economic growth, social burden, social structure, social culture and social governance. Therefore, effective measures should be taken to cope with the challenges brought about by the disappearance of the demographic dividend and ensure the harmonious development of society.
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