Is it possible for the fertility rate to rebound once it falls?

Once the fertility rate falls, it is very difficult to recover.

During this time, according to the national data survey, the national birth rate fell below 1% for the first time in 2020, and then this data rushed to the hot search of major networks, and I also paid more attention to this data, and many people also had a lot of worries, because China's birth rate has been falling off a cliff in recent years, especially breaking through the 1% mark, it can be said that the birth rate is becoming lower and lower, and the population crisis will come in advance.

Many people are actively making suggestions for the birth rate, and it is also recommended that the state introduce corresponding policies to adjust the birth rate. Based on my observations and findings, I personally believe that with the rapid development of China's economy and the continuous progress of society, China's birth rate will become lower and lower, and there may be a situation of rebound, but this kind of thing will become relatively low.

Why do you say that?

There are three main reasons.

First of all, after 30 years of reform and opening up, China has changed from an agrarian society to an industrial countryContinuously improve productivityIn order to meet the needs of society and family, the birth rate of China's population at that time was relatively high, which was caused by the social environment at that time and the historical stage in which it was located.

After China's reform and opening up, the industrial age changed the mode of people's productivity relations, and the original manpower has been slowly replaced by machines, so there is no need for a large population to maintain the need for productivity, so people's birth rate has become lower and lower.

Secondly, it has a lot to do with China's fertility policy. Since the 80s of the last century, China has implemented the one-child program, the purpose of which is to reduce the number of births in order to reduce the pressure on the state and society, and the release of this national policy is also based on China's national conditions at that time. From the perspective of the time, this national policy was correct, but the national policy has been implemented for too long, people's concepts have undergone profound changes, and the concept of the only child has been deeply rooted in the hearts of the people, so people no longer pursue it nowHigh fertility rate, on the contrary, the pursuit of individuality and independent life, so many young people no longer like to raise more children, but like to leave more time for themselves, from this level has also led to the Chinese population birth rate has been declining.

The most important point is:The cost of raising children in society as a whole is too heavy, resulting in many ordinary young people after raising a child simply cannot afford to raise a second child, which also leads to many young people after marriage only dare to have a child and have no courage to give birth to the second child, the second child, if you give birth to the second child, will only make your quality of life become lower and lower, and the financial pressure will become greater and greater.

In addition, there are some contradictions in the whole society's housing loans, car loans and young people's income, which also indirectly affect the fertility rate of the entire Chinese young generation, so from the current situation of the whole society,China's birth rate will become a systemic structural problem that has plagued society for a long timeIt must be treated for a long time before the problem can be solved slowly.

Of course, it is possible, as long as the country needs it, the people will definitely perform their duties well.

Don't think that after the negative population growth, the pressure on employment will be reduced, and in fact, at least in the next 10 years, the pressure on employment will be very great. Because negative population growth has only started now, and when this group of people enters society, it will be at least 10 years or more.

If you look at the number of junior high school students in 2021, there will be an increase of 10,000 compared to before, and you will calculate that there will be 3 years of junior high school, 3 years of high school, and 4 years of college, so in the next 10 years, the labor force will still be relatively abundant.

People who started in the 80s will have significantly higher pension pressure than those born in the 60s and 70s, not only because of delayed retirement, but also because of pensions. When the post-80s generation began to retire, it was just the time when the population and labor force were decreasing.

Recently, it has been proposed to increase the fertility rate by shortening the length of education in order to solve the problem of declining fertility. But this approach doesn't solve the problem. ......The reason for this is that the decision to have children depends on one's will, the cost of childbearing directly affects fertility, and there is no direct link between education time and fertility.

Whether to have children or not depends not on economic conditions, but on whether the husband and wife have reached a consensus to give their children a stable future and growth environment. Men and women who struggle with whether or not to have children because of difficult living conditions are actually very responsible parents and should be recognized and praised. How so?

The former is a hundred times stronger than those who give birth without thinking about the future at will. Children are not cats and dogs, and they can't come and go as soon as they want. Many children are abandoned and given away, and many children experience the pain of family breakdown when they are minors, all of which are caused by the irresponsibility of their parents.

As a qualified adult, after giving birth to a child, you must support and educate, and you can't let your child suffer harm from an early age, and you can't leave it alone to add a burden to the lack of social prosperity.

A child's experience of happiness is not about being rich or poor, but about whether they can be cared for by their parents. Young people who have just started a family may be very average if they have no financial conditions, and they feel that they cannot provide a comfortable living environment for their children and hesitate to have children.

In fact, if the relationship between the husband and wife is stable, the life goal is clear, having children is a natural thing, financial difficulties are only temporary, as long as you work hard, everything will change. However, the risk of blindly waiting until the economy improves to have children is that the economic conditions are better but the physical conditions are declining, and missing the best childbearing age is just as cruel to the children!

People who don't want to have children don't want to have children, even if they don't have access to the Internet. So fertility has little to do with the interconnected shroud. And it is not the Internet that reduces fertility, but the mind, and the progressive people of the times pay more attention to their own happiness and have a view on fertility issues.

1.In today's society, the more you give birth, the better your life will be. On the contrary, there are many births, and the quality of life of the children cannot be satisfied.

Because raising children is not the same as before, just eat enough, and also consider the future of the child, such as when the child grows up, marrying a wife, buying a car and a house, etc., most of the money is needed. And the more you have, the more material things you need, and the parents of a family, even if they do everything they have, cannot take care of all the children. Therefore, people have a new view on fertility issues, and they are more willing to have fewer children and have better children.

2.The impact of the Internet on fertility is just a one-sided statement, and what really affects fertility is not the Internet but the pressure of life. Nowadays, mortgages, car loans, and other life pressures are unbearable, and many people are unwilling to get married, let alone have children.

Therefore, life is stressful, which makes many people more and more afraid to have children. In fact, the matter of childbirth depends on one's own situation. If the living conditions are better, then have a few more, so that at least the child can be given material security and educational resources, and the family conditions are not very good, then it is recommended to get rich first, and then consider the problem of childbirth.

That will bring better conditions to the child.

In short, it is not the Internet that affects the fertility rate, but the high pressure of real life that limits the fertility of life. In addition, young people nowadays are more open-minded and less persistent about fertility issues. That's why the fertility rate of Zhitong will become lower.

Declining fertility is a global problem, and it would be inaccurate to say that fertility is declining solely because of income. According to the World Population Census 2020, the fertility rate in Europe, the United States, Japan, and Australia is also declining as a whole.

There are even reports that the more developed countries are, the higher the indicators of fertility decline. Having offspring in the 90s and earlier can be an act of responsibility and obligation.

Sometimes if you don't have children, you will be looked at in a strange way by both parents, neighbors and friends. But nowadays, especially in big cities, young people are more in pursuit of self-satisfaction.

When a family's monthly income can lead a good life, they are reluctant to have children, thus reducing the quality of life.

Plus other factors, such as high housing prices, high education fees, and the loss of some freedom once you have a child, such as the freedom to go and go, the freedom of moonshine. Therefore, it is predictable that the fertility rate will continue to decline.

Declining fertility is a global problem, and it would be inaccurate to say that fertility is declining solely because of income. According to the World Census 2020, the fertility rate in Europe, the United States, Japan, and Australia as a whole is also declining.

There are even reports that the more developed countries and developed regions, the higher the indicators of possible fertility decline. Giving birth to offspring in the 90s and earlier can be an act of responsibility and obligation. Sometimes if you don't have children, you will be looked at in a strange way by both parents, neighbors and friends.

But nowadays, especially in big cities, young people are more in pursuit of self-satisfaction. When a family's monthly income can lead a good life, they are reluctant to have children, thus reducing the quality of life.

Plus other factors, such as high housing prices, high education fees, and the loss of some freedom once you have a child, such as the freedom to go and go, the freedom of moonshine. Therefore, it is predictable that the fertility rate will continue to decline.

The pressure of educational involution is the greatest, and the impact will be relatively large, because educational involution will lead to a lot of educational problems in the future, so this situation is not optimistic.

The reasons for the decline in fertility are manifold, including:

1.Economic reasons: As the level of economic literacy increases, so does the cost of raising children.

2.Educational reasons: In order to pursue a higher level of education and career, many people will choose to marry later and have children later.

3.Social reasons: such as inability to assume responsibilities and obligations after childbirth, high work pressure, etc.

In response to this problem, the following measures should be taken by the society:

1.** Family births should be encouraged and supported, and targeted policies should be introduced, such as preferential policies and maternity allowances.

2.Companies should offer flexible working hours and paid maternity leave so that families can balance work and life.

3.Strengthen sex education and childbirth education, publicize family concepts and rights and interests in education, and improve people's reproductive literacy.

4.Encourage social organizations and volunteer organizations to provide consultation and assistance in family childbirth, and provide children's livelihood guarantees.

5.Strengthen population censuses and research, reflect population changes and trends in a timely manner, and provide a scientific basis for formulating fertility policies.

Through the above-mentioned measures, increasing the willingness and convenience of families to have children, and strengthening the balance between family relations and professional life are effective ways to solve the problem of declining fertility rate.

Fertility is declining.

I believe that the rising cost of raising children and the high cost of educational housing are the main reasons for the decline in the birth rate. From the experience of many countries and regions such as Japan, Germany, Singapore, etc., housing and education are free, and there are good subsidies for having children, although the fertility rate is still not high. But Japan's social welfare is very good, education and medical care are also free, why don't they want to have children, Germany doesn't even need money to go to university, so the rate of manuscripts is high.

Everyone should have a long-term and sober understanding of the decline in the birth rate, and do not feel that the decline in the birth rate is like the sky is about to fall, and it is wrong to rely on almost all of China's problems on this. Now that China has a population of 1.4 billion, let's imagine if China had only 1 billion people, although it could still live.

With the increase of income level and changes in social psychology, many young people do not choose to get married, nor do they choose to have children. This is the economic problem, we can see that many people who are reluctant to have children are high-income groups, but now low-income people are also unwilling to have children, part of the pressure on housing prices, daily expenses, living standards, etc., are all problems, so although the decline in fertility is related to sociology, anthropology, and psychology. But in the final analysis, the problem of housing prices is still more serious.

The main reason for the decline in the fertility rate is the problem of people's ideology. We have transitioned from a feudal society, and we are the influence of thousands of years of feudal thinking, there is no doubt about it. I don't mean derogatory meaning of feudal thinking here.

I have all the traditional culture, and Chong Zikai's thoughts are feudal thoughts. I hope that everyone will put our traditional culture in perspective. The traditional concept of the Chinese has always been that there are many sons and many blessings, and there are three unfilial pieties, and no queen is great.

It can be said that every Qi judge Chinese pays great attention to whether their children and grandchildren are prosperous or not. If you don't have any offspring, your inner pain is beyond words. Since the 70s of the last century, family planning has been implemented in our country, and a couple can only have one child.

That's about half of the families having boys and half of the families having girls. Traditionally, families that give birth to girls have no offspring. It's not enough to just say that it's good, people's ideological concepts can't be changed by a policy, and these families who give birth to girls are particularly painful and uncomfortable in their hearts.

According to the traditional relationship between the Chinese, the family that gives birth to a girl has no offspring. Such households account for about 50 per cent. The pain in their hearts, only they know, and such pain can lead to distortion in their hearts.

They will feel that they have no offspring, and they will not want their daughters to have offspring for others. Then their minds will have an impact on their daughters, consciously or unconsciously. This led to the only daughter of the post-80s and post-90s generations who had the idea of not dispersing and wanting to have children.

Now the post-80s and post-90s generations are the main force of our fertility, because of the influence of family ideology, which leads to this group of people not wanting to have children, not because of stressful problems.