China is sounding the population alarm bell, why is the fertility rate hitting a new low?

If we can't return to the green environment we used to have, the birth rate will drop rapidly. For example, the greenhouse fruits and vegetables are mistakenly regarded as ecological parks, and the food watered by underground polluted water is mistakenly regarded as safety. Falsely advocate and assist in the rapid breeding of livestock and poultry, etc.

And because of medical insurance, major and minor illnesses run to the hospital, and are gradually turned into sub-health, patients, and even death by Western medicine.

Because raising children is a very difficult thing now, many couples have become very difficult to even survive on their own, and they have no ability to raise children at all.

Because first of all, young couples are facing a lot of pressure in their lives, and they don't want to cause trouble and stress in their lives because of a series of problems such as having children, raising children, and sending children to school.

The cost of raising children is high, the economic pressure is high, in the past, it was enough to raise children to be fed and clothed, but now they are all carefully raised, and they are "gold-swallowing beasts" from birth, coupled with the high housing prices, many people simply can't afford such a high cost, and now people are fighting for careers, getting married and having children are relatively late, many people don't give birth, or when they want to give birth, their bodies are no longer allowed, and slowly, the desire to have children is getting weaker and weaker.

China is sounding the demographic alarm bell because most people feel that raising a child is too expensive and time-consuming, so they choose to have fewer or no children.

First of all, the first is that women's thinking has been emancipated to a certain extent, in the past, girls were a reproductive tool, in order to pass on the ancestry, and now it advocates equality between men and women. The second is that the pressure of social life is relatively high now, and everyone is willing to have more children than others.

Always support Huang Xihua, Liang Jianzhang, Huang Wenzheng, Ren Zeping, etc., patriotic experts and scholars who have contributed to the population policy of the Chinese nation. For many years, campaigning for the demographic situation of the motherland. Many years ago, the fertility rate continued to decline, and the continuous depth of aging has become a practical problem that needs to be solved urgently.

Encouraging childbirth is beneficial to the country and the people, and it is expected that the motherland will speed up the introduction and implementation of the encouragement policy of real gold. Before and after the introduction of the proposed policy, families born with three children, four children and so on should be treated equally. The fertility rate continues to be sluggish, and the deep aging of the population structure is urgent.

We look forward to the prosperity of the people of China, the happiness and health of the people, and the long live of the Chinese nation.

Because the cost of parenting has increased.

Because the overall cost of living has risen.

Chinese population. Fertility cliff **, maternal and child industry, financial industry.

Schools, insurance, services, tourism, and so on will all be relatively affected.

Extended information: The impact of the Chinese population on the precipice** of fertility:

1. Birth rate.

If the fluctuation is too large, it will lead to demographic imbalances and lead to a dangerous dependency ratio. By the end of 2018, the elderly population over 60 years old in China was as high as 100 million, accounting for the total population, and the proportion of the elderly population will be higher and higher in the future. However, the number of young people is decreasing.

Originally, there was a young man to support an old man, but now a young man is raising an old man, and then a young man may be raising an old man, so that the domestic pension is made.

There is a risk that you will not be able to make ends meet. However, this would not have happened if the number of births in the population did not fluctuate much.

2. When the elderly population gradually increases, and the new young population gradually decreases. Then, in order to maintain normal spending, there may be an increase in taxes for businesses and individuals, which is also a last resort, but this will lead to low levels of domestic consumption and a lack of innovation. Now the Japanese economy.

Recession is aging.

With the advent of the times, there are fewer and fewer young people, the spending power is also stretched, and the innovation momentum of the whole country is also insufficient.

3. Japan's economy has been stagnant for a long time, mainly due to factors such as the low birth rate and insufficient supply of labor force in addition to the real estate bubble. The reason is very simple: due to the shortage of labor, the wage level will rise, the cost of enterprises will rise, and the external competitiveness will decline. When companies are not profitable, economic growth slows.

So, the demographic dividend.

It is not a matter of the number of people, but the proportion of the labor force in the total population. If the number of newborns in China hovers at a low level for a long time, the demographic dividend will soon be released.

First of all, there is the problem of aging, the fertility rate of the population is off a cliff, then there will inevitably be fewer and fewer young people, and more and more old people. In this case, productivity will decrease, household income may be affected, and family conflicts will increase. The second is that when there are fewer young people, even if the technology is advanced and there is no need for more productivity, but there is also a lack of creativity with ideas, then the development of a country will be affected.

Rapidly aging China is a country with a large population, and a few decades ago, because the population was so large that it had to limit births, so family planning was introduced. Although China's population base is still not low, the fertility rate is declining rapidly. Some people will say that when the population is smaller, the earth will be more spacious, isn't that a good thing?

From a spatial point of view, population expansion is indeed detrimental to living conditions and economic development. But if the population declines sharply, then it is also not conducive to economic development. Just like now, family planning has to be terminated, and the state encourages the birth of a second or even a third child, just for the sake of the rapidly growing aging phenomenon.

Someone has done a survey that every person in China, there is an elderly person over 60 years old, if retirement is not delayed, that is, less than 30% of the population has to be supported. After all, older people have degraded all their physical functions and need to be taken care of, even if they have a high salary, even if they do not lack material needs, they also need emotional care, not to mention that many elderly people do not have rich material support. If a family has two children, at least they can share the burden, but if they are only children, then a couple will have to support four old people.

It is conceivable that if young people's economy and energy are insufficient, then there will be problems in the family, and the sense of happiness will be greatly reduced. Although the decline in the population of creativity may affect productivity, because of the development of modern science and technology, intelligent machines have gradually become possible to replace labor, so the decline in population is not as great as before, and has a huge impact on productivity. It stands to reason that this will not affect economic development, but unfortunately, the sharp decline in population will still affect people's creativity.

Although not everyone is a genius and will have earth-shattering creativity, if even people are gone, then there will definitely be no new blood to create. Then technology may stagnate or even lag behind, and eventually affect the economy, just like a classic saying in the 20th century, what is most important, talent.

The birth rate is **, the number of natural people is decreasing, there are fewer young people, there are more elderly people, and the technology industry will be greatly affected.

In my opinion, China's fertility rate has been declining year after year, mainly because of two aspects: not wanting to have children and not being able to have children.

1. For the problem of not wanting to have children, one is that they don't want to get married, and the other is that they choose not to give birth to the next generation after marriage. Contemporary young people don't want to get married, from the perspective of boys, most of them will feel that they can live freely before marriage, can freely spend their own time, do not need to report to the **, do not have to bear the pressure of family life; From a girl's point of view, I can earn my own money, own my own house, and do what I want. After returning home tired from work, I can fall asleep without worrying about whether the other person comes home to eat, and why should I bring an uncertain person with me to be able to live a life alone.

Moreover, both parties can have happiness in love, but if marriage is a matter of two families, there will be a lot more contradictions, and the burden will be much heavier, plus the cost of marriage and the problem of bride price. According to statistics, the marriage rate in my country in 2021 is only.

After getting married, more young couples enjoy the world of the two more, thinking that having children will interfere with the relationship between the two people, especially for women, giving birth to a child from the early stage to the late stage of pregnancy, and then to the recovery period after pregnancy are very frightening, pain, stretch marks, body shape and a series of problems, will make some girls shy away. In addition, in today's era of fast life, the transition from love to marriage has also become rushed, and the divorce rate has also increased significantly, with the average divorce rate reaching 4 in 2021. If they have offspring, it will have a very bad impact on the child after the divorce, and both parties are not ready to be responsible for themselves and the child's life, so they generally do not have offspring.

Second, the problem of not being able to afford to have a child also has a lot to do with the development model of the current life. In the past, having children was either for the sake of inheritance or to increase the labor force, which was positive growth for a family; But now, the cost of a child, from birth to financial independence, is difficult for an ordinary family to support, let alone the second and third children. From the daily necessities of the child's birth to the various training expenses of the offspring of school, although the cost of going to school is not high now, no one wants their children to only read, various interest training classes, various activities, and various equipment follow-up all require a large amount of financial support.

As we all know, China is a country with a large population, and a large population is a major advantage of our country, which is conducive to creating and expanding the market, and the country's GDP is related to the level of population consumption, which is a major factor in promoting economic development. Social development and scientific progress and innovation are inseparable from the input and output of talents, and a large population can solve the problem of talent demand. China's rapid rise in a few decades and its development into the forefront of the world can be said to have played a crucial role in the large population.

However, with the strength of China, the demographic problem has changed, and the structure of the Chinese population has gradually changed from stable to aging, mainly due to the decline in fertility. Regarding the decline in the birth rate, I have the following observations:

It is easy to have a child for life, but it is difficult to raise a child

It's easy to have children, but it's easy to raise children" has become the reason and reason why almost all young couples don't want to have children, but this is an indisputable fact. If a family is not very wealthy, raising children will only make the pressure greater, and now many people have mortgages, car loans, etc., and many times can only barely support themselves, how can they take care of their children, basically they will choose not to have children for the time being. It is now common to find that children are born to be raised by grandparents, and young couples who are financially independent and have more time to spend with their children will choose to raise their children on their own.

2. Social welfare and policy support

It is generally believed that the protection for childbirth is too insufficient, so that many families have worries. The cost of raising a child is too high, for example, at the level of education, a family faces various pressures in addition to financial pressures. With the change of population structure, the state should open up the three-child policy to further alleviate the population problem, and the state should improve social welfare, dispel family concerns, expand policies in raising children, and relax as much as possible.

In particular, in the area of education, it is necessary not only to expand the fertility rate, but also to increase the quality of the people, and to increase support at the employment level and policy support at the per capita income level, so as to reduce the level of disparity between the rich and the poor.

Third, there is an imbalance in the age composition and sex ratio

Population density is also indirectly related to other factors. The age composition of the population has a certain ability to develop the trend of population density. For example, if young couples choose not to have children for a long time, they will not be able to have children when they reach a certain age, and if most people are older and do not choose to have children, it will definitely lead to a decline in fertility.

In addition, the imbalance in the sex ratio is also an important factor leading to the decline of the fertility rate, such as the idea of preference for sons over women, as well as "the birth of a boy is the construction bank, and the birth of a girl is the China Merchants Bank", etc., which will lead to the unequal ratio of men and women, and is also an important factor leading to the decline of the fertility rate.

Personally, I think the global fertility rate.

First, part of the reason behind the decline in the global fertility rate is that women's fertility intentions have begun to decline, and women are late to receive higher education and can have high education and high income, and do not need to go through men and families to gain a sense of achievement.

Both our country and other countries are facing the same problem of declining fertility rates, which is a situation that exists in most countries in development. Of course, there are a small number of countries that have solved this problem, but most of them can only maintain the original appearance or make appropriate adjustments in policy, but the final effect is not large. This includes South Korea and Japan, which are similar to us, and have reached an aging population.

This is also an effect of declining fertility. When women start working, then their social responsibility.

Second, part of the reason behind the decline in the global fertility rate is economic pressure, including basic living income, mortgage pressure and social pressure, which makes many young people feel that it is difficult to raise themselves, let alone raise a child.

As a resident of our country, in addition to the influence of external factors, it is the biggest economic problem. In the past, when our parents had children, they didn't need too many economic factors and didn't need too much education funds, but now our generation has begun to implement school district housing.

The beginning of the implementation of education investment, the beginning of the implementation of supplementary classes, this series of situations has led to an increase in the cost of education. Many young people have not even solved their own housing problems, and even their basic food and clothing problems have not been perfected, so how can they talk about the problem of raising children?

Third, part of the reason behind the decline in the global fertility rate is that the purpose has changed, in the past, having children was more advocated, that is, more labor could be obtained, and more income could be obtained for the family, but now having children is more about paying, rather than returning.

In the past, different countries would adopt the method of having children to increase the local army and combat key skid force, and then having children was to provide the family's economic income and increase the labor force for the family. And now the cost of having children is too high, the return is too low, plus the birth policy.

The level of education has become more widespread and improved, and people have different ideas about having children. The first person in each yard can choose to have children according to their own wishes, rather than in a mandatory way.